Election2016

Presidential Forecast

Percent of simulations where each candidate becomes president

Clinton

85.2%

Trump

14.6%
How we calculate this »

Battleground States

Electoral
Votes		Percentage
Point Lead
Michigan16+5.4 Clinton
Florida29+2.6 Clinton
North Carolina15+1.1 Clinton
Ohio18+0.3 Clinton
Arizona11+3.1 Trump
See all states »

Senate Forecast

Percent of simulations where each party gains control of Senate

How we calculate this »
Dem
12%
50/50
Split
23%
(VP determines
balance of power)
GOP
65%

States Most Likely To Flip

Win Probability
Dem
Chance
50/50
GOP
Chance
See all states »