Election2016

Presidential Forecast

Percent of simulations where each candidate becomes president

Clinton

87.9%

Trump

11.8%
How we calculate this »

Battleground States

Electoral
Votes		Percentage
Point Lead
Florida29+2.6 Clinton
North Carolina15+1.2 Clinton
Ohio18+0.6 Clinton
Nevada6+0.6 Clinton
Arizona11+3.1 Trump
See all states »

Senate Forecast

Percent of simulations where each party gains control of Senate

How we calculate this »
Dem
12%
50/50
Split
24%
(VP determines
balance of power)
GOP
64%

States Most Likely To Flip

Win Probability
Dem
Chance
50/50
GOP
Chance
See all states »