Poll Chart

2012 Pennsylvania Senate: Smith vs. Casey

Currently tracking 50 polls from 25 pollsters

Updated 12 months ago

Election on November 6, 2012

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This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

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Casey49.2% incumbent
Smith44.1%
None0.0%
Undecided8.1%
Other2.0%
Refused0.0%

Our averages don't add up to 100% because we calculate each trendline separately.

Latest Polls

Poll	None	Casey	Smith	Undecided	Other	Spread
Angus-Reid Nov 2 – Nov 4, 2012 436 Likely Voters		53	46		1	Casey +7
PPP (D) Nov 2 – Nov 3, 2012 790 Likely Voters		52	44	3		Casey +8
YouGov Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2012 1,273 Likely Voters		50	42	7		Casey +8
McLaughlin (R-Smith) Nov 1 – Nov 1, 2012 400 Likely Voters		46	46
Susquehanna (R)/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review Oct 29 – Oct 31, 2012 800 Likely Voters		46	45	8		Casey +1
Pulse Opinion Research/Let Freedom Ring (R) Oct 30 – Oct 30, 2012 1,000 Likely Voters		46	45	8	1	Casey +1
Franklin and Marshall College Oct 23 – Oct 28, 2012 547 Likely Voters		46	36	13	4	Casey +10
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D) Oct 23 – Oct 25, 2012 600 Likely Voters		49	42	9		Casey +7
Rasmussen Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2012 500 Likely Voters		46	45	9		Casey +1
Harstad (D-DSCC) Oct 21 – Oct 24, 2012 810 Likely Voters		52	40	8		Casey +12
Wenzel Strategies (R-Citizens United) Oct 22 – Oct 23, 2012 1,000 Likely Voters		45	44	9	2	Casey +1
Pharos Research Group Oct 19 – Oct 21, 2012 760 Likely Voters		52	42			Casey +10
Muhlenberg Oct 17 – Oct 21, 2012 444 Likely Voters		45	37	16	2	Casey +8
Angus-Reid Oct 18 – Oct 20, 2012 483 Likely Voters		51	45		4	Casey +6
GS Strategy Group (R-Fight for the Dream PAC) Oct 17 – Oct 18, 2012 500 Likely Voters		44	43	11	2	Casey +1
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Casey) Oct 15 – Oct 17, 2012 604 Likely Voters		52	39			Casey +13
Pulse Opinion Research/Let Freedom Ring (R) Oct 15 – Oct 15, 2012 1,000 Likely Voters		47	46	4	2	Casey +1
Quinnipiac Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2012 1,519 Likely Voters		48	45	7		Casey +3
PPP (D) Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2012 500 Likely Voters		50	39	11		Casey +11
Muhlenberg Oct 10 – Oct 14, 2012 438 Likely Voters		41	39	18	1	Casey +2
Susquehanna (R - Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania) Oct 11 – Oct 13, 2012 1,376 Likely Voters		46	48	5	1	Smith +2
YouGov Oct 4 – Oct 11, 2012 954 Likely Voters		48	41	11		Casey +7
Pulse Opinion Research/Let Freedom Ring (R) Oct 8 – Oct 8, 2012 1,000 Likely Voters		44	41			Casey +3
McLaughlin (R-Smith) Oct 7 – Oct 8, 2012 600 Likely Voters		46	44	11		Casey +2
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D) Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2012 600 Likely Voters		48	38	14		Casey +10
Susquehanna (R) Oct 4 – Oct 6, 2012 725 Likely Voters		46	44	9	1	Casey +2
Siena Oct 1 – Oct 5, 2012 545 Likely Voters		44	35	16		Casey +9
Muhlenberg Sep 22 – Sep 26, 2012 427 Likely Voters		44	36	13	7	Casey +8
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS Sep 18 – Sep 24, 2012 1,180 Likely Voters		49	43	8		Casey +6
Franklin and Marshall College Sep 18 – Sep 23, 2012 392 Likely Voters		48	38	8		Casey +10
Susquehanna (R)/Tribune-Review Sep 18 – Sep 20, 2012 800 Likely Voters		46	41			Casey +5
Mercyhurst University Sep 12 – Sep 20, 2012 522 Likely Voters		31	21	44	3	Undecided +13
Rasmussen Sep 19 – Sep 19, 2012 500 Likely Voters		49	42	7	2	Casey +7
Susquehanna (R-Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania) Sep 15 – Sep 17, 2012 800 Likely Voters	1	45	42	10	2	Casey +3
Muhlenberg Sep 10 – Sep 16, 2012 640 Likely Voters		45	33	18	5	Casey +12
YouGov Sep 7 – Sep 14, 2012 1,120 Likely Voters		46	38	16		Casey +8
Philadelphia Inquirer Aug 21 – Aug 23, 2012 601 Likely Voters		53	34	13		Casey +19
Muhlenberg Aug 20 – Aug 22, 2012 422 Likely Voters		49	30	18	3	Casey +19
Franklin and Marshall College Aug 7 – Aug 12, 2012 681 Registered Voters		43	28	24		Casey +15
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS Jul 24 – Jul 30, 2012 1,168 Likely Voters		55	37	8		Casey +18
PPP (D) Jul 21 – Jul 23, 2012 758 Likely Voters		46	36	18		Casey +10
Rasmussen Jul 18 – Jul 18, 2012 500 Likely Voters		49	38	9	4	Casey +11
We Ask America Jul 9 – Jul 10, 2012 1,227 Likely Voters		53	39	8		Casey +14
Quinnipiac Jun 19 – Jun 25, 2012 1,252 Registered Voters		49	32	19	1	Casey +17
Quinnipiac Jun 5 – Jun 10, 2012 997 Registered Voters		51	32	16	1	Casey +19
Franklin and Marshall College May 29 – Jun 4, 2012 412 Registered Voters		42	21	35	2	Casey +7
Rasmussen May 21 – May 21, 2012 500 Likely Voters		47	41	7	3	Casey +6
PPP (D) May 17 – May 20, 2012 671 Registered Voters		49	33	19		Casey +16
PPP (D) Mar 8 – Mar 11, 2012 689 Registered Voters		49	31	20		Casey +18
PPP (D) Nov 17 – Nov 20, 2011 500 Registered Voters		48	32	20		Casey +16

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