Poll Chart

2014 Alaska Senate: Sullivan vs. Begich

Currently tracking 35 polls from 17 pollsters
Updated 5 months ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Sullivan was favored to win. (In 67.6% of simulations, Sullivan beat Begich.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Begich
Sullivan
Undecided
Spread
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2014
1,052 Likely Voters
45 46 5 Sullivan +1
Oct 27 – Oct 30, 2014
887 Likely Voters
42 47 6 Sullivan +5
Oct 26 – Oct 28, 2014
500 Likely Voters
38 42 Sullivan +4
Oct 24 – Oct 26, 2014
544 Likely Voters
48 42 4 Begich +6
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
561 Likely Voters
44 48 9 Sullivan +4
Oct 18 – Oct 22, 2014
700 Likely Voters
44 44 7
Oct 15 – Oct 21, 2014
403 Likely Voters
49 39 6 Begich +10
Oct 8 – Oct 12, 2014
700 Likely Voters
45 48 3 Sullivan +3
FOX
Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014
706 Likely Voters
40 44 10 Sullivan +4
CNN
Oct 1 – Oct 6, 2014
704 Likely Voters
44 50 5 Sullivan +6
Sep 26 – Oct 2, 2014
400 Likely Voters
41 46 Sullivan +5
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
593 Likely Voters
42 48 8 Sullivan +6
Sep 23 – Sep 24, 2014
713 Likely Voters
43 48 4 Sullivan +5
Sep 12 – Sep 24, 2014
400 Likely Voters
42 46 5 Sullivan +4
Sep 18 – Sep 21, 2014
880 Likely Voters
41 43 11 Sullivan +2
Sep 14 – Sep 17, 2014
800 Likely Voters
43 49 Sullivan +6
Sep 13 – Sep 14, 2014
500 Likely Voters
41 36 23 Begich +5
Sep 7 – Sep 10, 2014
709 Likely Voters
45 40 8 Begich +5
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
412 Likely Voters
38 44 12 Sullivan +6
Aug 24 – Aug 27, 2014
807 Likely Voters
41 40 8 Begich +1
Aug 20 – Aug 21, 2014
750 Likely Voters
45 47 4 Sullivan +2
Jul 31 – Aug 3, 2014
673 Likely Voters
43 37 12 Begich +6
Jul 20 – Jul 24, 2014
808 Likely Voters
44 37 9 Begich +7
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
442 Likely Voters
49 37 4 Begich +12
Jun 29 – Jun 30, 2014
500 Likely Voters
40 45 15 Sullivan +5
May 8 – May 11, 2014
582 Likely Voters
42 37 14 Begich +5
Apr 27 – Apr 28, 2014
500 Likely Voters
44 42 Begich +2
Apr 14 – Apr 15, 2014
603 Likely Voters
41 46 6 Sullivan +5
Mar 19 – Mar 20, 2014
750 Likely Voters
44 44 6
Feb 7 – Feb 9, 2014
502 Likely Voters
45 34 10 Begich +11
Jan 30 – Feb 1, 2014
850 Likely Voters
41 37 13 Begich +4
Jan 20 – Jan 22, 2014
677 Likely Voters
41 47 12 Sullivan +6
Sep 24 – Sep 25, 2013
731 Likely Voters
43 41 16 Begich +2
Jul 25 – Jul 28, 2013
890 Likely Voters
46 39 15 Begich +7
Feb 4 – Feb 5, 2013
1,129 Likely Voters
47 41 12 Begich +6

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