Poll Chart

2014 Arkansas Senate: Cotton vs. Pryor

Currently tracking 61 polls from 32 pollsters
Updated 21 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Cotton was strongly favored to win. (In 84.8% of simulations, Cotton beat Pryor.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Cotton
Pryor
Undecided
Spread
Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2014
1,092 Likely Voters
49 41 5 Cotton +8
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014
976 Likely Voters
51 44 Cotton +7
Oct 21 – Oct 27, 2014
568 Likely Voters
49 36 Cotton +13
Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2014
401 Likely Voters
44 45 10 Pryor +1
Oct 19 – Oct 23, 2014
621 Likely Voters
45 43 7 Cotton +2
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,567 Likely Voters
47 42 10 Cotton +5
Oct 15 – Oct 16, 2014
2,075 Likely Voters
49 41 6 Cotton +8
Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014
940 Likely Voters
47 44 Cotton +3
FOX
Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014
707 Likely Voters
46 39 11 Cotton +7
Oct 1 – Oct 5, 2014
400 Likely Voters
42 45 9 Pryor +3
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,991 Likely Voters
45 41 13 Cotton +4
Sep 24 – Sep 25, 2014
750 Likely Voters
47 40 Cotton +7
Sep 20 – Sep 23, 2014
500 Likely Voters
43 45 7 Pryor +2
Sep 18 – Sep 21, 2014
1,453 Likely Voters
43 38 13 Cotton +5
Sep 13 – Sep 18, 2014
801 Likely Voters
43 46 11 Pryor +3
Sep 8 – Sep 11, 2014
902 Registered Voters
47 43 8 Cotton +4
Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2014
700 Likely Voters
43 45 12 Pryor +2
Sep 1 – Sep 2, 2014
639 Likely Voters
45 40 9 Cotton +5
CNN
Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2014
523 Likely Voters
49 47 4 Cotton +2
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,572 Likely Voters
43 39 16 Cotton +4
Aug 25 – Aug 26, 2014
750 Likely Voters
43 44 Pryor +1
Aug 6 – Aug 14, 2014
414 Registered Voters
41 46 9 Pryor +5
Aug 1 – Aug 3, 2014
1,066 Likely Voters
41 39 14 Cotton +2
Jul 22 – Jul 25, 2014
1,780 Likely Voters
44 42 7 Cotton +2
Jul 20 – Jul 24, 2014
600 Likely Voters
46 48 Pryor +2
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,577 Likely Voters
50 46 3 Cotton +4
Jul 7 – Jul 10, 2014
807 Likely Voters
39 45 Pryor +6
Jul 7 – Jul 8, 2014
987 Registered Voters
51 44 Cotton +7
Jun 29 – Jun 29, 2014
1,290 Registered Voters
47 43 10 Cotton +4
Jun 9 – Jun 11, 2014
600 Likely Voters
47 40 Cotton +7
Jun 6 – Jun 9, 2014
600 Likely Voters
51 43 5 Cotton +8
Jun 4 – Jun 5, 2014
755 Likely Voters
49 45 4 Cotton +4
May 27 – May 29, 2014
500 Likely Voters
46 41 7 Cotton +5
May 27 – May 28, 2014
750 Likely Voters
47 43 Cotton +4
May 6 – May 8, 2014
600 Likely Voters
42 40 12 Cotton +2
Apr 30 – May 4, 2014
876 Registered Voters
40 51 7 Pryor +11
Apr 25 – Apr 27, 2014
840 Likely Voters
42 43 16 Pryor +1
Apr 14 – Apr 15, 2014
857 Likely Voters
46 43 7 Cotton +3
Apr 8 – Apr 15, 2014
857 Registered Voters
36 46 15 Pryor +10
Apr 9 – Apr 10, 2014
522 Likely Voters
39 39 22
Apr 1 – Apr 8, 2014
400 Likely Voters
38 48 13 Pryor +10
Apr 3 – Apr 4, 2014
1,068 Likely Voters
43 46 8 Pryor +3
Mar 27 – Apr 2, 2014
600 Likely Voters
45 48 7 Pryor +3
Feb 17 – Feb 20, 2014
400 Likely Voters
37 40 14 Pryor +3
Feb 10 – Feb 10, 2014
1,202 Registered Voters
46 42 13 Cotton +4
Feb 4 – Feb 5, 2014
500 Likely Voters
45 40 Cotton +5
Jan 26 – Jan 27, 2014
533 Likely Voters
42 36 22 Cotton +6
Dec 13 – Dec 15, 2013
1,004 Likely Voters
44 44 12
Dec 6 – Dec 7, 2013
400 Likely Voters
48 41 11 Cotton +7
Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2013
911 Registered Voters
42 41 18 Cotton +1
Oct 15 – Oct 17, 2013
600 Likely Voters
45 41 15 Cotton +4
Oct 10 – Oct 17, 2013
618 Likely Voters
37 36 Cotton +1
Oct 14 – Oct 15, 2013
955 Likely Voters
41 44 15 Pryor +3
Oct 8 – Oct 8, 2013
603 Likely Voters
41 42 17 Pryor +1
Sep 24 – Sep 26, 2013
622 Likely Voters
42 45 13 Pryor +3
Aug 6 – Aug 7, 2013
600 Registered Voters
43 45 Pryor +2
Aug 4 – Aug 5, 2013
587 Likely Voters
43 41 16 Cotton +2
Jul 29 – Jul 30, 2013
600 Likely Voters
44 42 14 Cotton +2
Jul 23 – Jul 27, 2013
729 Likely Voters
35 43 21 Pryor +8
Jun 22 – Jun 23, 2013
600 Likely Voters
40 41 19 Pryor +1
Mar 16 – Mar 17, 2013
600 Likely Voters
43 35 22 Cotton +8

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