Poll Chart

2014 Hawaii Senate: Cavasso vs. Schatz

Currently tracking 8 polls from 4 pollsters
Updated over 1 year ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Schatz was strongly favored to win. (In >99% of simulations, Schatz beat Cavasso.)

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Schatz
Cavasso
Undecided
Other
Spread
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,002 Likely Voters
70 18 11 1 Schatz +52
Oct 16 – Oct 19, 2014
1,221 Likely Voters
55 29 16 Schatz +26
Oct 11 – Oct 18, 2014
605 Likely Voters
71 20 10 Schatz +51
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,319 Likely Voters
71 17 11 0 Schatz +54
Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2014
1,055 Registered Voters
62 25 13 Schatz +37
Sep 9 – Sep 10, 2014
750 Likely Voters
60 28 7 6 Schatz +32
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
655 Likely Voters
62 27 10 0 Schatz +35
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,072 Likely Voters
58 22 4 16 Schatz +36

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