Poll Chart

2014 Iowa Senate: Ernst vs. Braley

Currently tracking 55 polls from 26 pollsters
Updated 12 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Ernst was slightly favored to win. (In 61.2% of simulations, Ernst beat Braley.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Ernst
Braley
Undecided
Spread
11/1 - 11/3/14
1,265 Likely Voters
48 45 5 Ernst +3
10/28 - 11/2/14
778 Likely Voters
47 47 4 -
10/28 - 10/31/14
701 Likely Voters
51 44 4 Ernst +7
10/25 - 10/31/14
1,112 Likely Voters
42 43 13 Braley +1
FOX
10/28 - 10/30/14
911 Likely Voters
45 44 7 Ernst +1
CNN
10/27 - 10/30/14
647 Likely Voters
49 47 4 Ernst +2
10/23 - 10/29/14
1,129 Likely Voters
45 45 -
10/25 - 10/27/14
802 Registered Voters
45 46 8 Braley +1
10/22 - 10/27/14
817 Likely Voters
49 45 5 Ernst +4
10/21 - 10/24/14
1,121 Likely Voters
44 45 8 Braley +1

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