Poll Chart

2014 Iowa Senate: Ernst vs. Braley

Currently tracking 55 polls from 26 pollsters
Updated about 6 hours ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Ernst was slightly favored to win. (In 61.2% of simulations, Ernst beat Braley.)

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Pollster Dates Pop. Ernst Braley Undecided Spread
PPP (D) 11/1 - 11/3/14 1,265 LV 48 45 5 Ernst +3
Quinnipiac 10/28 - 11/2/14 778 LV 47 47 4 -
Des Moines Register/Selzer 10/28 - 10/31/14 701 LV 51 44 4 Ernst +7
YouGov 10/25 - 10/31/14 1,112 LV 42 43 13 Braley +1
FOX 10/28 - 10/30/14 911 LV 45 44 7 Ernst +1
CNN 10/27 - 10/30/14 647 LV 49 47 4 Ernst +2
Ipsos/Reuters 10/23 - 10/29/14 1,129 LV 45 45 - -
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Braley) 10/25 - 10/27/14 802 RV 45 46 8 Braley +1
Quinnipiac 10/22 - 10/27/14 817 LV 49 45 5 Ernst +4
Loras College 10/21 - 10/24/14 1,121 LV 44 45 8 Braley +1