Poll Chart

2014 Massachusetts Governor: Baker vs. Coakley

Currently tracking 58 polls from 16 pollsters
Updated 10 months ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Baker was slightly favored to win. (In 63.5% of simulations, Baker beat Coakley.)

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Latest Polls

Poll
Baker
Coakley
Undecided
Other
Spread
Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2014
887 Likely Voters
46 42 6 7 Baker +4
Oct 21 – Oct 30, 2014
430 Likely Voters
46 41 8 5 Baker +5
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014
500 Likely Voters
46 43 7 6 Baker +3
Oct 26 – Oct 29, 2014
600 Likely Voters
44 37 11 Baker +7
Oct 26 – Oct 29, 2014
627 Likely Voters
48 42 4 Baker +6
Oct 20 – Oct 27, 2014
591 Likely Voters
44 47 3 8 Coakley +3
Oct 22 – Oct 25, 2014
494 Likely Voters
43 42 8 8 Baker +1
Oct 21 – Oct 25, 2014
601 Likely Voters
45 41 9 5 Baker +4
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
2,218 Likely Voters
41 45 13 1 Coakley +4
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2014
611 Likely Voters
44 45 5 5 Coakley +1
Oct 19 – Oct 22, 2014
500 Likely Voters
45 36 11 7 Baker +9
Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2014
501 Likely Voters
43 42 10 4 Baker +1
Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014
980 Likely Voters
48 46 5 2 Baker +2
Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2014
400 Likely Voters
41 41 10 8
Oct 8 – Oct 11, 2014
500 Likely Voters
39 42 14 5 Coakley +3
Oct 6 – Oct 7, 2014
500 Likely Voters
45 40 8 7 Baker +5
Oct 5 – Oct 7, 2014
400 Likely Voters
34 39 20 7 Coakley +5
Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2014
504 Likely Voters
39 41 14 6 Coakley +2
Sep 26 – Oct 2, 2014
414 Likely Voters
44 48 2 6 Coakley +4
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
2,389 Likely Voters
41 47 11 1 Coakley +6
Sep 28 – Sep 30, 2014
401 Likely Voters
39 36 21 4 Baker +3
Sep 25 – Sep 28, 2014
500 Likely Voters
43 44 9 4 Coakley +1
Sep 20 – Sep 28, 2014
416 Likely Voters
44 43 8 5 Baker +1
Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2014
503 Likely Voters
41 44 11 4 Coakley +3
Sep 21 – Sep 23, 2014
400 Likely Voters
40 38 18 5 Baker +2
Sep 19 – Sep 23, 2014
440 Likely Voters
46 45 2 6 Baker +1
Sep 16 – Sep 21, 2014
502 Likely Voters
36 46 13 5 Coakley +10
Sep 16 – Sep 17, 2014
750 Likely Voters
42 42 10 5
Sep 14 – Sep 16, 2014
407 Likely Voters
36 39 19 6 Coakley +3
Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2014
504 Likely Voters
35 44 16 4 Coakley +9
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
3,361 Likely Voters
35 43 16 6 Coakley +8
Aug 25 – Aug 31, 2014
1,624 Registered Voters
32 41 20 8 Coakley +9
Aug 24 – Aug 31, 2014
700 Likely Voters
31 40 22 6 Coakley +9
Aug 17 – Aug 26, 2014
605 Likely Voters
38 37 18 7 Baker +1
Aug 3 – Aug 12, 2014
606 Likely Voters
32 40 21 7 Coakley +8
Jul 28 – Aug 3, 2014
388 Registered Voters
41 44 15 Coakley +3
Jul 20 – Jul 29, 2014
601 Likely Voters
32 42 19 7 Coakley +10
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,839 Likely Voters
39 55 1 5 Coakley +16
Jul 7 – Jul 15, 2014
605 Likely Voters
36 39 16 8 Coakley +3
Jun 22 – Jul 1, 2014
601 Likely Voters
31 40 22 8 Coakley +9
Jun 27 – Jun 29, 2014
502 Likely Voters
28 41 22 7 Coakley +13
Jun 8 – Jun 17, 2014
630 Likely Voters
30 43 20 6 Coakley +13
Jun 4 – Jun 7, 2014
800 Likely Voters
29 36 32 4 Coakley +4
May 29 – Jun 3, 2014
602 Likely Voters
32 37 22 9 Coakley +5
May 16 – May 18, 2014
504 Likely Voters
30 39 25 5 Coakley +9
Apr 30 – May 4, 2014
381 Registered Voters
37 52 10 Coakley +15
Mar 31 – Apr 7, 2014
424 Registered Voters
25 54 15 6 Coakley +29
Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2014
500 Registered Voters
34 45 21 Coakley +11
Mar 14 – Mar 16, 2014
500 Likely Voters
26 41 27 5 Coakley +14
Jan 29 – Feb 8, 2014
381 Registered Voters
33 52 16 Coakley +19
Jan 29 – Feb 3, 2014
600 Likely Voters
31 44 20 4 Coakley +13
Jan 21 – Jan 23, 2014
500 Likely Voters
36 46 18 Coakley +10
Jan 16 – Jan 19, 2014
504 Registered Voters
29 39 26 6 Coakley +10
Oct 28 – Nov 7, 2013
411 Registered Voters
34 52 15 Coakley +18
Oct 1 – Oct 7, 2013
431 Registered Voters
34 54 12 Coakley +20
Sep 20 – Sep 23, 2013
616 Likely Voters
38 51 11 Coakley +13
Jun 22 – Jun 24, 2012
902 Likely Voters
34 47 19 Coakley +13
Mar 16 – Mar 18, 2012
936 Likely Voters
29 49 22 Coakley +20

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