Poll Chart

2014 Minnesota Senate: McFadden vs. Franken

Currently tracking 21 polls from 9 pollsters
Updated 20 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Franken was strongly favored to win. (In 98.1% of simulations, Franken beat McFadden.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Franken
McFadden
Undecided
Spread
Oct 27 – Oct 30, 2014
596 Likely Voters
51 40 3 Franken +11
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
2,430 Likely Voters
51 41 7 Franken +10
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2014
800 Likely Voters
48 39 9 Franken +9
Oct 14 – Oct 16, 2014
597 Likely Voters
53 38 3 Franken +15
Oct 5 – Oct 7, 2014
500 Likely Voters
46 39 Franken +7
Sep 30 – Oct 2, 2014
577 Likely Voters
55 37 3 Franken +18
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
2,562 Likely Voters
49 42 8 Franken +7
Sep 29 – Sep 30, 2014
750 Likely Voters
49 41 6 Franken +8
Sep 8 – Sep 10, 2014
800 Likely Voters
49 36 11 Franken +13
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
3,607 Likely Voters
49 41 9 Franken +8
Aug 19 – Aug 21, 2014
600 Likely Voters
51 42 3 Franken +9
Aug 13 – Aug 14, 2014
750 Likely Voters
50 42 6 Franken +8
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
3,128 Likely Voters
55 41 2 Franken +14
Jul 2 – Jul 3, 2014
879 Registered Voters
51 35 Franken +16
Jun 12 – Jun 15, 2014
633 Likely Voters
49 38 13 Franken +11
Jun 5 – Jun 9, 2014
1,017 Likely Voters
48 42 5 Franken +6
Apr 24 – Apr 28, 2014
800 Likely Voters
44 29 21 Franken +15
Mar 25 – Mar 26, 2014
1,081 Likely Voters
44 38 12 Franken +6
Feb 25 – Feb 27, 2014
545 Registered Voters
50 40 11 Franken +10
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2013
895 Likely Voters
49 38 13 Franken +11
May 17 – May 19, 2013
712 Likely Voters
51 36 13 Franken +15

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