Poll Chart

2014 Montana Senate: Daines vs. Curtis

Currently tracking 7 polls from 4 pollsters
Updated over 1 year ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Daines was strongly favored to win. (In >99% of simulations, Daines beat Curtis.)

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Curtis
Daines
Undecided
Other
Spread
Oct 23 – Oct 25, 2014
604 Likely Voters
39 53 8 Daines +14
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
497 Likely Voters
38 56 6 0 Daines +18
Oct 6 – Oct 11, 2014
410 Likely Voters
31 47 21 2 Daines +16
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
549 Likely Voters
34 55 10 0 Daines +21
Sep 29 – Sep 30, 2014
535 Likely Voters
41 54 5 Daines +13
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
684 Likely Voters
35 53 11 1 Daines +18
Aug 18 – Aug 19, 2014
750 Likely Voters
35 55 8 2 Daines +20

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