Poll Chart

2014 New Hampshire House: 1st District

Currently tracking 19 polls from 5 pollsters
Updated over 1 year ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Guinta was very likely leading. (In 89.7% of simulations, Guinta led Shea-Porter.)

Choices

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Latest Polls

Poll
Shea-Porter
Guinta
Undecided
Other
Spread
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2014
405 Likely Voters
49 50 1 Guinta +1
Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2014
778 Likely Voters
43 52 3 2 Guinta +9
Oct 22 – Oct 26, 2014
261 Likely Voters
44 40 15 1 Shea-Porter +4
Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2014
556 Likely Voters
43 49 4 4 Guinta +6
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
552 Likely Voters
41 44 16 0 Guinta +3
Oct 16 – Oct 16, 2014
461 Likely Voters
46 47 3 3 Guinta +1
Oct 10 – Oct 15, 2014
160 Likely Voters
54 37 6 3 Shea-Porter +17
Oct 9 – Oct 9, 2014
536 Likely Voters
43 46 5 6 Guinta +3
Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2014
258 Likely Voters
42 39 16 3 Shea-Porter +3
Oct 3 – Oct 3, 2014
626 Likely Voters
47 44 4 5 Shea-Porter +3
Sep 19 – Sep 20, 2014
715 Likely Voters
45 45 4 6
Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014
607 Likely Voters
46 42 6 7 Shea-Porter +4
Sep 3 – Sep 7, 2014
400 Likely Voters
45 43 Shea-Porter +2
Aug 7 – Aug 17, 2014
297 Likely Voters
41 45 14 Guinta +4
Jun 19 – Jul 1, 2014
263 Likely Voters
43 46 10 2 Guinta +3
Apr 1 – Apr 9, 2014
199 Likely Voters
44 35 21 0 Shea-Porter +9
Jan 21 – Jan 26, 2014
245 Likely Voters
39 45 15 2 Guinta +6
Oct 7 – Oct 16, 2013
258 Adults
48 32 18 1 Shea-Porter +16
Oct 7 – Oct 9, 2013
882 Registered Voters
43 42 15 Shea-Porter +1

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