Poll Chart

2014 North Carolina Senate: Tillis vs. Hagan

Currently tracking 76 polls from 30 pollsters
Updated 3 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests a toss-up between Hagan and Tillis. (In 53.2% of simulations, Hagan beat Tillis.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Pollster Dates Pop. Hagan Tillis Haugh Undecided Spread
PPP (D) 11/1 - 11/3/14 1,333 LV 46 44 5 6 Hagan +2
YouGov 10/25 - 10/31/14 1,727 LV 44 41 - 12 Hagan +3
Civitas (R) 10/29 - 10/30/14 600 LV 42 41 7 6 Hagan +1
FOX 10/28 - 10/30/14 909 LV 43 42 4 9 Hagan +1
Harper (R) 10/28 - 10/30/14 509 LV 44 46 6 4 Tillis +2
CNN 10/27 - 10/30/14 559 LV 48 46 4 2 Hagan +2
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) 10/28 - 10/29/14 657 LV 47 46 4 3 Hagan +1
Rasmussen 10/28 - 10/29/14 982 LV 47 46 - 3 Hagan +1
POS (R-Tillis/NRSC) 10/26 - 10/27/14 600 LV 44 44 7 5 -
Vox Populi (R) 10/26 - 10/27/14 615 LV 43 48 - 9 Tillis +5

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