Poll Chart

2014 North Carolina Senate: Tillis vs. Hagan

Currently tracking 76 polls from 30 pollsters
Updated 24 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests a toss-up between Hagan and Tillis. (In 53.2% of simulations, Hagan beat Tillis.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Hagan
Tillis
Haugh
Undecided
Spread
Nov 1 – Nov 3, 2014
1,333 Likely Voters
46 44 5 6 Hagan +2
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2014
1,727 Likely Voters
44 41 12 Hagan +3
Oct 29 – Oct 30, 2014
600 Likely Voters
42 41 7 6 Hagan +1
FOX
Oct 28 – Oct 30, 2014
909 Likely Voters
43 42 4 9 Hagan +1
CNN
Oct 27 – Oct 30, 2014
559 Likely Voters
48 46 4 2 Hagan +2
Oct 28 – Oct 30, 2014
509 Likely Voters
44 46 6 4 Tillis +2
Oct 28 – Oct 29, 2014
657 Likely Voters
47 46 4 3 Hagan +1
Oct 28 – Oct 29, 2014
982 Likely Voters
47 46 3 Hagan +1
Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014
600 Likely Voters
44 44 7 5 Hagan +0
Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014
615 Likely Voters
43 48 9 Tillis +5
Oct 23 – Oct 26, 2014
432 Likely Voters
48 46 1 4 Hagan +2
Oct 21 – Oct 25, 2014
687 Likely Voters
45 41 9 Hagan +4
Oct 21 – Oct 25, 2014
802 Likely Voters
44 44 5 5 Hagan +0
Oct 19 – Oct 23, 2014
756 Likely Voters
43 43 7 6 Hagan +0
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,910 Likely Voters
44 41 2 13 Hagan +3
Oct 16 – Oct 20, 2014
568 Likely Voters
46 43 6 5 Hagan +3
Oct 16 – Oct 18, 2014
780 Likely Voters
46 43 5 7 Hagan +3
Oct 16 – Oct 18, 2014
1,022 Likely Voters
43 48 9 Tillis +5
Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2014
600 Likely Voters
41 42 6 10 Tillis +1
Oct 9 – Oct 12, 2014
554 Likely Voters
44 41 7 8 Hagan +3
Sep 30 – Oct 9, 2014
584 Likely Voters
40 40 7 13 Hagan +0
Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014
600 Likely Voters
44 42 6 Hagan +2
Oct 6 – Oct 7, 2014
970 Likely Voters
48 46 4 Hagan +2
Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014
500 Likely Voters
47 45 4 3 Hagan +2
Oct 1 – Oct 6, 2014
955 Likely Voters
40 38 2 20 Hagan +2
Sep 27 – Oct 1, 2014
665 Likely Voters
44 40 7 9 Hagan +4
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
2,002 Likely Voters
46 45 2 6 Hagan +1
Sep 25 – Sep 27, 2014
600 Likely Voters
46 41 4 8 Hagan +5
CNN
Sep 22 – Sep 25, 2014
595 Likely Voters
46 43 7 4 Hagan +3
Sep 22 – Sep 23, 2014
860 Likely Voters
46 42 12 Hagan +4
Sep 16 – Sep 18, 2014
600 Likely Voters
45 41 5 9 Hagan +4
Sep 13 – Sep 18, 2014
410 Likely Voters
42 40 6 12 Hagan +2
FOX
Sep 14 – Sep 16, 2014
605 Likely Voters
41 36 6 17 Hagan +5
Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2014
1,266 Likely Voters
44 40 5 11 Hagan +4
Sep 5 – Sep 10, 2014
459 Likely Voters
46 36 6 13 Hagan +10
Sep 8 – Sep 10, 2014
1,000 Likely Voters
45 39 9 Hagan +6
Sep 9 – Sep 10, 2014
490 Likely Voters
46 43 5 6 Hagan +3
Sep 5 – Sep 9, 2014
629 Likely Voters
45 41 6 Hagan +4
Sep 3 – Sep 6, 2014
802 Likely Voters
48 45 Hagan +3
Sep 2 – Sep 4, 2014
600 Likely Voters
44 44 8 4 Hagan +0
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
2,059 Likely Voters
42 43 5 10 Tillis +1
Aug 16 – Aug 19, 2014
500 Likely Voters
45 43 5 6 Hagan +2
Aug 14 – Aug 17, 2014
856 Likely Voters
42 38 8 13 Hagan +4
Aug 5 – Aug 6, 2014
750 Likely Voters
40 45 9 Tillis +5
Jul 28 – Jul 29, 2014
600 Likely Voters
42 41 8 8 Hagan +1
Jul 22 – Jul 27, 2014
1,380 Registered Voters
44 41 15 Hagan +3
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
2,601 Likely Voters
47 48 3 Tillis +1
Jul 17 – Jul 20, 2014
1,062 Likely Voters
41 34 8 16 Hagan +7
Jun 18 – Jun 22, 2014
600 Likely Voters
44 37 10 9 Hagan +7
Jun 12 – Jun 15, 2014
1,076 Likely Voters
39 34 11 16 Hagan +5
Jun 5 – Jun 8, 2014
700 Likely Voters
47 46 Hagan +1
May 20 – May 22, 2014
600 Likely Voters
37 41 10 11 Tillis +4
May 9 – May 11, 2014
877 Likely Voters
38 36 11 15 Hagan +2
May 7 – May 8, 2014
750 Likely Voters
44 45 7 Tillis +1
Apr 8 – Apr 15, 2014
946 Registered Voters
42 40 12 Hagan +2
Apr 14 – Apr 15, 2014
804 Likely Voters
43 43 6 Hagan +0
Apr 3 – Apr 6, 2014
740 Likely Voters
43 41 16 Hagan +2
Mar 27 – Mar 31, 2014
1,489 Likely Voters
45 46 9 Tillis +1
Mar 6 – Mar 9, 2014
708 Likely Voters
45 43 13 Hagan +2
Feb 17 – Feb 20, 2014
400 Likely Voters
45 41 13 Hagan +4
Feb 11 – Feb 15, 2014
611 Registered Voters
38 35 26 Hagan +3
Feb 6 – Feb 9, 2014
708 Likely Voters
40 42 17 Tillis +2
Jan 22 – Jan 23, 2014
500 Likely Voters
40 47 3 Tillis +7
Jan 20 – Jan 21, 2014
778 Likely Voters
44 44 12 Hagan +0
Jan 9 – Jan 12, 2014
1,384 Likely Voters
42 43 15 Tillis +1
Dec 5 – Dec 8, 2013
1,281 Likely Voters
44 42 14 Hagan +2
Nov 8 – Nov 11, 2013
701 Likely Voters
44 42 14 Hagan +2
Sep 6 – Sep 9, 2013
600 Likely Voters
51 36 14 Hagan +15
Aug 8 – Aug 11, 2013
600 Likely Voters
47 39 14 Hagan +8
Jul 12 – Jul 14, 2013
600 Likely Voters
49 38 12 Hagan +11
Jun 12 – Jun 14, 2013
500 Likely Voters
45 40 15 Hagan +5
May 17 – May 20, 2013
500 Likely Voters
48 41 11 Hagan +7
Apr 11 – Apr 14, 2013
601 Likely Voters
49 39 11 Hagan +10
Mar 7 – Mar 10, 2013
611 Likely Voters
50 36 14 Hagan +14
Feb 7 – Feb 10, 2013
600 Likely Voters
46 38 16 Hagan +8
Jan 10 – Jan 13, 2013
608 Likely Voters
47 37 16 Hagan +10

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