Poll Chart

2014 Oregon Senate: Wehby vs. Merkley

Currently tracking 19 polls from 11 pollsters
Updated 22 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Merkley was strongly favored to win. (In >99% of simulations, Merkley beat Wehby.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Wehby
Merkley
Undecided
Spread
Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014
403 Likely Voters
30 49 18 Merkley +19
Oct 23 – Oct 27, 2014
552 Likely Voters
32 53 6 Merkley +21
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,421 Likely Voters
39 51 9 Merkley +12
Oct 16 – Oct 19, 2014
561 Likely Voters
32 53 8 Merkley +21
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,508 Likely Voters
39 52 8 Merkley +13
Sep 22 – Sep 24, 2014
568 Likely Voters
32 52 8 Merkley +20
Sep 9 – Sep 11, 2014
600 Likely Voters
34 42 14 Merkley +8
Sep 2 – Sep 3, 2014
750 Likely Voters
35 48 12 Merkley +13
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,541 Likely Voters
39 51 9 Merkley +12
Aug 5 – Aug 7, 2014
500 Likely Voters
38 47 16 Merkley +9
Aug 1 – Aug 5, 2014
564 Likely Voters
33 52 9 Merkley +19
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
2,056 Likely Voters
41 55 3 Merkley +14
Jun 5 – Jun 9, 2014
560 Likely Voters
32 50 9 Merkley +18
May 12 – Jun 1, 2014
615 Likely Voters
39 41 11 Merkley +2
May 22 – May 27, 2014
956 Likely Voters
36 50 15 Merkley +14
May 21 – May 22, 2014
750 Likely Voters
37 47 11 Merkley +10
Apr 28 – Apr 30, 2014
618 Likely Voters
45 41 14 Wehby +4
Apr 14 – Apr 17, 2014
600 Likely Voters
32 52 16 Merkley +20
Apr 1 – Apr 2, 2014
670 Likely Voters
34 46 20 Merkley +12

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