Poll Chart

2014 Virginia Senate: Gillespie vs. Warner

Currently tracking 22 polls from 10 pollsters
Updated 21 days ago
Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Warner was strongly favored to win. (In 96.8% of simulations, Warner beat Gillespie.)

Choices

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Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll
Warner
Gillespie
Undecided
Spread
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2014
634 Likely Voters
51 44 3 Warner +7
Oct 20 – Oct 25, 2014
738 Likely Voters
47 35 15 Warner +12
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,605 Likely Voters
49 39 11 Warner +10
Oct 1 – Oct 6, 2014
444 Likely Voters
47 37 10 Warner +10
Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2014
690 Likely Voters
51 39 7 Warner +12
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,656 Likely Voters
51 39 9 Warner +12
Sep 22 – Sep 23, 2014
625 Likely Voters
48 35 12 Warner +13
Sep 17 – Sep 22, 2014
1,010 Likely Voters
48 39 7 Warner +9
Sep 13 – Sep 19, 2014
630 Likely Voters
46 27 22 Warner +19
Sep 2 – Sep 7, 2014
713 Likely Voters
53 31 11 Warner +22
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,635 Likely Voters
51 39 9 Warner +12
Jul 27 – Jul 30, 2014
804 Likely Voters
53 28 14 Warner +25
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
2,047 Likely Voters
53 43 2 Warner +10
Jul 14 – Jul 19, 2014
556 Registered Voters
47 22 25 Warner +25
Jun 11 – Jun 12, 2014
1,000 Likely Voters
53 36 9 Warner +17
Apr 1 – Apr 2, 2014
689 Likely Voters
49 35 16 Warner +14
Mar 19 – Mar 24, 2014
1,288 Registered Voters
46 31 17 Warner +15
Feb 22 – Feb 28, 2014
707 Registered Voters
56 29 14 Warner +27
Feb 4 – Feb 5, 2014
936 Likely Voters
44 38 18 Warner +6
Jan 15 – Jan 22, 2014
1,023 Registered Voters
50 30 18 Warner +20
Jan 20 – Jan 21, 2014
1,000 Likely Voters
51 37 9 Warner +14
Jan 13 – Jan 17, 2014
553 Registered Voters
50 21 26 Warner +29

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