Poll Chart

2016 Arizona Senate: McCain vs. Kirkpatrick

Currently tracking 31 polls from 21 pollsters
Updated 30 days ago
Election on November 8, 2016

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests McCain was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, McCain led Kirkpatrick.)

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Latest Polls

Poll
McCain
Kirkpatrick
Other
Undecided
Spread
Nov 1 – Nov 7
2,609 Likely Voters
50 45 5 McCain +5
Nov 4 – Nov 6
392 Likely Voters
50 42 9 McCain +8
Nov 4 – Nov 6
550 Likely Voters
56 44 McCain +12
Nov 1 – Nov 2
550 Likely Voters
52 41 8 McCain +11
Oct 30 – Nov 1
719 Likely Voters
55 39 5 2 McCain +16
Oct 28 – Nov 1
1,113 Likely Voters
52 40 8 McCain +12
CNN
Oct 27 – Nov 1
769 Likely Voters
54 41 4 0 McCain +13
Oct 25 – Oct 31
1,457 Likely Voters
49 46 5 McCain +3
Oct 29 – Oct 30
550 Likely Voters
49 39 13 McCain +10
Oct 26 – Oct 28
994 Likely Voters
43 38 8 11 McCain +5
Oct 21 – Oct 24
401 Likely Voters
50 40 5 4 McCain +10
Oct 6 – Oct 18
1,538 Likely Voters
48 38 5 10 McCain +10
Oct 8 – Oct 16
1,028 Likely Voters
48 45 6 McCain +3
Oct 10 – Oct 15
713 Likely Voters
52 40 9 McCain +12
Oct 14 – Oct 14
400 Likely Voters
45 35 8 12 McCain +10
Sep 12 – Sep 14
484 Likely Voters
53 35 1 11 McCain +18
Sep 6 – Sep 8
649 Likely Voters
57 38 1 4 McCain +19
Aug 26 – Aug 28
837 Likely Voters
43 43 15
CNN
Aug 18 – Aug 23
809 Likely Voters
52 39 7 2 McCain +13
Jun 22 – Jun 23
691 Likely Voters
42 40 19 McCain +2
Jun 11 – Jun 20
300 Likely Voters
44 42 4 10 McCain +2
Jun 6 – Jun 19
448 Registered Voters
40 31 29 McCain +9
Jun 8 – Jun 9
747 Likely Voters
41 43 16 Kirkpatrick +2
May 13 – May 15
896 Likely Voters
42 36 23 McCain +6
Apr 4 – Apr 11
564 Registered Voters
42 42 16
Mar 7 – Mar 11
701 Likely Voters
41 40 3 16 McCain +1
Jan 7 – Jan 17
590 Registered Voters
38 37 25 McCain +1
Dec 4 – Dec 9, 2015
504 Likely Voters
51 36 13 McCain +15
Oct 24 – Nov 5, 2015
577 Registered Voters
37 31 32 McCain +5
Aug 13 – Aug 16, 2015
1,433 Registered Voters
48 35 17 McCain +13
May 1 – May 3, 2015
600 Likely Voters
42 36 23 McCain +6

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