Poll Chart

2016 Florida Senate: Rubio vs. Murphy

Currently tracking 58 polls from 28 pollsters
Updated 7 months ago
Election on November 8, 2016

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Rubio was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Rubio led Murphy.)

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Latest Polls

Poll
Rubio
Murphy
Other
Undecided
Spread
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
4,092 Likely Voters
48 49 3 Murphy +1
Nov 3 – Nov 6, 2016
884 Likely Voters
50 43 2 5 Rubio +7
Nov 2 – Nov 4, 2016
1,188 Likely Voters
47 44 3 6 Rubio +3
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016
603 Likely Voters
50 46 4 Rubio +4
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016
626 Likely Voters
50 44 1 4 Rubio +6
CNN
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016
773 Likely Voters
49 48 2 0 Rubio +1
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
2,809 Likely Voters
49 47 4 Rubio +2
Oct 25 – Oct 30, 2016
718 Likely Voters
49 43 1 7 Rubio +6
Oct 25 – Oct 27, 2016
814 Likely Voters
51 42 0 7 Rubio +9
Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2016
698 Likely Voters
49 43 4 4 Rubio +6
Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2016
779 Likely Voters
51 43 4 2 Rubio +8
Oct 22 – Oct 26, 2016
1,028 Likely Voters
44 39 17 Rubio +5
UNF
Oct 20 – Oct 25, 2016
797 Likely Voters
49 43 1 7 Rubio +6
Oct 21 – Oct 24, 2016
953 Likely Voters
51 41 3 5 Rubio +10
Oct 20 – Oct 24, 2016
1,251 Likely Voters
45 41 8 6 Rubio +4
Oct 20 – Oct 21, 2016
1,042 Likely Voters
44 42 6 8 Rubio +2
Oct 20 – Oct 20, 2016
538 Likely Voters
46 46 8
Oct 17 – Oct 18, 2016
892 Likely Voters
45 44 11 Rubio +1
Oct 10 – Oct 16, 2016
660 Likely Voters
49 47 0 4 Rubio +2
Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016
1,702 Likely Voters
51 45 4 Rubio +6
Oct 12 – Oct 13, 2016
985 Likely Voters
44 38 6 12 Rubio +6
Oct 11 – Oct 13, 2016
1,799 Registered Voters
44 36 19 Rubio +8
Oct 5 – Oct 12, 2016
1,532 Likely Voters
40 38 6 15 Rubio +2
Oct 10 – Oct 11, 2016
533 Likely Voters
48 44 9 Rubio +4
Oct 3 – Oct 5, 2016
700 Likely Voters
48 46 2 4 Rubio +2
UNF
Sep 27 – Oct 4, 2016
696 Likely Voters
48 41 1 10 Rubio +7
Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2016
545 Likely Voters
48 44 8 Rubio +4
Sep 28 – Sep 29, 2016
619 Likely Voters
47 43 10 Rubio +4
Sep 27 – Sep 29, 2016
820 Likely Voters
47 40 7 6 Rubio +7
Sep 27 – Sep 28, 2016
826 Likely Voters
42 35 9 15 Rubio +7
Sep 19 – Sep 21, 2016
500 Likely Voters
43 34 4 19 Rubio +9
Sep 15 – Sep 20, 2016
617 Likely Voters
46 42 12 Rubio +4
Sep 16 – Sep 19, 2016
400 Likely Voters
47 45 3 5 Rubio +2
Sep 10 – Sep 16, 2016
475 Likely Voters
44 35 21 Rubio +9
Sep 10 – Sep 14, 2016
867 Likely Voters
48 42 0 9 Rubio +6
CNN
Sep 7 – Sep 12, 2016
788 Likely Voters
54 43 2 0 Rubio +11
Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2016
601 Likely Voters
50 43 1 6 Rubio +7
Sep 4 – Sep 6, 2016
744 Likely Voters
40 37 10 13 Rubio +3
Aug 22 – Aug 24, 2016
625 Registered Voters
46 43 11 Rubio +3
Aug 18 – Aug 24, 2016
600 Registered Voters
43 42 16 Rubio +1
Aug 14 – Aug 18, 2016
1,380 Likely Voters
46 38 16 Rubio +8
Aug 12 – Aug 15, 2016
402 Likely Voters
48 43 3 5 Rubio +5
Aug 10 – Aug 10, 2016
622 Likely Voters
45 43 12 Rubio +2
Aug 4 – Aug 10, 2016
862 Registered Voters
49 43 3 5 Rubio +6
Jul 30 – Aug 7, 2016
1,056 Likely Voters
48 45 0 7 Rubio +3
Aug 1 – Aug 3, 2016
500 Likely Voters
46 33 21 Rubio +13
Jul 5 – Jul 11, 2016
871 Registered Voters
47 44 2 7 Rubio +3
Jun 30 – Jul 11, 2016
1,015 Registered Voters
50 37 1 12 Rubio +13
Jul 9 – Jul 10, 2016
700 Likely Voters
40 33 5 21 Rubio +7
Jun 25 – Jun 27, 2016
1,678 Likely Voters
43 43 7 8
Jun 8 – Jun 19, 2016
975 Registered Voters
47 40 10 Rubio +7
Jun 15 – Jun 16, 2016
508 Likely Voters
41 42 17 Murphy +1
Jun 2 – Jun 5, 2016
737 Likely Voters
43 44 13 Murphy +1
Apr 25 – Apr 27, 2016
604 Likely Voters
49 41 10 Rubio +8
Sep 11 – Sep 13, 2015
814 Likely Voters
46 40 14 Rubio +6
Mar 19 – Mar 22, 2015
923 Likely Voters
48 41 11 Rubio +7
Mar 3 – Mar 5, 2015
800 Registered Voters
50 38 12 Rubio +12
Sep 4 – Sep 7, 2014
818 Likely Voters
46 41 12 Rubio +5

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