Poll Chart
2016 National House Race
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Democrat is very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Democrat led Republican.)
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Latest Polls
| Poll | Democrat |
Republican |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Morning Consult
NEW!
Sep 22 – Sep 24
1,712 Likely Voters
|
43 | 40 | 18 | Democrat +3 | |
|
Sep 15 – Sep 20
1,094 Registered Voters
|
49 | 45 | 3 | 4 | Democrat +4 |
|
Sep 18 – Sep 19
1,300 Adults
|
43 | 36 | 4 | 17 | Democrat +7 |
|
Sep 15 – Sep 19
1,111 Likely Voters
|
39 | 40 | 5 | 15 | Republican +1 |
|
Sep 15 – Sep 16
1,639 Likely Voters
|
45 | 40 | 16 | Democrat +5 | |
|
Sep 10 – Sep 13
1,085 Registered Voters
|
44 | 38 | 3 | 15 | Democrat +6 |
|
Sep 8 – Sep 12
1,127 Likely Voters
|
40 | 38 | 5 | 17 | Democrat +2 |
|
Sep 6 – Sep 8
1,710 Likely Voters
|
44 | 40 | 16 | Democrat +4 | |
|
Sep 4 – Sep 6
1,073 Registered Voters
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 18 | Democrat +3 |
|
Sep 1 – Sep 5
1,084 Likely Voters
|
40 | 39 | 4 | 18 | Democrat +1 |
|
Sep 1 – Sep 4
786 Likely Voters
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 2 | Republican +2 |
|
Sep 1 – Sep 2
2,001 Registered Voters
|
41 | 38 | 21 | Democrat +3 | |
|
Aug 28 – Sep 1
1,000 Likely Voters
|
45 | 43 | 13 | Democrat +2 | |
|
Aug 27 – Aug 29
1,112 Adults
|
42 | 39 | 2 | 17 | Democrat +3 |
|
Aug 25 – Aug 29
1,404 Likely Voters
|
39 | 37 | 5 | 20 | Democrat +2 |
|
Aug 24 – Aug 26
2,007 Registered Voters
|
42 | 39 | 19 | Democrat +3 | |
|
Aug 20 – Aug 24
1,049 Likely Voters
|
43 | 36 | 3 | 18 | Democrat +7 |
|
Aug 19 – Aug 23
1,075 Adults
|
44 | 37 | 3 | 16 | Democrat +7 |
|
Aug 18 – Aug 20
2,001 Registered Voters
|
42 | 37 | 21 | Democrat +5 | |
|
Aug 13 – Aug 17
1,049 Likely Voters
|
40 | 39 | 3 | 17 | Democrat +1 |
|
Aug 11 – Aug 16
1,073 Adults
|
44 | 35 | 3 | 18 | Democrat +9 |
|
Aug 9 – Aug 15
1,000 Likely Voters
|
48 | 41 | 2 | 8 | Democrat +7 |
|
Aug 11 – Aug 14
2,001 Registered Voters
|
43 | 37 | 19 | Democrat +6 | |
|
Aug 6 – Aug 10
974 Likely Voters
|
41 | 35 | 4 | 20 | Democrat +6 |
|
Aug 6 – Aug 9
1,026 Registered Voters
|
41 | 39 | 3 | 18 | Democrat +2 |
|
Aug 4 – Aug 5
2,001 Registered Voters
|
44 | 36 | 20 | Democrat +8 | |
|
Aug 1 – Aug 3
983 Registered Voters
|
49 | 41 | 3 | 7 | Democrat +8 |
|
Jul 30 – Aug 3
1,072 Likely Voters
|
40 | 37 | 4 | 19 | Democrat +3 |
|
Jul 30 – Aug 1
1,063 Registered Voters
|
44 | 36 | 2 | 17 | Democrat +8 |
|
Jul 29 – Jul 30
1,931 Registered Voters
|
43 | 38 | 20 | Democrat +5 | |
|
Jul 29 – Jul 30
1,276 Likely Voters
|
47 | 44 | 9 | Democrat +3 | |
|
Jul 25 – Jul 29
1,433 Likely Voters
|
38 | 37 | 3 | 21 | Democrat +1 |
|
Jul 23 – Jul 24
1,057 Registered Voters
|
41 | 39 | 4 | 16 | Democrat +2 |
|
Jul 22 – Jul 24
2,502 Registered Voters
|
41 | 38 | 21 | Democrat +3 | |
|
Jul 16 – Jul 20
1,232 Registered Voters
|
45 | 34 | 4 | 17 | Democrat +11 |
|
Jul 15 – Jul 17
Registered Voters
|
43 | 36 | 3 | 18 | Democrat +7 |
|
Jul 14 – Jul 16
2,002 Registered Voters
|
44 | 37 | 19 | Democrat +7 | |
|
Jul 9 – Jul 11
1,041 Registered Voters
|
43 | 36 | 3 | 18 | Democrat +7 |
|
Jul 8 – Jul 10
2,001 Registered Voters
|
44 | 36 | 20 | Democrat +8 | |
|
Jul 2 – Jul 6
1,345 Registered Voters
|
46 | 35 | 5 | 15 | Democrat +11 |
|
Jul 2 – Jul 4
998 Registered Voters
|
45 | 36 | 3 | 16 | Democrat +9 |
|
Jun 30 – Jul 4
2,001 Registered Voters
|
43 | 37 | 20 | Democrat +6 | |
|
Jun 25 – Jun 29
1,247 Registered Voters
|
44 | 33 | 6 | 15 | Democrat +11 |
|
Jun 26 – Jun 28
1,017 Registered Voters
|
46 | 41 | 11 | Democrat +5 | |
|
Jun 23 – Jun 28
900 Likely Voters
|
49 | 41 | 2 | 8 | Democrat +8 |
|
Jun 24 – Jun 27
1,063 Registered Voters
|
42 | 36 | 4 | 19 | Democrat +6 |
|
Jun 19 – Jun 23
1,000 Registered Voters
|
46 | 46 | 8 | ||
|
Jun 18 – Jun 22
1,339 Registered Voters
|
47 | 33 | 5 | 12 | Democrat +14 |
|
Jun 11 – Jun 15
1,323 Registered Voters
|
44 | 33 | 6 | 15 | Democrat +11 |
|
May 16 – May 19
829 Registered Voters
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 6 | |
|
May 11 – May 16
1,000 Likely Voters
|
46 | 42 | 13 | Democrat +4 | |
|
Apr 17 – Apr 20
1,000 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 13 | Democrat +5 | |
|
Apr 10 – Apr 14
1,000 Registered Voters
|
47 | 45 | 8 | Democrat +2 | |
|
Mar 24 – Mar 26
1,083 Likely Voters
|
43 | 43 | 13 | ||
|
Feb 2 – Feb 3
1,236 Likely Voters
|
47 | 41 | 12 | Democrat +6 | |
|
Dec 16 – Dec 17, 2015
1,267 Likely Voters
|
43 | 43 | 14 | ||
|
Oct 25 – Oct 29, 2015
1,000 Adults
|
45 | 45 | 10 | ||
|
Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2015
1,338 Likely Voters
|
43 | 43 | 14 | ||
|
Jul 23 – Jul 28, 2015
1,644 Registered Voters
|
37 | 39 | 3 | 20 | Republican +2 |
|
May 19 – May 26, 2015
1,711 Registered Voters
|
39 | 36 | 2 | 22 | Democrat +3 |
|
May 10 – May 14, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 38 | 5 | 18 | |
|
May 3 – May 7, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 38 | 6 | 18 | |
|
Apr 26 – Apr 30, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 40 | 6 | 17 | Republican +2 |
|
Apr 19 – Apr 23, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 39 | 5 | 17 | Republican +1 |
|
Apr 16 – Apr 21, 2015
1,353 Registered Voters
|
37 | 40 | 2 | 20 | Republican +3 |
|
Apr 12 – Apr 16, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 39 | 6 | 17 | |
|
Apr 5 – Apr 9, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
37 | 40 | 5 | 18 | Republican +3 |
|
Mar 29 – Apr 2, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
36 | 40 | 6 | 17 | Republican +4 |
|
Mar 22 – Mar 26, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 39 | 6 | 18 | Republican +1 |
|
Mar 15 – Mar 19, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 39 | 6 | 16 | |
|
Mar 8 – Mar 12, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 39 | 5 | 18 | Republican +1 |
|
Mar 1 – Mar 5, 2015
2,500 Likely Voters
|
36 | 41 | 6 | 16 | Republican +5 |
|
Feb 23 – Mar 1, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
39 | 39 | 6 | 16 | |
|
Feb 16 – Feb 22, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
39 | 38 | 6 | 16 | Democrat +1 |
|
Feb 8 – Feb 15, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
38 | 39 | 6 | 17 | Republican +1 |
|
Feb 2 – Feb 8, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
39 | 40 | 5 | 16 | Republican +1 |
|
Jan 26 – Feb 1, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
40 | 38 | 5 | 17 | Democrat +2 |
|
Jan 19 – Jan 25, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
40 | 37 | 6 | 17 | Democrat +3 |
|
Jan 12 – Jan 18, 2015
2,800 Likely Voters
|
39 | 38 | 6 | 18 | Democrat +1 |
|
Jan 5 – Jan 11, 2015
3,500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 38 | 7 | 16 | |
|
Dec 29, 2014 – Jan 4, 2015
3,500 Likely Voters
|
40 | 38 | 7 | 16 | Democrat +2 |
|
Dec 22 – Dec 28, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 39 | 6 | 16 | |
|
Dec 15 – Dec 21, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 40 | 6 | 15 | Republican +1 |
|
Dec 8 – Dec 14, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
37 | 40 | 6 | 17 | Republican +3 |
|
Dec 1 – Dec 7, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
40 | 39 | 5 | 16 | Democrat +1 |
|
Nov 24 – Nov 30, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
40 | 41 | 5 | 15 | Republican +1 |
|
Nov 17 – Nov 23, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 43 | 5 | 14 | Republican +4 |
|
Nov 10 – Nov 16, 2014
3,500 Likely Voters
|
41 | 41 | 5 | 13 |
