Poll Update

2016 General Election - Clinton 47%, Trump 42% (CNN/ORC 9/28-10/2/16)

Population 1,501 Adults
Margin of Error ±2.5 percentage points
Polling Method Live Phone
Source CNN [PDF]
This poll asked respondents 6 questions tracked by HuffPost Pollster. Read our FAQ.

Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Party’s candidates, Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party’s candidates, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld as the Libertarian Party’s candidates and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka as the Green Party’s candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?

Asked of 1213 Likely Voters
Clinton/Kaine 47%
Trump/Pence 42%
Johnson/Weld 7%
Stein/Baraka 2%
None (vol.) 1%
Other (vol.) 0%
No opinion 1%
Asked of Likely Voters - Democrat
Clinton/Kaine 91%
Trump/Pence 5%
Johnson/Weld 3%
Stein/Baraka 1%
None (vol.) 1%
Other (vol.) 0%
No opinion 0%
Asked of Likely Voters - Republican
Clinton/Kaine 7%
Trump/Pence 87%
Johnson/Weld 5%
Stein/Baraka 1%
None (vol.) 1%
Other (vol.) 0%
No opinion 0%
Asked of Likely Voters - independent
Clinton/Kaine 44%
Trump/Pence 37%
Johnson/Weld 13%
Stein/Baraka 3%
None (vol.) 2%
Other (vol.) 0%
No opinion 1%

Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included only Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party’s candidate and Donald Trump and as the Republican Party’s candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for?

Asked of 1213 Likely Voters
Clinton/Kaine 51%
Trump/Pence 45%
Other (vol.) 1%
Neither (vol.) 3%
No opinion 0%
Asked of Likely Voters - Democrat
Clinton/Kaine 94%
Trump/Pence 5%
Other (vol.) 0%
Neither (vol.) 1%
No opinion 0%
Asked of Likely Voters - Republican
Clinton/Kaine 9%
Trump/Pence 89%
Other (vol.) 0%
Neither (vol.) 2%
No opinion 1%
Asked of Likely Voters - independent
Clinton/Kaine 51%
Trump/Pence 42%
Other (vol.) 1%
Neither (vol.) 6%
No opinion 0%

Hillary Clinton Favorable Rating

Asked of 1335 Registered Voters
Favorable 41%
Unfavorable 56%
Never heard of 0%
No opinion 2%

Donald Trump Favorable Rating

Asked of 1335 Registered Voters
Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 59%
Never heard of 0%
No opinion 3%

Mike Pence Favorable Rating

Asked of 1335 Registered Voters
Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 30%
Never heard of 15%
No opinion 17%

Tim Kaine Favorable Rating

Asked of 1335 Registered Voters
Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 30%
Never Heard of 14%
No opinion 18%