Poll Chart
2012 Washington Governor: Inslee vs. McKenna
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Inslee was very likely leading. (In 89.8% of simulations, Inslee led McKenna.)
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Our averages don't add up to 100% because we calculate each trendline separately.
Latest Polls
| Poll | Inslee |
McKenna |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 1 – Nov 3, 2012
932 Likely Voters
|
50 | 48 | 2 | Inslee +2 | |
|
Oct 28 – Oct 31, 2012
555 Likely Voters
|
47 | 46 | 7 | Inslee +1 | |
|
Oct 18 – Oct 31, 2012
632 Likely Voters
|
49 | 46 | 6 | Inslee +3 | |
|
Oct 18 – Oct 21, 2012
451 Likely Voters
|
45 | 47 | 8 | McKenna +2 | |
|
Oct 17 – Oct 20, 2012
500 Likely Voters
|
46 | 46 | 8 | 1 | |
|
Oct 15 – Oct 16, 2012
574 Likely Voters
|
48 | 42 | 10 | Inslee +6 | |
|
Oct 1 – Oct 16, 2012
644 Likely Voters
|
47 | 46 | 7 | Inslee +1 | |
|
Oct 14 – Oct 14, 2012
500 Likely Voters
|
47 | 45 | 8 | 1 | Inslee +2 |
|
Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2012
543 Likely Voters
|
47 | 44 | 9 | Inslee +3 | |
|
Oct 4 – Oct 11, 2012
648 Likely Voters
|
49 | 39 | 12 | Inslee +10 | |
|
Sep 28 – Sep 30, 2012
540 Likely Voters
|
48 | 42 | 10 | Inslee +6 | |
|
Sep 26 – Sep 26, 2012
500 Likely Voters
|
46 | 45 | 6 | 3 | Inslee +1 |
|
Sep 7 – Sep 14, 2012
775 Likely Voters
|
47 | 43 | 10 | Inslee +4 | |
|
Aug 1 – Aug 2, 2012
524 Likely Voters
|
48 | 45 | 7 | Inslee +3 | |
|
Jul 18 – Jul 22, 2012
405 Registered Voters
|
43 | 36 | 21 | Inslee +7 | |
|
Jul 16 – Jul 18, 2012
630 Registered Voters
|
41 | 42 | 16 | McKenna +1 | |
|
Jun 14 – Jun 17, 2012
1,073 Likely Voters
|
40 | 43 | 17 | McKenna +3 | |
|
Jun 13 – Jun 16, 2012
408 Registered Voters
|
40 | 42 | McKenna +2 | ||
|
May 8 – May 9, 2012
557 Registered Voters
|
38 | 40 | 22 | McKenna +2 | |
|
Feb 16 – Feb 19, 2012
1,264 Likely Voters
|
42 | 42 | 16 | ||
|
Feb 13 – Feb 15, 2012
572 Registered Voters
|
39 | 49 | 12 | McKenna +10 | |
|
Feb 7 – Feb 9, 2012
405 Likely Voters
|
36 | 45 | 19 | McKenna +9 | |
|
Jan 12 – Jan 16, 2012
617 Likely Voters
|
43 | 46 | 11 | McKenna +3 | |
|
Nov 21 – Nov 23, 2011
549 Likely Voters
|
38 | 44 | 17 | McKenna +6 | |
|
Oct 10 – Oct 30, 2011
938 Registered Voters
|
38 | 44 | 18 | McKenna +6 | |
|
Sep 21 – Sep 22, 2011
529 Likely Voters
|
38 | 44 | 18 | McKenna +6 | |
|
Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2011
500 Registered Voters
|
39 | 46 | 13 | 1 | McKenna +7 |
|
Jun 24 – Jun 26, 2011
515 Likely Voters
|
47 | 44 | 9 | Inslee +3 | |
|
Apr 27 – Apr 28, 2011
610 Likely Voters
|
41 | 48 | 11 | McKenna +7 | |
|
May 12 – May 15, 2010
1,098 Likely Voters
|
38 | 40 | 22 | McKenna +2 |
