Poll Chart

2014 Arkansas Governor: Hutchinson vs. Ross

Currently tracking 40 polls from 19 pollsters

Updated over 2 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Hutchinson was strongly favored to win. (In 94.8% of simulations, Hutchinson beat Ross.)

Choices

Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.

Hutchinson53.2%
Ross44.4%
Undecided2.4%

Latest Polls

Poll	Hutchinson	Ross	Undecided	Spread
PPP (D) Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2014 1,092 Likely Voters	51	41	4	Hutchinson +10
U of Arkansas Oct 21 – Oct 27, 2014 568 Likely Voters	50	39	11	Hutchinson +11
Opinion Research Associates (D-Arkansas Democratic Party) Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2014 401 Likely Voters	42	44	11	Ross +2
NBC/Marist Oct 19 – Oct 23, 2014 621 Likely Voters	47	44	5	Hutchinson +3
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 1,567 Likely Voters	47	38	15	Hutchinson +9
Hendrix College/Talk Business Oct 15 – Oct 16, 2014 2,075 Likely Voters	49	41	6	Hutchinson +8
Rasmussen Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014 940 Likely Voters	49	47	3	Hutchinson +2
FOX Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014 707 Likely Voters	46	37	12	Hutchinson +9
Opinion Research Associates (D-Arkansas Democratic Party) Oct 1 – Oct 5, 2014 400 Likely Voters	41	45	11	Ross +4
CBS/NYT/YouGov Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014 1,991 Likely Voters	49	38	12	Hutchinson +11
Rasmussen Sep 24 – Sep 25, 2014 750 Likely Voters	46	42	8	Hutchinson +4
Suffolk/USA Today Sep 20 – Sep 23, 2014 500 Likely Voters	43	41	11	Hutchinson +2
PPP (D) Sep 18 – Sep 21, 2014 1,453 Likely Voters	44	38	13	Hutchinson +6
Gravis Marketing Sep 8 – Sep 11, 2014 902 Registered Voters	46	42	10	Hutchinson +4
NBC/Marist Sep 1 – Sep 2, 2014 639 Likely Voters	48	39	7	Hutchinson +9
CBS/NYT/YouGov Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014 1,572 Likely Voters	45	38	15	Hutchinson +7
Rasmussen Aug 25 – Aug 26, 2014 750 Likely Voters	44	46	7	Ross +2
Opinion Research Associates (D-Arkansas Democratic Party) Aug 6 – Aug 14, 2014 414 Registered Voters	44	44	9
PPP (D) Aug 1 – Aug 3, 2014 1,066 Likely Voters	43	38	12	Hutchinson +5
Hendrix College/Talk Business Jul 22 – Jul 25, 2014 1,780 Likely Voters	46	41	8	Hutchinson +5
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 1,573 Likely Voters	49	46	2	Hutchinson +3
Harstad (D-Pryor) Jul 7 – Jul 10, 2014 807 Likely Voters	42	41		Hutchinson +1
Gravis Marketing Jul 7 – Jul 8, 2014 987 Registered Voters	49	46		Hutchinson +3
Public Opinion Strategies (R-American Crossroads) May 27 – May 29, 2014 500 Likely Voters	48	42	6	Hutchinson +6
Rasmussen May 27 – May 28, 2014 750 Likely Voters	48	41	6	Hutchinson +7
NBC/Marist Apr 30 – May 4, 2014 876 Registered Voters	49	42	7	Hutchinson +7
PPP (D) Apr 25 – Apr 27, 2014 840 Likely Voters	46	38	16	Hutchinson +8
NYT/Kaiser Apr 8 – Apr 15, 2014 857 Registered Voters	41	40	16	Hutchinson +1
Opinion Research Associates (D-Give Arkansas a Raise Now) Apr 1 – Apr 8, 2014 400 Likely Voters	39	45	17	Ross +6
Hendrix College/Talk Business Apr 3 – Apr 4, 2014 1,068 Likely Voters	43	44	8	Ross +1
OnMessage (R-Hutchinson) Mar 11 – Mar 14, 2014 600 Likely Voters	44	36	15	Hutchinson +8
Impact (R) Feb 10 – Feb 10, 2014 1,202 Registered Voters	42	42	17
Rasmussen Feb 4 – Feb 5, 2014 500 Likely Voters	41	44	12	Ross +3
PPP (D-Americans United for Change) Dec 13 – Dec 15, 2013 1,004 Likely Voters	44	43	14	Hutchinson +1
Anzalone Liszt Grove (D-Ross) Nov 14 – Nov 21, 2013 800 Likely Voters	46	44		Hutchinson +2
Impact (R) Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2013 911 Registered Voters	40	37	23	Hutchinson +3
U of Arkansas Oct 10 – Oct 17, 2013 618 Likely Voters	35	31	34	Hutchinson +1
Hendrix College/Talk Business Oct 8 – Oct 8, 2013 603 Likely Voters	41	37	22	Hutchinson +4
Harper (R-Conservative Intel) Aug 4 – Aug 5, 2013 587 Likely Voters	46	38	16	Hutchinson +8
Hendrix College/Talk Business Feb 20 – Feb 20, 2013 675 Likely Voters	43	38	19	Hutchinson +5