Poll Chart

2014 Colorado Senate: Gardner vs. Udall

Currently tracking 54 polls from 29 pollsters

Updated over 4 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Gardner was slightly favored to win. (In 60.7% of simulations, Gardner beat Udall.)

Choices

Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.

Gardner49.2%
Udall47.3% incumbent
Undecided3.5%

Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll	Gardner	Udall	Undecided	Spread
PPP (D) Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2014 739 Likely Voters	48	45	3	Gardner +3
Quinnipiac Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2014 815 Likely Voters	45	43	4	Gardner +2
YouGov Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2014 1,417 Likely Voters	43	42	11	Gardner +1
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) Oct 28 – Oct 29, 2014 573 Likely Voters	48	48	4
SurveyUSA/Denver Post Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014 618 Likely Voters	46	44	5	Gardner +2
Vox Populi (R) Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014 642 Likely Voters	46	43	10	Gardner +3
Quinnipiac Oct 22 – Oct 27, 2014 844 Likely Voters	46	39	7	Gardner +7
Strategies 360 Oct 20 – Oct 25, 2014 760 Likely Voters	44	45	8	Udall +1
Rasmussen Oct 21 – Oct 23, 2014 966 Likely Voters	51	45	2	Gardner +6
Keating (D-Udall) Oct 21 – Oct 23, 2014 1,005 Likely Voters	44	45	6	Udall +1
Harstad (D-DSCC) Oct 19 – Oct 23, 2014 1,004 Likely Voters	43	44	6	Udall +1
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 1,611 Likely Voters	46	47	6	Udall +1
NBC/Marist Oct 18 – Oct 22, 2014 755 Likely Voters	46	45	5	Gardner +1
Suffolk/USA Today Oct 18 – Oct 21, 2014 500 Likely Voters	46	39	9	Gardner +7
Quinnipiac Oct 15 – Oct 21, 2014 974 Likely Voters	46	41	6	Gardner +5
Monmouth University Oct 17 – Oct 20, 2014 431 Likely Voters	47	46	3	Gardner +1
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 13 – Oct 20, 2014 1,099 Likely Voters	47	45	4	Gardner +2
PPP (D) Oct 16 – Oct 19, 2014 778 Likely Voters	46	43	7	Gardner +3
Gravis Marketing Oct 16 – Oct 16, 2014 695 Likely Voters	48	43	5	Gardner +5
Benenson (D-Project New America) Oct 15 – Oct 16, 2014 600 Likely Voters	44	47	7	Udall +3
Mellman (D-Senate Majority PAC) Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014 800 Likely Voters	41	44	15	Udall +3
CNN Oct 9 – Oct 13, 2014 665 Likely Voters	50	46		Gardner +4
Quinnipiac Oct 8 – Oct 13, 2014 988 Likely Voters	47	41	4	Gardner +6
SurveyUSA/Denver Post Oct 9 – Oct 12, 2014 591 Likely Voters	45	43	7	Gardner +2
SurveyUSA/High Point University Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2014 800 Likely Voters	46	42	5	Gardner +4
FOX Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014 739 Likely Voters	43	37	12	Gardner +6
CBS/NYT/YouGov Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014 1,634 Likely Voters	45	48	6	Udall +3
Rasmussen Sep 29 – Sep 30, 2014 950 Likely Voters	48	47	3	Gardner +1
PPP (D-Americans for Tax Fairness Action Fund) Sep 19 – Sep 21, 2014 652 Likely Voters	47	45	8	Gardner +2
Gravis Marketing Sep 16 – Sep 17, 2014 657 Likely Voters	46	39	9	Gardner +7
Suffolk/USA Today Sep 13 – Sep 16, 2014 500 Likely Voters	43	42	10	Gardner +1
Quinnipiac Sep 10 – Sep 15, 2014 1,211 Likely Voters	48	40	3	Gardner +8
Myers (D-Project New America) Sep 7 – Sep 14, 2014 1,350 Likely Voters	46	48	3	Udall +2
SurveyUSA/Denver Post Sep 8 – Sep 10, 2014 664 Likely Voters	42	46	7	Udall +4
Rasmussen Sep 3 – Sep 4, 2014 800 Likely Voters	42	44	10	Udall +2
NBC/Marist Sep 1 – Sep 2, 2014 795 Likely Voters	42	48	9	Udall +6
CBS/NYT/YouGov Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014 1,727 Likely Voters	43	46	9	Udall +3
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 1,996 Likely Voters	47	51	1	Udall +4
PPP (D) Jul 17 – Jul 20, 2014 653 Likely Voters	43	44	13	Udall +1
Quinnipiac Jul 10 – Jul 14, 2014 1,147 Registered Voters	44	42	13	Gardner +2
Gravis Marketing Jul 8 – Jul 10, 2014 1,106 Registered Voters	47	43		Gardner +4
NBC/Marist Jul 7 – Jul 10, 2014 914 Registered Voters	41	48	10	Udall +7
Rasmussen Jun 25 – Jun 26, 2014 750 Likely Voters	42	43	9	Udall +1
Magellan (R-National Mining Association) Jun 5 – Jun 8, 2014 747 Likely Voters	47	45		Gardner +2
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) May 7 – May 8, 2014 526 Likely Voters	43	47	10	Udall +4
Quinnipiac Apr 15 – Apr 21, 2014 1,298 Registered Voters	44	45	9	Udall +1
PPP (D-National Coalition for Safer Roads) Apr 17 – Apr 20, 2014 618 Likely Voters	45	47	8	Udall +2
Fabrizio (R-Chamber of Commerce) Apr 16 – Apr 17, 2014 600 Likely Voters	44	42		Gardner +2
Magellan (R-Liberty Foundation of America) Apr 14 – Apr 15, 2014 717 Likely Voters	42	45	8	Udall +3
Harper (R-American Crossroads) Apr 8 – Apr 9, 2014 507 Likely Voters	43	45		Udall +2
PPP (D) Mar 13 – Mar 16, 2014 568 Likely Voters	40	42	17	Udall +2
Harper (R-American Action Network) Mar 8 – Mar 9, 2014 689 Likely Voters	44	45		Udall +1
Rasmussen Mar 5 – Mar 6, 2014 500 Likely Voters	41	42	13	Udall +1
PPP (D) Apr 11 – Apr 14, 2013 500 Likely Voters	39	49	12	Udall +10