Poll Chart
2014 Colorado Senate: Gardner vs. Udall
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model suggests Gardner was slightly favored to win. (In 60.7% of simulations, Gardner beat Udall.)
Choices
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Overall Senate Outlook
On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)
Latest Polls
Poll | Gardner |
Udall |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2014
739 Likely Voters
|
48 | 45 | 3 | Gardner +3 |
Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2014
815 Likely Voters
|
45 | 43 | 4 | Gardner +2 |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2014
1,417 Likely Voters
|
43 | 42 | 11 | Gardner +1 |
Oct 28 – Oct 29, 2014
573 Likely Voters
|
48 | 48 | 4 | |
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014
618 Likely Voters
|
46 | 44 | 5 | Gardner +2 |
Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014
642 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 10 | Gardner +3 |
Oct 22 – Oct 27, 2014
844 Likely Voters
|
46 | 39 | 7 | Gardner +7 |
Oct 20 – Oct 25, 2014
760 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | 8 | Udall +1 |
Oct 21 – Oct 23, 2014
966 Likely Voters
|
51 | 45 | 2 | Gardner +6 |
Oct 21 – Oct 23, 2014
1,005 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | 6 | Udall +1 |
Oct 19 – Oct 23, 2014
1,004 Likely Voters
|
43 | 44 | 6 | Udall +1 |
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,611 Likely Voters
|
46 | 47 | 6 | Udall +1 |
Oct 18 – Oct 22, 2014
755 Likely Voters
|
46 | 45 | 5 | Gardner +1 |
Oct 18 – Oct 21, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
46 | 39 | 9 | Gardner +7 |
Oct 15 – Oct 21, 2014
974 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 6 | Gardner +5 |
Oct 17 – Oct 20, 2014
431 Likely Voters
|
47 | 46 | 3 | Gardner +1 |
Oct 13 – Oct 20, 2014
1,099 Likely Voters
|
47 | 45 | 4 | Gardner +2 |
Oct 16 – Oct 19, 2014
778 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 7 | Gardner +3 |
Oct 16 – Oct 16, 2014
695 Likely Voters
|
48 | 43 | 5 | Gardner +5 |
Oct 15 – Oct 16, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
44 | 47 | 7 | Udall +3 |
Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
41 | 44 | 15 | Udall +3 |
Oct 9 – Oct 13, 2014
665 Likely Voters
|
50 | 46 | Gardner +4 | |
Oct 8 – Oct 13, 2014
988 Likely Voters
|
47 | 41 | 4 | Gardner +6 |
Oct 9 – Oct 12, 2014
591 Likely Voters
|
45 | 43 | 7 | Gardner +2 |
Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
46 | 42 | 5 | Gardner +4 |
Oct 4 – Oct 7, 2014
739 Likely Voters
|
43 | 37 | 12 | Gardner +6 |
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,634 Likely Voters
|
45 | 48 | 6 | Udall +3 |
Sep 29 – Sep 30, 2014
950 Likely Voters
|
48 | 47 | 3 | Gardner +1 |
Sep 19 – Sep 21, 2014
652 Likely Voters
|
47 | 45 | 8 | Gardner +2 |
Sep 16 – Sep 17, 2014
657 Likely Voters
|
46 | 39 | 9 | Gardner +7 |
Sep 13 – Sep 16, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
43 | 42 | 10 | Gardner +1 |
Sep 10 – Sep 15, 2014
1,211 Likely Voters
|
48 | 40 | 3 | Gardner +8 |
Sep 7 – Sep 14, 2014
1,350 Likely Voters
|
46 | 48 | 3 | Udall +2 |
Sep 8 – Sep 10, 2014
664 Likely Voters
|
42 | 46 | 7 | Udall +4 |
Sep 3 – Sep 4, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
42 | 44 | 10 | Udall +2 |
Sep 1 – Sep 2, 2014
795 Likely Voters
|
42 | 48 | 9 | Udall +6 |
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,727 Likely Voters
|
43 | 46 | 9 | Udall +3 |
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,996 Likely Voters
|
47 | 51 | 1 | Udall +4 |
Jul 17 – Jul 20, 2014
653 Likely Voters
|
43 | 44 | 13 | Udall +1 |
Jul 10 – Jul 14, 2014
1,147 Registered Voters
|
44 | 42 | 13 | Gardner +2 |
Jul 8 – Jul 10, 2014
1,106 Registered Voters
|
47 | 43 | Gardner +4 | |
Jul 7 – Jul 10, 2014
914 Registered Voters
|
41 | 48 | 10 | Udall +7 |
Jun 25 – Jun 26, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
42 | 43 | 9 | Udall +1 |
Jun 5 – Jun 8, 2014
747 Likely Voters
|
47 | 45 | Gardner +2 | |
May 7 – May 8, 2014
526 Likely Voters
|
43 | 47 | 10 | Udall +4 |
Apr 15 – Apr 21, 2014
1,298 Registered Voters
|
44 | 45 | 9 | Udall +1 |
Apr 17 – Apr 20, 2014
618 Likely Voters
|
45 | 47 | 8 | Udall +2 |
Apr 16 – Apr 17, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
44 | 42 | Gardner +2 | |
Apr 14 – Apr 15, 2014
717 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 8 | Udall +3 |
Apr 8 – Apr 9, 2014
507 Likely Voters
|
43 | 45 | Udall +2 | |
Mar 13 – Mar 16, 2014
568 Likely Voters
|
40 | 42 | 17 | Udall +2 |
Mar 8 – Mar 9, 2014
689 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | Udall +1 | |
Mar 5 – Mar 6, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
41 | 42 | 13 | Udall +1 |
Apr 11 – Apr 14, 2013
500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 49 | 12 | Udall +10 |