Poll Chart
2014 Iowa House: 1st District
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests a toss-up between Blum and Murphy. (In 23.5% of simulations, Blum led Murphy.)
Choices
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Latest Polls
| Poll | Murphy |
Blum |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 21 – Oct 24, 2014
282 Likely Voters
|
42 | 44 | 12 | 2 | Blum +2 |
|
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
633 Likely Voters
|
47 | 39 | 14 | 0 | Murphy +8 |
|
Sep 2 – Sep 5, 2014
300 Likely Voters
|
35 | 33 | 32 | Murphy +2 | |
|
Jul 31 – Aug 3, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
51 | 40 | 8 | Murphy +11 |
