Poll Chart

2014 Maryland Governor: Hogan vs. Brown

Currently tracking 15 polls from 10 pollsters

Updated almost 2 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

Our model suggests Brown was strongly favored to win. (In 91.6% of simulations, Brown beat Hogan.)

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Latest Polls

Poll	Brown	Hogan	Undecided	Other	Spread
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (R-Hogan) Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014 504 Likely Voters	39	44	14		Hogan +5
Gonzales Research (R-Maryland Republican Party) Oct 20 – Oct 24, 2014 822 Likely Voters	46	44	8	2	Brown +2
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 1,086 Likely Voters	51	38	11	0	Brown +13
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (R-Hogan) Oct 19 – Oct 20, 2014 500 Likely Voters	42	41	15		Brown +1
Gravis Marketing Oct 6 – Oct 9, 2014 784 Likely Voters	46	43	11		Brown +3
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2014 800 Likely Voters	49	42			Brown +7
Washington Post/University of Maryland Oct 2 – Oct 5, 2014 549 Likely Voters	47	38	11	4	Brown +9
CBS/NYT/YouGov Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014 1,096 Likely Voters	55	38	7	1	Brown +17
Gonzales Research (R-Maryland, My Maryland PAC) Sep 16 – Sep 23, 2014 805 Likely Voters	47	43	9	1	Brown +4
CBS/NYT/YouGov Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014 1,082 Likely Voters	51	37	10	3	Brown +14
OnMessage (R-Maryland Republican Party) Aug 18 – Aug 19, 2014 500 Likely Voters	45	42	9	4	Brown +3
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 1,385 Likely Voters	53	41	3	3	Brown +12
Rasmussen Jul 9 – Jul 10, 2014 750 Likely Voters	48	35	10	7	Brown +13
Washington Post Jun 5 – Jun 8, 2014 962 Registered Voters	51	33	16	0	Brown +18
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (R-Hogan) May 11 – May 11, 2014 400 Likely Voters	42	35	23		Brown +7