Poll Chart
2014 Maryland Governor: Hogan vs. Brown
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model suggests Brown was strongly favored to win. (In 91.6% of simulations, Brown beat Hogan.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Brown |
Hogan |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 26 – Oct 27, 2014
504 Likely Voters
|
39 | 44 | 14 | Hogan +5 | |
Oct 20 – Oct 24, 2014
822 Likely Voters
|
46 | 44 | 8 | 2 | Brown +2 |
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,086 Likely Voters
|
51 | 38 | 11 | 0 | Brown +13 |
Oct 19 – Oct 20, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
42 | 41 | 15 | Brown +1 | |
Oct 6 – Oct 9, 2014
784 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 11 | Brown +3 | |
Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
49 | 42 | Brown +7 | ||
Oct 2 – Oct 5, 2014
549 Likely Voters
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 4 | Brown +9 |
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,096 Likely Voters
|
55 | 38 | 7 | 1 | Brown +17 |
Sep 16 – Sep 23, 2014
805 Likely Voters
|
47 | 43 | 9 | 1 | Brown +4 |
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,082 Likely Voters
|
51 | 37 | 10 | 3 | Brown +14 |
Aug 18 – Aug 19, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
45 | 42 | 9 | 4 | Brown +3 |
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,385 Likely Voters
|
53 | 41 | 3 | 3 | Brown +12 |
Jul 9 – Jul 10, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
48 | 35 | 10 | 7 | Brown +13 |
Jun 5 – Jun 8, 2014
962 Registered Voters
|
51 | 33 | 16 | 0 | Brown +18 |
May 11 – May 11, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
42 | 35 | 23 | Brown +7 |