Poll Chart

2014 Massachusetts Governor: Baker vs. Coakley

Currently tracking 58 polls from 16 pollsters

Updated over 2 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Baker was slightly favored to win. (In 63.5% of simulations, Baker beat Coakley.)

Choices

Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.

Baker48.0%
Coakley44.1%
Undecided7.8%
Other6.0%

Latest Polls

Poll	Baker	Coakley	Undecided	Other	Spread
PPP (D) Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2014 887 Likely Voters	46	42	6	7	Baker +4
WNEU Oct 21 – Oct 30, 2014 430 Likely Voters	46	41	8	5	Baker +5
Suffolk/Boston Herald Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014 500 Likely Voters	46	43	7	6	Baker +3
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Oct 26 – Oct 29, 2014 600 Likely Voters	44	37	11		Baker +7
Emerson College Polling Society Oct 26 – Oct 29, 2014 627 Likely Voters	48	42		4	Baker +6
UMass Amherst/WBZ-TV/YouGov Oct 20 – Oct 27, 2014 591 Likely Voters	44	47	3	8	Coakley +3
MassINC/WBUR Oct 22 – Oct 25, 2014 494 Likely Voters	43	42	8	8	Baker +1
UMass Lowell/7 News Oct 21 – Oct 25, 2014 601 Likely Voters	45	41	9	5	Baker +4
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 2,218 Likely Voters	41	45	13	1	Coakley +4
GQR (D-Massachusetts IE PAC) Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2014 611 Likely Voters	44	45	5	5	Coakley +1
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Oct 19 – Oct 22, 2014 500 Likely Voters	45	36	11	7	Baker +9
MassINC/WBUR Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2014 501 Likely Voters	43	42	10	4	Baker +1
Rasmussen Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014 980 Likely Voters	48	46	5	2	Baker +2
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2014 400 Likely Voters	41	41	10	8
MassINC/WBUR Oct 8 – Oct 11, 2014 500 Likely Voters	39	42	14	5	Coakley +3
Emerson College Polling Society/WGBH Oct 6 – Oct 7, 2014 500 Likely Voters	45	40	8	7	Baker +5
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Oct 5 – Oct 7, 2014 400 Likely Voters	34	39	20	7	Coakley +5
MassINC/WBUR Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2014 504 Likely Voters	39	41	14	6	Coakley +2
UMass Amherst/WBZ-TV/YouGov Sep 26 – Oct 2, 2014 414 Likely Voters	44	48	2	6	Coakley +4
CBS/NYT/YouGov Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014 2,389 Likely Voters	41	47	11	1	Coakley +6
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Sep 28 – Sep 30, 2014 401 Likely Voters	39	36	21	4	Baker +3
Suffolk/Boston Herald Sep 25 – Sep 28, 2014 500 Likely Voters	43	44	9	4	Coakley +1
WNEU Sep 20 – Sep 28, 2014 416 Likely Voters	44	43	8	5	Baker +1
MassINC/WBUR Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2014 503 Likely Voters	41	44	11	4	Coakley +3
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Sep 21 – Sep 23, 2014 400 Likely Voters	40	38	18	5	Baker +2
UMass Amherst/WBZ-TV/YouGov Sep 19 – Sep 23, 2014 440 Likely Voters	46	45	2	6	Baker +1
MassINC/WBUR Sep 16 – Sep 21, 2014 502 Likely Voters	36	46	13	5	Coakley +10
Rasmussen Sep 16 – Sep 17, 2014 750 Likely Voters	42	42	10	5
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Sep 14 – Sep 16, 2014 407 Likely Voters	36	39	19	6	Coakley +3
MassINC/WBUR Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2014 504 Likely Voters	35	44	16	4	Coakley +9
CBS/NYT/YouGov Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014 3,361 Likely Voters	35	43	16	6	Coakley +8
UMass Lowell/7 News Aug 25 – Aug 31, 2014 1,624 Registered Voters	32	41	20	8	Coakley +9
MassINC/WBUR Aug 24 – Aug 31, 2014 700 Likely Voters	31	40	22	6	Coakley +9
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Aug 17 – Aug 26, 2014 605 Likely Voters	38	37	18	7	Baker +1
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Aug 3 – Aug 12, 2014 606 Likely Voters	32	40	21	7	Coakley +8
Mass Insight/Opinion Dynamics Jul 28 – Aug 3, 2014 388 Registered Voters	41	44	15		Coakley +3
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Jul 20 – Jul 29, 2014 601 Likely Voters	32	42	19	7	Coakley +10
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 1,839 Likely Voters	39	55	1	5	Coakley +16
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Jul 7 – Jul 15, 2014 605 Likely Voters	36	39	16	8	Coakley +3
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Jun 22 – Jul 1, 2014 601 Likely Voters	31	40	22	8	Coakley +9
MassINC/WBUR Jun 27 – Jun 29, 2014 502 Likely Voters	28	41	22	7	Coakley +13
Boston Globe/SocialSphere Jun 8 – Jun 17, 2014 630 Likely Voters	30	43	20	6	Coakley +13
Suffolk Jun 4 – Jun 7, 2014 800 Likely Voters	29	36	32	4	Coakley +4
Boston Globe/SocialSphere May 29 – Jun 3, 2014 602 Likely Voters	32	37	22	9	Coakley +5
MassINC/WBUR May 16 – May 18, 2014 504 Likely Voters	30	39	25	5	Coakley +9
Mass Insight/Opinion Dynamics Apr 30 – May 4, 2014 381 Registered Voters	37	52	10		Coakley +15
WNEU Mar 31 – Apr 7, 2014 424 Registered Voters	25	54	15	6	Coakley +29
UMass Amherst/YouGov Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2014 500 Registered Voters	34	45	21		Coakley +11
MassINC/WBUR Mar 14 – Mar 16, 2014 500 Likely Voters	26	41	27	5	Coakley +14
Mass Insight/Opinion Dynamics Jan 29 – Feb 8, 2014 381 Registered Voters	33	52	16		Coakley +19
Suffolk Jan 29 – Feb 3, 2014 600 Likely Voters	31	44	20	4	Coakley +13
Purple Strategies Jan 21 – Jan 23, 2014 500 Likely Voters	36	46	18		Coakley +10
MassINC/WBUR Jan 16 – Jan 19, 2014 504 Registered Voters	29	39	26	6	Coakley +10
Mass Insight/Opinion Dynamics Oct 28 – Nov 7, 2013 411 Registered Voters	34	52	15		Coakley +18
WNEU Oct 1 – Oct 7, 2013 431 Registered Voters	34	54	12		Coakley +20
PPP (D) Sep 20 – Sep 23, 2013 616 Likely Voters	38	51	11		Coakley +13
PPP (D) Jun 22 – Jun 24, 2012 902 Likely Voters	34	47	19		Coakley +13
PPP (D) Mar 16 – Mar 18, 2012 936 Likely Voters	29	49	22		Coakley +20