Poll Chart
2014 Massachusetts Governor: Baker vs. Coakley
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model suggests Baker was slightly favored to win. (In 63.5% of simulations, Baker beat Coakley.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Baker |
Coakley |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2014
887 Likely Voters
|
46 | 42 | 6 | 7 | Baker +4 |
Oct 21 – Oct 30, 2014
430 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 8 | 5 | Baker +5 |
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 7 | 6 | Baker +3 |
Oct 26 – Oct 29, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
44 | 37 | 11 | Baker +7 | |
Oct 26 – Oct 29, 2014
627 Likely Voters
|
48 | 42 | 4 | Baker +6 | |
Oct 20 – Oct 27, 2014
591 Likely Voters
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 8 | Coakley +3 |
Oct 22 – Oct 25, 2014
494 Likely Voters
|
43 | 42 | 8 | 8 | Baker +1 |
Oct 21 – Oct 25, 2014
601 Likely Voters
|
45 | 41 | 9 | 5 | Baker +4 |
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
2,218 Likely Voters
|
41 | 45 | 13 | 1 | Coakley +4 |
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2014
611 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | 5 | 5 | Coakley +1 |
Oct 19 – Oct 22, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
45 | 36 | 11 | 7 | Baker +9 |
Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2014
501 Likely Voters
|
43 | 42 | 10 | 4 | Baker +1 |
Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2014
980 Likely Voters
|
48 | 46 | 5 | 2 | Baker +2 |
Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
41 | 41 | 10 | 8 | |
Oct 8 – Oct 11, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
39 | 42 | 14 | 5 | Coakley +3 |
Oct 6 – Oct 7, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
45 | 40 | 8 | 7 | Baker +5 |
Oct 5 – Oct 7, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
34 | 39 | 20 | 7 | Coakley +5 |
Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2014
504 Likely Voters
|
39 | 41 | 14 | 6 | Coakley +2 |
Sep 26 – Oct 2, 2014
414 Likely Voters
|
44 | 48 | 2 | 6 | Coakley +4 |
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
2,389 Likely Voters
|
41 | 47 | 11 | 1 | Coakley +6 |
Sep 28 – Sep 30, 2014
401 Likely Voters
|
39 | 36 | 21 | 4 | Baker +3 |
Sep 25 – Sep 28, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
43 | 44 | 9 | 4 | Coakley +1 |
Sep 20 – Sep 28, 2014
416 Likely Voters
|
44 | 43 | 8 | 5 | Baker +1 |
Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2014
503 Likely Voters
|
41 | 44 | 11 | 4 | Coakley +3 |
Sep 21 – Sep 23, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
40 | 38 | 18 | 5 | Baker +2 |
Sep 19 – Sep 23, 2014
440 Likely Voters
|
46 | 45 | 2 | 6 | Baker +1 |
Sep 16 – Sep 21, 2014
502 Likely Voters
|
36 | 46 | 13 | 5 | Coakley +10 |
Sep 16 – Sep 17, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
42 | 42 | 10 | 5 | |
Sep 14 – Sep 16, 2014
407 Likely Voters
|
36 | 39 | 19 | 6 | Coakley +3 |
Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2014
504 Likely Voters
|
35 | 44 | 16 | 4 | Coakley +9 |
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
3,361 Likely Voters
|
35 | 43 | 16 | 6 | Coakley +8 |
Aug 25 – Aug 31, 2014
1,624 Registered Voters
|
32 | 41 | 20 | 8 | Coakley +9 |
Aug 24 – Aug 31, 2014
700 Likely Voters
|
31 | 40 | 22 | 6 | Coakley +9 |
Aug 17 – Aug 26, 2014
605 Likely Voters
|
38 | 37 | 18 | 7 | Baker +1 |
Aug 3 – Aug 12, 2014
606 Likely Voters
|
32 | 40 | 21 | 7 | Coakley +8 |
Jul 28 – Aug 3, 2014
388 Registered Voters
|
41 | 44 | 15 | Coakley +3 | |
Jul 20 – Jul 29, 2014
601 Likely Voters
|
32 | 42 | 19 | 7 | Coakley +10 |
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,839 Likely Voters
|
39 | 55 | 1 | 5 | Coakley +16 |
Jul 7 – Jul 15, 2014
605 Likely Voters
|
36 | 39 | 16 | 8 | Coakley +3 |
Jun 22 – Jul 1, 2014
601 Likely Voters
|
31 | 40 | 22 | 8 | Coakley +9 |
Jun 27 – Jun 29, 2014
502 Likely Voters
|
28 | 41 | 22 | 7 | Coakley +13 |
Jun 8 – Jun 17, 2014
630 Likely Voters
|
30 | 43 | 20 | 6 | Coakley +13 |
Jun 4 – Jun 7, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
29 | 36 | 32 | 4 | Coakley +4 |
May 29 – Jun 3, 2014
602 Likely Voters
|
32 | 37 | 22 | 9 | Coakley +5 |
May 16 – May 18, 2014
504 Likely Voters
|
30 | 39 | 25 | 5 | Coakley +9 |
Apr 30 – May 4, 2014
381 Registered Voters
|
37 | 52 | 10 | Coakley +15 | |
Mar 31 – Apr 7, 2014
424 Registered Voters
|
25 | 54 | 15 | 6 | Coakley +29 |
Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2014
500 Registered Voters
|
34 | 45 | 21 | Coakley +11 | |
Mar 14 – Mar 16, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
26 | 41 | 27 | 5 | Coakley +14 |
Jan 29 – Feb 8, 2014
381 Registered Voters
|
33 | 52 | 16 | Coakley +19 | |
Jan 29 – Feb 3, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
31 | 44 | 20 | 4 | Coakley +13 |
Jan 21 – Jan 23, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
36 | 46 | 18 | Coakley +10 | |
Jan 16 – Jan 19, 2014
504 Registered Voters
|
29 | 39 | 26 | 6 | Coakley +10 |
Oct 28 – Nov 7, 2013
411 Registered Voters
|
34 | 52 | 15 | Coakley +18 | |
Oct 1 – Oct 7, 2013
431 Registered Voters
|
34 | 54 | 12 | Coakley +20 | |
Sep 20 – Sep 23, 2013
616 Likely Voters
|
38 | 51 | 11 | Coakley +13 | |
Jun 22 – Jun 24, 2012
902 Likely Voters
|
34 | 47 | 19 | Coakley +13 | |
Mar 16 – Mar 18, 2012
936 Likely Voters
|
29 | 49 | 22 | Coakley +20 |