Poll Chart
2014 Michigan Senate: Land vs. Peters
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model suggests Peters was strongly favored to win. (In 98.2% of simulations, Peters beat Land.)
Choices
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Overall Senate Outlook
On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)
Latest Polls
| Poll | Peters |
Land |
Undecided |
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 2 – Nov 2, 2014
1,224 Likely Voters
|
52 | 40 | 4 | Peters +12 |
|
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2014
914 Likely Voters
|
51 | 38 | Peters +13 | |
|
Oct 26 – Oct 28, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
50 | 35 | 10 | Peters +15 |
|
Oct 27 – Oct 27, 2014
1,159 Likely Voters
|
52 | 38 | 5 | Peters +14 |
|
Oct 22 – Oct 24, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
48 | 33 | 14 | Peters +15 |
|
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
2,394 Likely Voters
|
49 | 41 | 10 | Peters +8 |
|
Oct 21 – Oct 22, 2014
1,000 Likely Voters
|
51 | 42 | 4 | Peters +9 |
|
Oct 20 – Oct 21, 2014
723 Likely Voters
|
53 | 39 | 8 | Peters +14 |
|
Oct 19 – Oct 20, 2014
1,032 Likely Voters
|
48 | 33 | 19 | Peters +15 |
|
Oct 19 – Oct 19, 2014
919 Likely Voters
|
51 | 38 | 7 | Peters +13 |
|
Oct 17 – Oct 19, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
45 | 34 | 16 | Peters +11 |
|
Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2014
957 Likely Voters
|
49 | 36 | Peters +13 | |
|
Oct 12 – Oct 12, 2014
1,340 Likely Voters
|
50 | 39 | 8 | Peters +11 |
|
Oct 9 – Oct 9, 2014
1,306 Likely Voters
|
48 | 43 | Peters +5 | |
|
Oct 6 – Oct 7, 2014
615 Likely Voters
|
47 | 44 | Peters +3 | |
|
Oct 2 – Oct 4, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
44 | 35 | 16 | Peters +9 |
|
Oct 2 – Oct 3, 2014
654 Likely Voters
|
49 | 42 | 9 | Peters +7 |
|
Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
47 | 36 | 12 | Peters +11 |
|
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
2,560 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 11 | Peters +5 |
|
Sep 26 – Sep 30, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
45 | 36 | 18 | Peters +9 |
|
Sep 29 – Sep 29, 2014
1,178 Likely Voters
|
49 | 36 | 9 | Peters +13 |
|
Sep 25 – Sep 29, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
42 | 33 | 14 | Peters +9 |
|
Sep 23 – Sep 25, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
48 | 38 | 7 | Peters +10 |
|
Sep 18 – Sep 19, 2014
852 Likely Voters
|
47 | 40 | Peters +7 | |
|
Sep 18 – Sep 19, 2014
1,182 Likely Voters
|
42 | 39 | 14 | Peters +3 |
|
Sep 17 – Sep 18, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
41 | 39 | 15 | Peters +2 |
|
Sep 14 – Sep 15, 2014
717 Likely Voters
|
45 | 40 | 5 | Peters +5 |
|
Sep 14 – Sep 14, 2014
829 Likely Voters
|
43 | 41 | 9 | Peters +2 |
|
Sep 11 – Sep 13, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
45 | 38 | 18 | Peters +7 |
|
Sep 6 – Sep 10, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
46 | 37 | 10 | Peters +9 |
|
Sep 4 – Sep 7, 2014
687 Likely Voters
|
43 | 36 | 13 | Peters +7 |
|
Sep 3 – Sep 5, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
47 | 37 | 13 | Peters +10 |
|
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
2,897 Likely Voters
|
42 | 43 | 13 | Land +1 |
|
Aug 27 – Aug 27, 2014
1,004 Likely Voters
|
46 | 44 | 10 | Peters +2 |
|
Aug 22 – Aug 25, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
45 | 39 | 16 | Peters +6 |
|
Aug 6 – Aug 11, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
42 | 38 | 19 | Peters +4 |
|
Aug 5 – Aug 5, 2014
626 Likely Voters
|
45 | 44 | Peters +1 | |
|
Jul 26 – Jul 30, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
47 | 40 | 13 | Peters +7 |
|
Jul 28 – Jul 29, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
45 | 39 | 10 | Peters +6 |
|
Jul 26 – Jul 29, 2014
900 Likely Voters
|
47 | 42 | Peters +5 | |
|
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
3,744 Likely Voters
|
47 | 48 | 4 | Land +1 |
|
Jul 12 – Jul 15, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
45 | 36 | 19 | Peters +9 |
|
Jul 9 – Jul 11, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
40 | 37 | 23 | Peters +3 |
|
Jul 7 – Jul 10, 2014
870 Registered Voters
|
43 | 37 | 19 | Peters +6 |
|
Jun 26 – Jun 29, 2014
578 Likely Voters
|
41 | 36 | 24 | Peters +5 |
|
Jun 5 – Jun 8, 2014
753 Likely Voters
|
50 | 41 | 4 | Peters +9 |
|
Jun 6 – Jun 6, 2014
961 Likely Voters
|
45 | 42 | 14 | Peters +3 |
|
May 20 – May 22, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
40 | 35 | 25 | Peters +5 |
|
May 17 – May 20, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
44 | 38 | 18 | Peters +6 |
|
Apr 24 – Apr 30, 2014
502 Likely Voters
|
42 | 37 | 21 | Peters +5 |
|
Apr 14 – Apr 15, 2014
875 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 5 | Peters +5 |
|
Apr 7 – Apr 8, 2014
538 Likely Voters
|
40 | 43 | 18 | Land +3 |
|
Apr 3 – Apr 6, 2014
825 Likely Voters
|
41 | 36 | 23 | Peters +5 |
|
Mar 24 – Mar 28, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
38 | 40 | Land +2 | |
|
Mar 9 – Mar 10, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
40 | 37 | 22 | Peters +3 |
|
Feb 22 – Feb 23, 2014
859 Registered Voters
|
46 | 40 | 14 | Peters +6 |
|
Feb 5 – Feb 11, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
38 | 41 | 21 | Land +3 |
|
Jan 19 – Jan 20, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
37 | 42 | 21 | Land +5 |
|
Jan 14 – Jan 15, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
35 | 37 | 20 | Land +2 |
|
Jan 7 – Jan 8, 2014
1,004 Likely Voters
|
36 | 44 | 20 | Land +8 |
|
Dec 5 – Dec 8, 2013
1,034 Likely Voters
|
40 | 42 | 18 | Land +2 |
|
Nov 12 – Nov 14, 2013
600 Likely Voters
|
37 | 36 | Peters +1 | |
|
Oct 14 – Oct 15, 2013
642 Likely Voters
|
43 | 36 | 21 | Peters +7 |
|
Sep 7 – Sep 10, 2013
600 Likely Voters
|
38 | 37 | 25 | Peters +1 |
|
Jul 23 – Jul 24, 2013
600 Likely Voters
|
39 | 39 | 22 | |
|
May 30 – Jun 2, 2013
697 Likely Voters
|
41 | 36 | 23 | Peters +5 |
|
Mar 9 – Mar 10, 2013
1,744 Likely Voters
|
21 | 29 | 50 | Undecided +21 |
