Poll Chart
2014 Montana Senate: Daines vs. Walsh
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Daines was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Daines led Walsh.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Walsh |
Daines |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 3 – Aug 4, 2014
798 Likely Voters
|
34 | 47 | 18 | Daines +13 |
Jul 24 – Jul 24, 2014
781 Likely Voters
|
38 | 45 | 8 | Daines +7 |
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
826 Likely Voters
|
40 | 56 | 2 | Daines +16 |
Jul 20 – Jul 22, 2014
741 Likely Voters
|
41 | 45 | 7 | Daines +4 |
Jul 17 – Jul 18, 2014
574 Likely Voters
|
39 | 46 | 15 | Daines +7 |
Jul 13 – Jul 15, 2014
602 Likely Voters
|
38 | 43 | Daines +5 | |
Jun 9 – Jun 10, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
35 | 53 | 9 | Daines +18 |
Jun 4 – Jun 5, 2014
761 Likely Voters
|
39 | 55 | Daines +16 | |
May 21 – May 22, 2014
806 Likely Voters
|
33 | 56 | 11 | Daines +23 |
Apr 24 – Apr 30, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
37 | 49 | 14 | Daines +12 |
Apr 7 – Apr 8, 2014
604 Likely Voters
|
35 | 42 | 23 | Daines +7 |
Mar 17 – Mar 18, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
37 | 51 | 9 | Daines +14 |
Nov 15 – Nov 17, 2013
952 Likely Voters
|
35 | 52 | 13 | Daines +17 |