Poll Chart

2014 Montana Senate: Daines vs. Walsh

Currently tracking 13 polls from 10 pollsters

Updated over 2 years ago

This matchup was polled but never occurred

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

Our model of the polls suggests Daines was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Daines led Walsh.)

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Latest Polls

Poll	Walsh	Daines	Undecided	Spread
Vox Populi (R) Aug 3 – Aug 4, 2014 798 Likely Voters	34	47	18	Daines +13
Gravis/Human Events (R) Jul 24 – Jul 24, 2014 781 Likely Voters	38	45	8	Daines +7
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 826 Likely Voters	40	56	2	Daines +16
Gravis/Human Events (R) Jul 20 – Jul 22, 2014 741 Likely Voters	41	45	7	Daines +4
PPP (D) Jul 17 – Jul 18, 2014 574 Likely Voters	39	46	15	Daines +7
Harstad (D-Walsh) Jul 13 – Jul 15, 2014 602 Likely Voters	38	43		Daines +5
Rasmussen Jun 9 – Jun 10, 2014 750 Likely Voters	35	53	9	Daines +18
Magellan (R-National Mining Association) Jun 4 – Jun 5, 2014 761 Likely Voters	39	55		Daines +16
Vox Populi (R-PORT PAC) May 21 – May 22, 2014 806 Likely Voters	33	56	11	Daines +23
Hickman (D-Consumer Energy Alliance) Apr 24 – Apr 30, 2014 400 Likely Voters	37	49	14	Daines +12
Harper (R-American Crossroads) Apr 7 – Apr 8, 2014 604 Likely Voters	35	42	23	Daines +7
Rasmussen Mar 17 – Mar 18, 2014 750 Likely Voters	37	51	9	Daines +14
PPP (D) Nov 15 – Nov 17, 2013 952 Likely Voters	35	52	13	Daines +17