Poll Chart

2014 New Hampshire House: 1st District

Currently tracking 19 polls from 5 pollsters

Updated almost 5 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Guinta was very likely leading. (In 89.7% of simulations, Guinta led Shea-Porter.)

Choices

Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.

Guinta46.9%
Shea-Porter43.8% incumbent
Undecided9.3%
Other1.2%

Latest Polls

Poll	Shea-Porter	Guinta	Undecided	Other	Spread
UNH/WMUR Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2014 405 Likely Voters	49	50		1	Guinta +1
New England College Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2014 778 Likely Voters	43	52	3	2	Guinta +9
UNH/WMUR Oct 22 – Oct 26, 2014 261 Likely Voters	44	40	15	1	Shea-Porter +4
New England College Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2014 556 Likely Voters	43	49	4	4	Guinta +6
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 552 Likely Voters	41	44	16	0	Guinta +3
New England College Oct 16 – Oct 16, 2014 461 Likely Voters	46	47	3	3	Guinta +1
UMass Amherst/WBZ-TV/YouGov Oct 10 – Oct 15, 2014 160 Likely Voters	54	37	6	3	Shea-Porter +17
New England College Oct 9 – Oct 9, 2014 536 Likely Voters	43	46	5	6	Guinta +3
UNH/WMUR Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2014 258 Likely Voters	42	39	16	3	Shea-Porter +3
New England College Oct 3 – Oct 3, 2014 626 Likely Voters	47	44	4	5	Shea-Porter +3
New England College Sep 19 – Sep 20, 2014 715 Likely Voters	45	45	4	6
New England College Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014 607 Likely Voters	46	42	6	7	Shea-Porter +4
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Americans for Responsible Solutions PAC) Sep 3 – Sep 7, 2014 400 Likely Voters	45	43			Shea-Porter +2
UNH/WMUR Aug 7 – Aug 17, 2014 297 Likely Voters	41	45	14		Guinta +4
UNH/WMUR Jun 19 – Jul 1, 2014 263 Likely Voters	43	46	10	2	Guinta +3
UNH/WMUR Apr 1 – Apr 9, 2014 199 Likely Voters	44	35	21	0	Shea-Porter +9
UNH/WMUR Jan 21 – Jan 26, 2014 245 Likely Voters	39	45	15	2	Guinta +6
UNH/WMUR Oct 7 – Oct 16, 2013 258 Adults	48	32	18	1	Shea-Porter +16
New England College Oct 7 – Oct 9, 2013 882 Registered Voters	43	42	15		Shea-Porter +1