Poll Chart
2014 New Hampshire Senate: Brown vs. Shaheen
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model suggests Shaheen was slightly favored to win. (In 57.2% of simulations, Shaheen beat Brown.)
Choices
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Overall Senate Outlook
On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)
Latest Polls
Poll | Shaheen |
Brown |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 3, 2014
1,690 Likely Voters
|
50 | 48 | 3 | Shaheen +2 |
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2014
757 Likely Voters
|
47 | 45 | 6 | Shaheen +2 |
Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2014
1,526 Likely Voters
|
48 | 49 | 2 | Brown +1 |
Oct 29 – Oct 30, 2014
940 Likely Voters
|
52 | 45 | 2 | Shaheen +7 |
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
49 | 49 | 2 | |
Oct 27 – Oct 28, 2014
638 Likely Voters
|
45 | 49 | 6 | Brown +4 |
Oct 22 – Oct 26, 2014
555 Likely Voters
|
50 | 42 | Shaheen +8 | |
Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2014
1,132 Likely Voters
|
47 | 48 | 2 | Brown +1 |
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
1,042 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 12 | Shaheen +5 |
Oct 19 – Oct 22, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
49 | 48 | 3 | Shaheen +1 |
Oct 20 – Oct 21, 2014
764 Likely Voters
|
49 | 45 | Shaheen +4 | |
Oct 18 – Oct 21, 2014
645 Likely Voters
|
49 | 47 | 3 | Shaheen +2 |
Oct 15 – Oct 21, 2014
643 Likely Voters
|
49 | 46 | 4 | Shaheen +3 |
Oct 16 – Oct 19, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
49 | 46 | 6 | Shaheen +3 |
Oct 16 – Oct 16, 2014
921 Likely Voters
|
47 | 48 | 2 | Brown +1 |
Oct 10 – Oct 15, 2014
322 Likely Voters
|
48 | 45 | 2 | Shaheen +3 |
Oct 9 – Oct 9, 2014
1,081 Likely Voters
|
47 | 48 | 2 | Brown +1 |
Oct 7 – Oct 9, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
50 | 44 | Shaheen +6 | |
Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2014
824 Likely Voters
|
48 | 46 | 6 | Shaheen +2 |
Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2014
532 Likely Voters
|
44 | 38 | 17 | Shaheen +6 |
Oct 3 – Oct 3, 2014
1,286 Likely Voters
|
49 | 46 | 2 | Shaheen +3 |
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,260 Likely Voters
|
48 | 41 | 10 | Shaheen +7 |
Sep 27 – Sep 29, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
53 | 43 | 4 | Shaheen +10 |
Sep 26 – Sep 26, 2014
1,331 Likely Voters
|
47 | 46 | 3 | Shaheen +1 |
Sep 19 – Sep 20, 2014
1,494 Likely Voters
|
50 | 43 | 3 | Shaheen +7 |
Sep 18 – Sep 19, 2014
652 Likely Voters
|
50 | 44 | 5 | Shaheen +6 |
Sep 15 – Sep 16, 2014
550 Likely Voters
|
43 | 47 | 11 | Brown +4 |
Sep 12 – Sep 15, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
50 | 45 | 5 | Shaheen +5 |
Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014
630 Likely Voters
|
51 | 40 | 4 | Shaheen +11 |
Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014
2,214 Likely Voters
|
44 | 46 | 10 | Brown +2 |
Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
48 | 42 | 5 | Shaheen +6 |
Sep 9 – Sep 11, 2014
600 Likely Voters
|
51 | 43 | Shaheen +8 | |
Sep 8 – Sep 11, 2014
735 Likely Voters
|
48 | 48 | 4 | |
Sep 10 – Sep 10, 2014
1,027 Likely Voters
|
48 | 41 | 11 | Shaheen +7 |
Sep 2 – Sep 4, 2014
602 Likely Voters
|
50 | 42 | Shaheen +8 | |
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,159 Likely Voters
|
47 | 41 | 9 | Shaheen +6 |
Aug 27 – Sep 1, 2014
500 Likely Voters
|
44 | 41 | 6 | Shaheen +3 |
Aug 27 – Aug 28, 2014
766 Likely Voters
|
50 | 44 | 6 | Shaheen +6 |
Aug 7 – Aug 17, 2014
609 Likely Voters
|
46 | 44 | 9 | Shaheen +2 |
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
1,226 Likely Voters
|
52 | 42 | 2 | Shaheen +10 |
Jul 16 – Jul 17, 2014
1,618 Likely Voters
|
46 | 41 | 13 | Shaheen +5 |
Jul 7 – Jul 13, 2014
1,342 Registered Voters
|
50 | 42 | 6 | Shaheen +8 |
Jun 19 – Jul 1, 2014
509 Likely Voters
|
50 | 38 | 12 | Shaheen +12 |
Jun 14 – Jun 18, 2014
540 Registered Voters
|
50 | 38 | 12 | Shaheen +12 |
Jun 14 – Jun 18, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
49 | 39 | 9 | Shaheen +10 |
May 14 – May 15, 2014
707 Likely Voters
|
47 | 35 | 19 | Shaheen +12 |
Apr 24 – Apr 30, 2014
400 Likely Voters
|
49 | 43 | 8 | Shaheen +6 |
Apr 21 – Apr 25, 2014
412 Registered Voters
|
39 | 36 | 25 | Shaheen +3 |
Apr 1 – Apr 9, 2014
387 Likely Voters
|
45 | 39 | 14 | Shaheen +6 |
Apr 7 – Apr 8, 2014
1,034 Likely Voters
|
49 | 41 | 10 | Shaheen +8 |
Mar 13 – Mar 16, 2014
533 Registered Voters
|
50 | 38 | 12 | Shaheen +12 |
Mar 12 – Mar 13, 2014
750 Likely Voters
|
50 | 41 | 5 | Shaheen +9 |
Feb 27 – Mar 5, 2014
800 Likely Voters
|
52 | 39 | 9 | Shaheen +13 |
Feb 19 – Feb 20, 2014
686 Likely Voters
|
47 | 39 | 14 | Shaheen +8 |
Jan 21 – Jan 26, 2014
467 Likely Voters
|
47 | 37 | 14 | Shaheen +10 |
Jan 22 – Jan 23, 2014
513 Likely Voters
|
40 | 35 | 25 | Shaheen +5 |
Jan 21 – Jan 23, 2014
1,052 Likely Voters
|
44 | 44 | 12 | |
Jan 9 – Jan 12, 2014
1,354 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 10 | Shaheen +3 |
Dec 13 – Dec 16, 2013
549 Registered Voters
|
48 | 38 | 14 | Shaheen +10 |
Sep 13 – Sep 16, 2013
1,038 Likely Voters
|
48 | 44 | 7 | Shaheen +4 |
May 2 – May 5, 2013
807 Registered Voters
|
53 | 35 | 12 | Shaheen +18 |
Apr 22 – Apr 25, 2013
433 Registered Voters
|
44 | 30 | 26 | Shaheen +14 |