Poll Chart

2014 New Hampshire Senate: Brown vs. Shaheen

Currently tracking 62 polls from 23 pollsters

Updated over 3 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model suggests Shaheen was slightly favored to win. (In 57.2% of simulations, Shaheen beat Brown.)

Choices

Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.

Shaheen47.6% incumbent
Brown46.2%
Undecided6.2%

Overall Senate Outlook

On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

See our full forecast » See the election results »

Latest Polls

Poll	Shaheen	Brown	Undecided	Spread
PPP (D) Nov 1 – Nov 3, 2014 1,690 Likely Voters	50	48	3	Shaheen +2
UNH/WMUR Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2014 757 Likely Voters	47	45	6	Shaheen +2
New England College Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2014 1,526 Likely Voters	48	49	2	Brown +1
Rasmussen Oct 29 – Oct 30, 2014 940 Likely Voters	52	45	2	Shaheen +7
ARG Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2014 600 Likely Voters	49	49	2
Vox Populi (R) Oct 27 – Oct 28, 2014 638 Likely Voters	45	49	6	Brown +4
UNH/WMUR Oct 22 – Oct 26, 2014 555 Likely Voters	50	42		Shaheen +8
New England College Oct 24 – Oct 24, 2014 1,132 Likely Voters	47	48	2	Brown +1
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 1,042 Likely Voters	46	41	12	Shaheen +5
ARG Oct 19 – Oct 22, 2014 600 Likely Voters	49	48	3	Shaheen +1
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) Oct 20 – Oct 21, 2014 764 Likely Voters	49	45		Shaheen +4
CNN Oct 18 – Oct 21, 2014 645 Likely Voters	49	47	3	Shaheen +2
UMass Lowell/7 News Oct 15 – Oct 21, 2014 643 Likely Voters	49	46	4	Shaheen +3
Suffolk/Boston Herald Oct 16 – Oct 19, 2014 500 Likely Voters	49	46	6	Shaheen +3
New England College Oct 16 – Oct 16, 2014 921 Likely Voters	47	48	2	Brown +1
UMass Amherst/WBZ-TV/YouGov Oct 10 – Oct 15, 2014 322 Likely Voters	48	45	2	Shaheen +3
New England College Oct 9 – Oct 9, 2014 1,081 Likely Voters	47	48	2	Brown +1
Kiley (D-DSCC) Oct 7 – Oct 9, 2014 600 Likely Voters	50	44		Shaheen +6
SurveyUSA/High Point University Oct 4 – Oct 8, 2014 824 Likely Voters	48	46	6	Shaheen +2
UNH/WMUR Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2014 532 Likely Voters	44	38	17	Shaheen +6
New England College Oct 3 – Oct 3, 2014 1,286 Likely Voters	49	46	2	Shaheen +3
CBS/NYT/YouGov Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014 1,260 Likely Voters	48	41	10	Shaheen +7
ARG Sep 27 – Sep 29, 2014 600 Likely Voters	53	43	4	Shaheen +10
New England College Sep 26 – Sep 26, 2014 1,331 Likely Voters	47	46	3	Shaheen +1
New England College Sep 19 – Sep 20, 2014 1,494 Likely Voters	50	43	3	Shaheen +7
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) Sep 18 – Sep 19, 2014 652 Likely Voters	50	44	5	Shaheen +6
Vox Populi (R) Sep 15 – Sep 16, 2014 550 Likely Voters	43	47	11	Brown +4
ARG Sep 12 – Sep 15, 2014 600 Likely Voters	50	45	5	Shaheen +5
New England College Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014 630 Likely Voters	51	40	4	Shaheen +11
Magellan (R-Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire) Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014 2,214 Likely Voters	44	46	10	Brown +2
Rasmussen Sep 10 – Sep 11, 2014 750 Likely Voters	48	42	5	Shaheen +6
Kiley (D-DSCC) Sep 9 – Sep 11, 2014 600 Likely Voters	51	43		Shaheen +8
CNN Sep 8 – Sep 11, 2014 735 Likely Voters	48	48	4
Global Strategy Group (D-Mayday PAC) Sep 10 – Sep 10, 2014 1,027 Likely Voters	48	41	11	Shaheen +7
Kiley (D-DSCC) Sep 2 – Sep 4, 2014 602 Likely Voters	50	42		Shaheen +8
CBS/NYT/YouGov Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014 1,159 Likely Voters	47	41	9	Shaheen +6
POS (R-American Crossroads) Aug 27 – Sep 1, 2014 500 Likely Voters	44	41	6	Shaheen +3
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) Aug 27 – Aug 28, 2014 766 Likely Voters	50	44	6	Shaheen +6
UNH/WMUR Aug 7 – Aug 17, 2014 609 Likely Voters	46	44	9	Shaheen +2
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 1,226 Likely Voters	52	42	2	Shaheen +10
Magellan (R-Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire) Jul 16 – Jul 17, 2014 1,618 Likely Voters	46	41	13	Shaheen +5
NBC/Marist Jul 7 – Jul 13, 2014 1,342 Registered Voters	50	42	6	Shaheen +8
UNH/WMUR Jun 19 – Jul 1, 2014 509 Likely Voters	50	38	12	Shaheen +12
ARG Jun 14 – Jun 18, 2014 540 Registered Voters	50	38	12	Shaheen +12
Suffolk Jun 14 – Jun 18, 2014 800 Likely Voters	49	39	9	Shaheen +10
Vox Populi (R) May 14 – May 15, 2014 707 Likely Voters	47	35	19	Shaheen +12
Hickman (D-Consumer Energy Alliance) Apr 24 – Apr 30, 2014 400 Likely Voters	49	43	8	Shaheen +6
Dartmouth Apr 21 – Apr 25, 2014 412 Registered Voters	39	36	25	Shaheen +3
UNH/WMUR Apr 1 – Apr 9, 2014 387 Likely Voters	45	39	14	Shaheen +6
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) Apr 7 – Apr 8, 2014 1,034 Likely Voters	49	41	10	Shaheen +8
ARG Mar 13 – Mar 16, 2014 533 Registered Voters	50	38	12	Shaheen +12
Rasmussen Mar 12 – Mar 13, 2014 750 Likely Voters	50	41	5	Shaheen +9
Suffolk Feb 27 – Mar 5, 2014 800 Likely Voters	52	39	9	Shaheen +13
PPP (D-League of Conservation Voters) Feb 19 – Feb 20, 2014 686 Likely Voters	47	39	14	Shaheen +8
UNH/WMUR Jan 21 – Jan 26, 2014 467 Likely Voters	47	37	14	Shaheen +10
Harper (R-American Crossroads) Jan 22 – Jan 23, 2014 513 Likely Voters	40	35	25	Shaheen +5
Purple Strategies Jan 21 – Jan 23, 2014 1,052 Likely Voters	44	44	12
PPP (D) Jan 9 – Jan 12, 2014 1,354 Likely Voters	46	43	10	Shaheen +3
ARG Dec 13 – Dec 16, 2013 549 Registered Voters	48	38	14	Shaheen +10
PPP (D) Sep 13 – Sep 16, 2013 1,038 Likely Voters	48	44	7	Shaheen +4
New England College May 2 – May 5, 2013 807 Registered Voters	53	35	12	Shaheen +18
Dartmouth Apr 22 – Apr 25, 2013 433 Registered Voters	44	30	26	Shaheen +14