Poll Chart
2014 New Mexico Senate: Weh vs. Udall
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model suggests Udall was strongly favored to win. (In 97.3% of simulations, Udall beat Weh.)
Choices
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Overall Senate Outlook
On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)
Latest Polls
Poll | Weh |
Udall |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21 – Oct 23, 2014
614 Likely Voters
|
43 | 50 | 8 | Udall +7 | |
Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014
962 Likely Voters
|
36 | 52 | 11 | 1 | Udall +16 |
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2014
614 Likely Voters
|
45 | 51 | 4 | Udall +6 | |
Sep 27 – Oct 1, 2014
727 Likely Voters
|
36 | 53 | 11 | Udall +17 | |
Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014
1,093 Likely Voters
|
35 | 53 | 10 | 2 | Udall +18 |
Sep 22 – Sep 23, 2014
830 Likely Voters
|
39 | 52 | 7 | 2 | Udall +13 |
Sep 9 – Sep 11, 2014
603 Likely Voters
|
38 | 51 | 11 | Udall +13 | |
Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014
1,096 Likely Voters
|
36 | 54 | 8 | 2 | Udall +18 |
Aug 12 – Aug 14, 2014
606 Likely Voters
|
35 | 53 | 11 | Udall +18 | |
Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014
919 Likely Voters
|
44 | 52 | 2 | 2 | Udall +8 |
Jul 21 – Jul 22, 2014
860 Likely Voters
|
33 | 54 | 10 | 3 | Udall +21 |
Mar 13 – Mar 16, 2014
674 Likely Voters
|
33 | 53 | 14 | Udall +20 |