Poll Chart

2014 New Mexico Senate: Weh vs. Udall

Currently tracking 12 polls from 6 pollsters

Updated over 2 years ago

Election on November 4, 2014

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

Our model suggests Udall was strongly favored to win. (In 97.3% of simulations, Udall beat Weh.)

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On November 4, 2014, we reported a 79% chance that Republicans would take control of the Senate. (They did.)

Latest Polls

Poll	Weh	Udall	Undecided	Other	Spread
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Oct 21 – Oct 23, 2014 614 Likely Voters	43	50	8		Udall +7
CBS/NYT/YouGov Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2014 962 Likely Voters	36	52	11	1	Udall +16
Vox Populi (R) Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2014 614 Likely Voters	45	51	4		Udall +6
Gravis Marketing Sep 27 – Oct 1, 2014 727 Likely Voters	36	53	11		Udall +17
CBS/NYT/YouGov Sep 20 – Oct 1, 2014 1,093 Likely Voters	35	53	10	2	Udall +18
Rasmussen Sep 22 – Sep 23, 2014 830 Likely Voters	39	52	7	2	Udall +13
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Sep 9 – Sep 11, 2014 603 Likely Voters	38	51	11		Udall +13
CBS/NYT/YouGov Aug 18 – Sep 2, 2014 1,096 Likely Voters	36	54	8	2	Udall +18
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Aug 12 – Aug 14, 2014 606 Likely Voters	35	53	11		Udall +18
CBS/NYT/YouGov Jul 5 – Jul 24, 2014 919 Likely Voters	44	52	2	2	Udall +8
Rasmussen Jul 21 – Jul 22, 2014 860 Likely Voters	33	54	10	3	Udall +21
PPP (D) Mar 13 – Mar 16, 2014 674 Likely Voters	33	53	14		Udall +20