View HuffPost's Senate forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 Alaska Senate: Murkowski vs. Metcalfe
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Murkowski was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Murkowski led Metcalfe.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Murkowski |
Metcalfe |
Miller |
Stock |
Other |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
409 Likely Voters
|
55 | 33 | 12 | |||
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
300 Likely Voters
|
52 | 26 | 22 | |||
Oct 5 – Oct 6, 2016
400 Likely Voters
|
49 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2016
660 Registered Voters
|
50 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Sep 13 – Sep 15, 2016
500 Likely Voters
|
48 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
Aug 27 – Aug 29, 2016
500 Likely Voters
|
56 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 |