View HuffPost's Senate forecast
Poll Chart
2016 California Senate: Harris vs. Sanchez
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Harris was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Harris led Sanchez.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Harris |
Sanchez |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
2,712 Likely Voters
|
52 | 31 | 17 | Harris +21 | |
Nov 4 – Nov 6, 2016
401 Likely Voters
|
50 | 28 | 22 | Harris +22 | |
Oct 28 – Oct 31, 2016
747 Likely Voters
|
47 | 27 | 26 | Harris +20 | |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
1,498 Likely Voters
|
47 | 23 | 13 | 17 | Harris +24 |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
2,505 Likely Voters
|
50 | 30 | 20 | Harris +20 | |
Oct 22 – Oct 30, 2016
1,382 Likely Voters
|
48 | 31 | 5 | 17 | Harris +17 |
Oct 14 – Oct 23, 2016
1,023 Likely Voters
|
42 | 20 | 18 | 20 | Harris +22 |
Oct 13 – Oct 15, 2016
725 Likely Voters
|
45 | 24 | 31 | Harris +14 | |
Oct 7 – Oct 13, 2016
622 Likely Voters
|
49 | 24 | 7 | 20 | Harris +25 |
Sep 27 – Sep 28, 2016
732 Likely Voters
|
40 | 29 | 31 | Harris +9 | |
Sep 9 – Sep 18, 2016
1,054 Likely Voters
|
32 | 25 | 24 | 19 | Harris +7 |
Sep 12 – Sep 14, 2016
515 Likely Voters
|
42 | 28 | 3 | 28 | Harris +14 |
Sep 7 – Sep 13, 2016
1,426 Likely Voters
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 26 | Harris +16 |
Sep 8 – Sep 11, 2016
712 Likely Voters
|
44 | 27 | 29 | Harris +15 | |
Sep 1 – Sep 8, 2016
4,212 Registered Voters
|
30 | 16 | 54 | Undecided +24 | |
Aug 15 – Aug 24, 2016
915 Registered Voters
|
51 | 19 | 6 | 25 | Harris +26 |
Aug 17 – Aug 19, 2016
500 Likely Voters
|
41 | 15 | 8 | 36 | Harris +5 |
Jul 10 – Jul 19, 2016
1,056 Likely Voters
|
38 | 20 | 28 | 14 | Harris +10 |
Jun 8 – Jul 2, 2016
956 Likely Voters
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 22 | Harris +15 |
Jun 9 – Jun 10, 2016
1,264 Likely Voters
|
47 | 22 | 31 | Harris +16 | |
May 26 – May 31, 2016
1,002 Likely Voters
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 20 | Harris +14 |
May 13 – May 22, 2016
996 Likely Voters
|
34 | 26 | 24 | 15 | Harris +8 |
Apr 7 – Apr 10, 2016
2,088 Likely Voters
|
29 | 19 | 52 | Undecided +23 |