Poll Chart

2016 Florida President: Trump vs. Clinton

Currently tracking 92 polls from 38 pollsters

Updated about 2 years ago

Election on November 8, 2016

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In 96.8% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)

Choices

Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.

Clinton46.8%
Trump45.0%
Johnson3.1%
Undecided2.6%
Other2.5%

View HuffPost's presidential forecast.

Latest Polls

Poll	Trump	Clinton	Johnson	Other	Undecided	Spread
SurveyMonkey Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016 4,092 Likely Voters	45	47	4	2	2	Clinton +2
Opinion Savvy Nov 5 – Nov 6, 2016 853 Likely Voters	46	48	3	1	1	Clinton +2
Quinnipiac Nov 3 – Nov 6, 2016 884 Likely Voters	45	46	2	2	5	Clinton +1
UPI/CVOTER Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016 438 Likely Voters	47	47		5
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016 1,274 Likely Voters	47	48			5	Clinton +1
CBS/YouGov Nov 2 – Nov 4, 2016 1,188 Likely Voters	45	45	4	4	2
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016 2,352 Likely Voters	48	45	2	2	3	Trump +3
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35 Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016 603 Likely Voters	45	49	3	1	2	Clinton +4
Quinnipiac Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 626 Likely Voters	45	46	2	3	4	Clinton +1
CNN Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 773 Likely Voters	47	49	3	2	0	Clinton +2
Gravis Marketing/One America News Oct 31 – Oct 31, 2016 1,995 Registered Voters	49	51				Clinton +2
SurveyMonkey Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016 2,809 Likely Voters	45	46	5	2	2	Clinton +1
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies Oct 30 – Oct 30, 2016 989 Likely Voters	48	44	2	2	4	Trump +4
TargetSmart/William & Mary Oct 25 – Oct 30, 2016 718 Likely Voters	40	48	3	7	0	Clinton +8
UPI/CVOTER Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016 408 Likely Voters	47	48		5		Clinton +1
NYT Upshot/Siena Oct 25 – Oct 27, 2016 814 Likely Voters	46	42	4	3	6	Trump +4
Dixie Strategies (R) Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2016 698 Likely Voters	46	42	2	3	6	Trump +4
NBC/WSJ/Marist Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2016 779 Likely Voters	46	46		7	1
Saint Leo University Oct 22 – Oct 26, 2016 1,028 Likely Voters	37	50	5	1	7	Clinton +13
UNF Oct 20 – Oct 25, 2016 786 Likely Voters	44	46		3	6	Clinton +2
Bloomberg/Selzer Oct 21 – Oct 24, 2016 953 Likely Voters	46	45		4	5	Trump +1
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 Oct 20 – Oct 24, 2016 1,251 Likely Voters	45	48	2	4	0	Clinton +3
SurveyMonkey Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016 2,765 Likely Voters	44	47	5	2	3	Clinton +3
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2016 1,646 Likely Voters	46	46	2	2	5
CBS/YouGov Oct 20 – Oct 21, 2016 1,042 Likely Voters	43	46	3	4	3	Clinton +3
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35 Oct 20 – Oct 20, 2016 538 Likely Voters	45	49	3	2	2	Clinton +4
Lucid/The Times-Picayune Oct 17 – Oct 18, 2016 892 Likely Voters	39	45	6	2	8	Clinton +6
Quinnipiac Oct 10 – Oct 16, 2016 660 Likely Voters	44	48	4	2	4	Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016 401 Likely Voters	46	49		5		Clinton +3
WashPost/SurveyMonkey Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016 1,702 Likely Voters	47	47			6
PPP (D) Oct 12 – Oct 13, 2016 985 Likely Voters	42	46	5	1	6	Clinton +4
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart Oct 11 – Oct 13, 2016 1,799 Registered Voters	42	46	2	1	10	Clinton +4
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016 1,799 Likely Voters	42	48			10	Clinton +6
Opinion Savvy Oct 10 – Oct 11, 2016 533 Likely Voters	44	47	5	1	3	Clinton +3
Florida Atlantic University Oct 5 – Oct 9, 2016 500 Likely Voters	43	49	1	0	7	Clinton +6
NBC/WSJ/Marist Oct 3 – Oct 5, 2016 700 Likely Voters	44	46		7	3	Clinton +2
UNF Sep 27 – Oct 4, 2016 661 Likely Voters	40	47		4	9	Clinton +7
Quinnipiac Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2016 545 Likely Voters	41	46	5	2	5	Clinton +5
UPI/CVOTER Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016 785 Likely Voters	47	46		5		Trump +1
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35 Sep 28 – Sep 29, 2016 619 Likely Voters	46	47	4	2	1	Clinton +1
Mason-Dixon Sep 27 – Sep 29, 2016 820 Likely Voters	42	46	7	1	4	Clinton +4
PPP (D-Vote Vets Action Fund) Sep 27 – Sep 28, 2016 826 Likely Voters	43	45	3	1	8	Clinton +2
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016 1,167 Likely Voters	45	49			6	Clinton +4
Suffolk Sep 19 – Sep 21, 2016 500 Likely Voters	45	44	3	1	8	Trump +1
Cherry (R-Florida Chamber of Commerce) Sep 15 – Sep 20, 2016 617 Likely Voters	41	43	8	2	6	Clinton +2
Monmouth University Sep 16 – Sep 19, 2016 400 Likely Voters	41	46	6	2	5	Clinton +5
Saint Leo University Sep 10 – Sep 16, 2016 475 Likely Voters	44	49	6	2		Clinton +5
NYT Upshot/Siena Sep 10 – Sep 14, 2016 867 Likely Voters	43	43		3	10
CNN Sep 7 – Sep 12, 2016 788 Likely Voters	47	44	6	1	1	Trump +3
CBS/YouGov Sep 7 – Sep 9, 2016 1,193 Likely Voters	42	44	5	4	6	Clinton +2
Quinnipiac Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2016 761 Likely Voters	47	47		2	5
PPP (D) Sep 4 – Sep 6, 2016 744 Likely Voters	44	43	5	2	6	Trump +1
WashPost/SurveyMonkey Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016 3,287 Registered Voters	44	46			10	Clinton +2
ICITIZEN Aug 18 – Aug 24, 2016 600 Registered Voters	37	42	8	6	8	Clinton +5
Cherry (R-Florida Chamber of Commerce) Aug 17 – Aug 22, 2016 608 Likely Voters	44	43		7	5	Trump +1
Saint Leo University Aug 14 – Aug 18, 2016 1,380 Likely Voters	38	52	8	2		Clinton +14
Monmouth University Aug 12 – Aug 15, 2016 402 Likely Voters	39	48	6	2	5	Clinton +9
CBS/YouGov Aug 10 – Aug 12, 2016 1,194 Likely Voters	40	45	5	4	4	Clinton +5
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13 Aug 10 – Aug 10, 2016 622 Likely Voters	44	45	6	1	3	Clinton +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist Aug 4 – Aug 10, 2016 862 Registered Voters	39	44		11	7	Clinton +5
Quinnipiac Jul 30 – Aug 7, 2016 1,056 Likely Voters	45	46		3	5	Clinton +1
Suffolk Aug 1 – Aug 3, 2016 500 Likely Voters	42	48			10	Clinton +6
NBC/WSJ/Marist Jul 5 – Jul 11, 2016 871 Registered Voters	37	44		13	7	Clinton +7
Quinnipiac Jun 30 – Jul 11, 2016 1,015 Registered Voters	42	39		6	13	Trump +3
JMC Analytics (R) Jul 9 – Jul 10, 2016 700 Likely Voters	47	42	2	1	8	Trump +5
GQR (D-Project New America) Jul 6 – Jul 10, 2016 1,100 Likely Voters	40	45	6	2	7	Clinton +5
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jun 27 – Jun 28, 2016 1,619 Registered Voters	49	45		6		Trump +4
Onmessage (R-Let's Get to Work) Jun 26 – Jun 28, 2016 800 Likely Voters	47	45			8	Trump +2
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 Jun 25 – Jun 27, 2016 1,678 Likely Voters	42	46	2	5	5	Clinton +4
CBS/YouGov Jun 21 – Jun 24, 2016 1,192 Likely Voters	41	44		8	7	Clinton +3
GQR (D-Democracy Corps/Women's Voices Women Vote) Jun 11 – Jun 20, 2016 300 Likely Voters	39	52		6	3	Clinton +13
Quinnipiac Jun 8 – Jun 19, 2016 975 Registered Voters	39	47		2	12	Clinton +8
PPP (D) Jun 2 – Jun 5, 2016 737 Likely Voters	41	40	4	2	13	Trump +1
Mason-Dixon May 31 – Jun 2, 2016 625 Registered Voters	42	45	6		7	Clinton +3
CBS/YouGov May 16 – May 19, 2016 995 Likely Voters	42	43			15	Clinton +1
Gravis Marketing May 17 – May 18, 2016 2,542 Registered Voters	42	46			12	Clinton +4
Quinnipiac Apr 27 – May 8, 2016 1,051 Registered Voters	42	43		2	13	Clinton +1
Associated Industries of Florida (R) Apr 25 – Apr 27, 2016 604 Likely Voters	36	49			15	Clinton +13
NBC/WSJ/Marist Mar 4 – Mar 10, 2016 2,422 Registered Voters	41	49			9	Clinton +8
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 Mar 4 – Mar 6, 2016 1,961 Likely Voters	45	44			12	Trump +1
CNN Mar 2 – Mar 6, 2016 854 Registered Voters	43	50		7	1	Clinton +7
PPP (D) Feb 24 – Feb 25, 2016 1,012 Likely Voters	46	44			10	Trump +2
Florida Southern College Center Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2016 608 Registered Voters	38	45		3	15	Clinton +7
Florida Atlantic University Jan 15 – Jan 18, 2016 1,008 Registered Voters	47	44			9	Trump +3
Saint Leo University Nov 29 – Dec 3, 2015 404 Likely Voters	41	49				Clinton +8
Florida Atlantic University Nov 15 – Nov 16, 2015 829 Registered Voters	49	41			10	Trump +8
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2015 2,400 Likely Voters	47	43			9	Trump +4
Quinnipiac Sep 25 – Oct 5, 2015 1,173 Registered Voters	41	46		3	10	Clinton +5
Florida Atlantic University Sep 17 – Sep 20, 2015 801 Registered Voters	46	45			10	Trump +1
Cherry (R-Florida Chamber of Commerce) Sep 16 – Sep 20, 2015 605 Likely Voters	41	42				Clinton +1
PPP (D) Sep 11 – Sep 13, 2015 814 Likely Voters	48	42			9	Trump +6
Quinnipiac Aug 7 – Aug 18, 2015 1,093 Registered Voters	43	41		3	13	Trump +2