Poll Chart

2016 General Election: Carson vs. Clinton

Currently tracking 65 polls from 14 pollsters

Updated about 5 years ago

This matchup was polled but never occurred

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In 93.4% of simulations, Clinton led Carson.)

Choices

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Clinton48.9%
Carson41.4%
Undecided7.3%
Other2.4%

Latest Polls

Poll	Carson	Clinton	Undecided	Other	Spread
Morning Consult Feb 26 – Feb 27, 2016 1,221 Registered Voters	38	46	16		Clinton +8
Morning Consult Feb 15 – Feb 16, 2016 847 Registered Voters	37	45	18		Clinton +8
Morning Consult Feb 3 – Feb 7, 2016 2,197 Registered Voters	41	44	15		Clinton +3
PPP (D) Feb 2 – Feb 3, 2016 1,236 Likely Voters	44	47	9		Clinton +3
Morning Consult Jan 21 – Jan 24, 2016 4,001 Registered Voters	39	44	16		Clinton +5
Zogby (Internet) Jan 19 – Jan 20, 2016 843 Likely Voters	40	44			Clinton +4
Morning Consult Jan 14 – Jan 17, 2016 4,060 Registered Voters	42	42	15
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jan 10 – Jan 10, 2016 2,416 Registered Voters	51	49			Carson +2
Morning Consult Jan 8 – Jan 10, 2016 2,173 Registered Voters	41	42	17		Clinton +1
PPP (D) Dec 16 – Dec 17, 2015 1,267 Likely Voters	45	45	10
FOX Dec 16 – Dec 17, 2015 1,013 Registered Voters	44	46	4	2	Clinton +2
Morning Consult Dec 11 – Dec 15, 2015 4,038 Registered Voters	39	45	15		Clinton +6
NBC/WSJ Dec 6 – Dec 9, 2015 849 Registered Voters	47	46	2	5	Carson +1
Gravis Marketing/OANN Dec 7 – Dec 8, 2015 1,995 Registered Voters	49	51			Clinton +2
Morning Consult Dec 3 – Dec 7, 2015 2,047 Registered Voters	45	40	15		Carson +5
Suffolk/USA Today Dec 2 – Dec 6, 2015 1,000 Likely Voters	45	46	8		Clinton +1
Saint Leo University Nov 29 – Dec 3, 2015 746 Likely Voters	38	51			Clinton +13
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Nov 15 – Dec 2, 2015 2,360 Registered Voters	47	48	5		Clinton +1
CNN Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2015 930 Registered Voters	50	47	1	2	Carson +3
Quinnipiac Nov 23 – Nov 30, 2015 1,453 Registered Voters	43	46	4	7	Clinton +3
FOX Nov 16 – Nov 19, 2015 1,016 Registered Voters	47	42	4	2	Carson +5
PPP (D) Nov 16 – Nov 17, 2015 1,360 Likely Voters	45	46	9		Clinton +1
Morning Consult Nov 13 – Nov 16, 2015 2,001 Registered Voters	43	42	15		Carson +1
Morning Consult Nov 5 – Nov 8, 2015 4,002 Registered Voters	43	42	15		Carson +1
McClatchy/Marist Oct 29 – Nov 4, 2015 540 Registered Voters	48	50	2		Clinton +2
Quinnipiac Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2015 1,144 Registered Voters	50	40	6	5	Carson +10
Morning Consult Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2015 2,350 Registered Voters	44	43	13		Carson +1
Zogby (Internet) Oct 30 – Oct 31, 2015 1,002 Likely Voters	35	41	7	15	Clinton +6
NBC/WSJ Oct 25 – Oct 29, 2015 1,000 Adults	47	47	2	4
Gravis Marketing/OANN Oct 26 – Oct 26, 2015 2,606 Registered Voters	51	49			Carson +2
Morning Consult Oct 22 – Oct 25, 2015 1,689 Registered Voters	42	41	17		Carson +1
Saint Leo University Oct 17 – Oct 22, 2015 764 Likely Voters	42	46			Clinton +4
Morning Consult Oct 15 – Oct 19, 2015 2,017 Registered Voters	41	43	16		Clinton +2
NBC/WSJ Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2015 1,000 Adults	45	47	3	5	Clinton +2
Emerson College Polling Society Oct 16 – Oct 17, 2015 783 Registered Voters	48	45	7		Carson +3
CNN Oct 14 – Oct 17, 2015 936 Registered Voters	48	47	0	5	Carson +1
FOX Oct 10 – Oct 12, 2015 1,004 Registered Voters	50	39	5	1	Carson +11
Morning Consult Oct 8 – Oct 12, 2015 2,002 Registered Voters	43	41	17		Carson +2
Morning Consult Oct 2 – Oct 5, 2015 1,983 Registered Voters	44	38	18		Carson +6
PPP (D) Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2015 1,338 Likely Voters	48	44	8		Carson +4
Gravis Marketing/OANN Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2015 2,665 Registered Voters	53	47			Carson +6
Morning Consult Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2015 1,543 Registered Voters	44	42	15		Carson +2
NBC/WSJ Sep 20 – Sep 24, 2015 1,000 Adults	46	45	3	6	Carson +1
Quinnipiac Sep 17 – Sep 21, 2015 1,574 Registered Voters	49	42	4	5	Carson +7
Emerson College Polling Society Sep 5 – Sep 8, 2015 955 Likely Voters	47	41	12		Carson +6
CNN Sep 4 – Sep 8, 2015 930 Registered Voters	51	46	0	3	Carson +5
PPP (D) Aug 28 – Aug 30, 2015 1,254 Likely Voters	44	44	13
Gravis Marketing/OANN Aug 21 – Aug 22, 2015 3,567 Registered Voters	52	48			Carson +4
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 6 – Aug 10, 2015 823 Adults	24	44	21	12	Clinton +20
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jul 31 – Aug 1, 2015 3,477 Registered Voters	46	54			Clinton +8
Emerson College Polling Society Jul 26 – Jul 28, 2015 950 Likely Voters	38	49	13		Clinton +11
McClatchy/Marist Jul 22 – Jul 28, 2015 964 Registered Voters	39	49	12		Clinton +10
PPP (D) Jul 20 – Jul 21, 2015 1,087 Likely Voters	39	47	14		Clinton +8
Suffolk/USA Today Jul 9 – Jul 12, 2015 1,000 Likely Voters	36	49	16		Clinton +13
FOX Jun 21 – Jun 23, 2015 1,005 Registered Voters	41	46	7	2	Clinton +5
PPP (D) Jun 11 – Jun 14, 2015 1,129 Likely Voters	43	46	11		Clinton +3
FOX May 9 – May 12, 2015 1,006 Registered Voters	42	48	2	5	Clinton +6
CNN Apr 16 – Apr 19, 2015 1,018 Adults	36	60	1	3	Clinton +24
PPP (D) Mar 26 – Mar 31, 2015 989 Likely Voters	42	47	12		Clinton +5
CNN Mar 13 – Mar 15, 2015 1,009 Adults	40	56	1	4	Clinton +16
PPP (D) Feb 20 – Feb 22, 2015 691 Likely Voters	40	48	12		Clinton +8
CNN Dec 18 – Dec 21, 2014 1,011 Adults	35	56	3	6	Clinton +21