Poll Chart
2016 General Election: Carson vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In 93.4% of simulations, Clinton led Carson.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Carson |
Clinton |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 26 – Feb 27, 2016
1,221 Registered Voters
|
38 | 46 | 16 | Clinton +8 | |
Feb 15 – Feb 16, 2016
847 Registered Voters
|
37 | 45 | 18 | Clinton +8 | |
Feb 3 – Feb 7, 2016
2,197 Registered Voters
|
41 | 44 | 15 | Clinton +3 | |
Feb 2 – Feb 3, 2016
1,236 Likely Voters
|
44 | 47 | 9 | Clinton +3 | |
Jan 21 – Jan 24, 2016
4,001 Registered Voters
|
39 | 44 | 16 | Clinton +5 | |
Jan 19 – Jan 20, 2016
843 Likely Voters
|
40 | 44 | Clinton +4 | ||
Jan 14 – Jan 17, 2016
4,060 Registered Voters
|
42 | 42 | 15 | ||
Jan 10 – Jan 10, 2016
2,416 Registered Voters
|
51 | 49 | Carson +2 | ||
Jan 8 – Jan 10, 2016
2,173 Registered Voters
|
41 | 42 | 17 | Clinton +1 | |
Dec 16 – Dec 17, 2015
1,267 Likely Voters
|
45 | 45 | 10 | ||
Dec 16 – Dec 17, 2015
1,013 Registered Voters
|
44 | 46 | 4 | 2 | Clinton +2 |
Dec 11 – Dec 15, 2015
4,038 Registered Voters
|
39 | 45 | 15 | Clinton +6 | |
Dec 6 – Dec 9, 2015
849 Registered Voters
|
47 | 46 | 2 | 5 | Carson +1 |
Dec 7 – Dec 8, 2015
1,995 Registered Voters
|
49 | 51 | Clinton +2 | ||
Dec 3 – Dec 7, 2015
2,047 Registered Voters
|
45 | 40 | 15 | Carson +5 | |
Dec 2 – Dec 6, 2015
1,000 Likely Voters
|
45 | 46 | 8 | Clinton +1 | |
Nov 29 – Dec 3, 2015
746 Likely Voters
|
38 | 51 | Clinton +13 | ||
Nov 15 – Dec 2, 2015
2,360 Registered Voters
|
47 | 48 | 5 | Clinton +1 | |
Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2015
930 Registered Voters
|
50 | 47 | 1 | 2 | Carson +3 |
Nov 23 – Nov 30, 2015
1,453 Registered Voters
|
43 | 46 | 4 | 7 | Clinton +3 |
Nov 16 – Nov 19, 2015
1,016 Registered Voters
|
47 | 42 | 4 | 2 | Carson +5 |
Nov 16 – Nov 17, 2015
1,360 Likely Voters
|
45 | 46 | 9 | Clinton +1 | |
Nov 13 – Nov 16, 2015
2,001 Registered Voters
|
43 | 42 | 15 | Carson +1 | |
Nov 5 – Nov 8, 2015
4,002 Registered Voters
|
43 | 42 | 15 | Carson +1 | |
Oct 29 – Nov 4, 2015
540 Registered Voters
|
48 | 50 | 2 | Clinton +2 | |
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2015
1,144 Registered Voters
|
50 | 40 | 6 | 5 | Carson +10 |
Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2015
2,350 Registered Voters
|
44 | 43 | 13 | Carson +1 | |
Oct 30 – Oct 31, 2015
1,002 Likely Voters
|
35 | 41 | 7 | 15 | Clinton +6 |
Oct 25 – Oct 29, 2015
1,000 Adults
|
47 | 47 | 2 | 4 | |
Oct 26 – Oct 26, 2015
2,606 Registered Voters
|
51 | 49 | Carson +2 | ||
Oct 22 – Oct 25, 2015
1,689 Registered Voters
|
42 | 41 | 17 | Carson +1 | |
Oct 17 – Oct 22, 2015
764 Likely Voters
|
42 | 46 | Clinton +4 | ||
Oct 15 – Oct 19, 2015
2,017 Registered Voters
|
41 | 43 | 16 | Clinton +2 | |
Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2015
1,000 Adults
|
45 | 47 | 3 | 5 | Clinton +2 |
Oct 16 – Oct 17, 2015
783 Registered Voters
|
48 | 45 | 7 | Carson +3 | |
Oct 14 – Oct 17, 2015
936 Registered Voters
|
48 | 47 | 0 | 5 | Carson +1 |
Oct 10 – Oct 12, 2015
1,004 Registered Voters
|
50 | 39 | 5 | 1 | Carson +11 |
Oct 8 – Oct 12, 2015
2,002 Registered Voters
|
43 | 41 | 17 | Carson +2 | |
Oct 2 – Oct 5, 2015
1,983 Registered Voters
|
44 | 38 | 18 | Carson +6 | |
Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2015
1,338 Likely Voters
|
48 | 44 | 8 | Carson +4 | |
Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2015
2,665 Registered Voters
|
53 | 47 | Carson +6 | ||
Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2015
1,543 Registered Voters
|
44 | 42 | 15 | Carson +2 | |
Sep 20 – Sep 24, 2015
1,000 Adults
|
46 | 45 | 3 | 6 | Carson +1 |
Sep 17 – Sep 21, 2015
1,574 Registered Voters
|
49 | 42 | 4 | 5 | Carson +7 |
Sep 5 – Sep 8, 2015
955 Likely Voters
|
47 | 41 | 12 | Carson +6 | |
Sep 4 – Sep 8, 2015
930 Registered Voters
|
51 | 46 | 0 | 3 | Carson +5 |
Aug 28 – Aug 30, 2015
1,254 Likely Voters
|
44 | 44 | 13 | ||
Aug 21 – Aug 22, 2015
3,567 Registered Voters
|
52 | 48 | Carson +4 | ||
Aug 6 – Aug 10, 2015
823 Adults
|
24 | 44 | 21 | 12 | Clinton +20 |
Jul 31 – Aug 1, 2015
3,477 Registered Voters
|
46 | 54 | Clinton +8 | ||
Jul 26 – Jul 28, 2015
950 Likely Voters
|
38 | 49 | 13 | Clinton +11 | |
Jul 22 – Jul 28, 2015
964 Registered Voters
|
39 | 49 | 12 | Clinton +10 | |
Jul 20 – Jul 21, 2015
1,087 Likely Voters
|
39 | 47 | 14 | Clinton +8 | |
Jul 9 – Jul 12, 2015
1,000 Likely Voters
|
36 | 49 | 16 | Clinton +13 | |
Jun 21 – Jun 23, 2015
1,005 Registered Voters
|
41 | 46 | 7 | 2 | Clinton +5 |
Jun 11 – Jun 14, 2015
1,129 Likely Voters
|
43 | 46 | 11 | Clinton +3 | |
May 9 – May 12, 2015
1,006 Registered Voters
|
42 | 48 | 2 | 5 | Clinton +6 |
Apr 16 – Apr 19, 2015
1,018 Adults
|
36 | 60 | 1 | 3 | Clinton +24 |
Mar 26 – Mar 31, 2015
989 Likely Voters
|
42 | 47 | 12 | Clinton +5 | |
Mar 13 – Mar 15, 2015
1,009 Adults
|
40 | 56 | 1 | 4 | Clinton +16 |
Feb 20 – Feb 22, 2015
691 Likely Voters
|
40 | 48 | 12 | Clinton +8 | |
Dec 18 – Dec 21, 2014
1,011 Adults
|
35 | 56 | 3 | 6 | Clinton +21 |