Poll Chart
2016 General Election: Rubio vs. Sanders
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Sanders was very likely leading. (In 97.1% of simulations, Sanders led Rubio.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Sanders |
Rubio |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mar 11 – Mar 13, 2016
3,023 Registered Voters
|
50 | 32 | 18 | Sanders +18 | |
Mar 10 – Mar 12, 2016
1,647 Registered Voters
|
45 | 40 | 8 | 7 | Sanders +5 |
Mar 4 – Mar 6, 2016
1,512 Registered Voters
|
47 | 33 | 20 | Sanders +14 | |
Feb 26 – Feb 27, 2016
1,193 Registered Voters
|
44 | 35 | 21 | Sanders +9 | |
Feb 15 – Feb 16, 2016
874 Registered Voters
|
48 | 31 | 21 | Sanders +17 | |
Feb 11 – Feb 15, 2016
1,000 Likely Voters
|
42 | 46 | 13 | Rubio +4 | |
Feb 10 – Feb 15, 2016
1,342 Registered Voters
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 6 | Sanders +6 |
Feb 2 – Feb 4, 2016
1,125 Registered Voters
|
43 | 43 | 8 | 6 | |
Feb 2 – Feb 3, 2016
1,236 Likely Voters
|
43 | 45 | 12 | Rubio +2 | |
Jan 19 – Jan 20, 2016
843 Likely Voters
|
44 | 37 | Sanders +7 | ||
Dec 16 – Dec 20, 2015
1,140 Registered Voters
|
42 | 45 | 6 | 7 | Rubio +3 |
Dec 16 – Dec 17, 2015
1,267 Likely Voters
|
39 | 42 | 20 | Rubio +3 | |
Nov 23 – Nov 30, 2015
1,453 Registered Voters
|
44 | 43 | 6 | 6 | Sanders +1 |
Nov 16 – Nov 17, 2015
1,360 Likely Voters
|
38 | 44 | 18 | Rubio +6 | |
Oct 29 – Nov 4, 2015
541 Registered Voters
|
48 | 45 | 7 | Sanders +3 | |
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2015
1,144 Registered Voters
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 5 | Rubio +6 |
Oct 25 – Oct 29, 2015
1,000 Adults
|
46 | 41 | 6 | 7 | Sanders +5 |
Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2015
1,000 Adults
|
45 | 41 | 7 | 6 | Sanders +4 |
Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2015
1,338 Likely Voters
|
38 | 42 | 20 | Rubio +4 | |
Aug 20 – Aug 25, 2015
1,563 Registered Voters
|
40 | 41 | 11 | 7 | Rubio +1 |
Jul 20 – Jul 21, 2015
1,087 Likely Voters
|
36 | 41 | 23 | Rubio +5 |