View HuffPost's presidential forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 Nevada President: Trump vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In 98.1% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Trump |
Clinton |
Johnson |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
1,207 Likely Voters
|
43 | 45 | 9 | 3 | Clinton +2 | |
Nov 4 – Nov 6, 2016
387 Likely Voters
|
42 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016
323 Likely Voters
|
46 | 49 | 5 | Clinton +3 | ||
Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016
571 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 13 | Clinton +3 | ||
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016
1,793 Likely Voters
|
46 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Trump +1 |
Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2016
688 Likely Voters
|
45 | 48 | 7 | Clinton +3 | ||
Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2016
892 Likely Voters
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 7 | Clinton +7 |
Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2016
600 Likely Voters
|
45 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 4 | |
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016
790 Likely Voters
|
49 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 1 | Trump +6 |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
1,010 Likely Voters
|
42 | 43 | 12 | 3 | Clinton +1 | |
Oct 30 – Oct 30, 2016
787 Likely Voters
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 3 | Trump +4 |
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016
314 Likely Voters
|
46 | 48 | 6 | Clinton +2 | ||
Oct 20 – Oct 24, 2016
707 Likely Voters
|
45 | 45 | 9 | 1 | ||
Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016
967 Likely Voters
|
44 | 44 | 10 | 2 | ||
Oct 20 – Oct 23, 2016
800 Likely Voters
|
41 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Clinton +7 |
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2016
1,332 Likely Voters
|
47 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Trump +3 |
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2016
826 Likely Voters
|
42 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Clinton +4 |
Oct 14 – Oct 17, 2016
413 Likely Voters
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 3 | 3 | Clinton +7 |
Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016
319 Likely Voters
|
45 | 49 | 6 | Clinton +4 | ||
Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016
884 Likely Voters
|
46 | 47 | 7 | Clinton +1 | ||
Oct 10 – Oct 15, 2016
698 Likely Voters
|
44 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 0 | Clinton +2 |
Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2016
996 Likely Voters
|
40 | 46 | 4 | 5 | 4 | Clinton +6 |
Oct 10 – Oct 13, 2016
600 Likely Voters
|
41 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 9 | Clinton +2 |
Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016
641 Likely Voters
|
39 | 41 | 20 | Clinton +2 | ||
Oct 10 – Oct 11, 2016
1,010 Likely Voters
|
43 | 43 | 6 | 8 | ||
Oct 10 – Oct 11, 2016
986 Likely Voters
|
43 | 47 | 10 | Clinton +4 | ||
Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2016
700 Registered Voters
|
41 | 44 | 9 | 7 | Clinton +3 | |
Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016
536 Likely Voters
|
47 | 47 | 6 | |||
Sep 27 – Sep 29, 2016
500 Likely Voters
|
38 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 6 | Clinton +6 |
Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016
542 Likely Voters
|
45 | 45 | 10 | |||
Sep 18 – Sep 20, 2016
704 Likely Voters
|
43 | 40 | 8 | 4 | 3 | Trump +3 |
Sep 10 – Sep 19, 2016
400 Likely Voters
|
42 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 4 | |
Sep 16 – Sep 18, 2016
800 Likely Voters
|
42 | 39 | 11 | 3 | 4 | Trump +3 |
Sep 12 – Sep 14, 2016
398 Likely Voters
|
42 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 10 | Trump +2 |
Sep 11 – Sep 13, 2016
406 Likely Voters
|
44 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | Trump +2 |
Sep 6 – Sep 8, 2016
627 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | 7 | 3 | Clinton +1 | |
Sep 6 – Sep 7, 2016
815 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 13 | Clinton +3 | ||
Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016
2,776 Registered Voters
|
43 | 48 | 10 | Clinton +5 | ||
Aug 15 – Aug 17, 2016
500 Likely Voters
|
42 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 5 | Clinton +2 |
Aug 2 – Aug 5, 2016
993 Likely Voters
|
41 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Clinton +2 |
Jul 29 – Jul 31, 2016
750 Likely Voters
|
40 | 41 | 10 | 4 | 5 | Clinton +1 |
Jul 22 – Jul 24, 2016
750 Likely Voters
|
43 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 7 | Trump +5 |
Jul 7 – Jul 10, 2016
408 Likely Voters
|
41 | 45 | 5 | 8 | Clinton +4 | |
Jun 11 – Jun 20, 2016
300 Likely Voters
|
47 | 45 | 4 | 4 | Trump +2 | |
May 24 – May 25, 2016
1,637 Registered Voters
|
47 | 42 | 11 | Trump +5 | ||
Nov 10 – Nov 16, 2015
628 Registered Voters
|
44 | 41 | 14 | Trump +3 |