View HuffPost's presidential forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 New Jersey President: Trump vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Trump |
Clinton |
Undecided |
Other |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
1,377 Likely Voters
|
37 | 52 | 3 | 8 | Clinton +15 |
Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016
348 Likely Voters
|
41 | 55 | 4 | Clinton +14 | |
Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016
658 Likely Voters
|
38 | 48 | 14 | Clinton +10 | |
Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2016
678 Likely Voters
|
40 | 51 | 6 | 5 | Clinton +11 |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
724 Likely Voters
|
35 | 55 | 3 | 7 | Clinton +20 |
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016
353 Likely Voters
|
40 | 57 | 3 | Clinton +17 | |
Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016
590 Likely Voters
|
36 | 52 | 3 | 9 | Clinton +16 |
Oct 12 – Oct 16, 2016
579 Likely Voters
|
40 | 51 | 5 | 4 | Clinton +11 |
Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016
338 Likely Voters
|
39 | 57 | 4 | Clinton +18 | |
Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016
1,084 Likely Voters
|
32 | 50 | 18 | Clinton +18 | |
Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016
568 Likely Voters
|
41 | 55 | 4 | Clinton +14 | |
Sep 22 – Sep 29, 2016
638 Likely Voters
|
40 | 46 | 5 | 9 | Clinton +6 |
Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016
953 Likely Voters
|
32 | 50 | 18 | Clinton +18 | |
Sep 6 – Sep 10, 2016
726 Registered Voters
|
29 | 50 | 7 | 15 | Clinton +21 |
Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016
912 Registered Voters
|
38 | 53 | 9 | Clinton +15 | |
Jun 22 – Jun 26, 2016
349 Registered Voters
|
32 | 44 | 9 | 15 | Clinton +12 |
May 31 – Jun 3, 2016
1,194 Likely Voters
|
34 | 49 | 8 | 8 | Clinton +15 |
May 23 – May 27, 2016
703 Registered Voters
|
34 | 38 | 17 | 11 | Clinton +4 |
May 18 – May 22, 2016
702 Registered Voters
|
37 | 48 | 8 | 7 | Clinton +11 |
May 10 – May 16, 2016
1,989 Registered Voters
|
38 | 45 | 13 | 3 | Clinton +7 |
Apr 1 – Apr 8, 2016
738 Registered Voters
|
36 | 50 | 3 | 11 | Clinton +14 |