View HuffPost's presidential forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 New York President: Trump vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Trump |
Clinton |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
2,208 Likely Voters
|
32 | 57 | 9 | 2 | Clinton +25 |
Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016
458 Likely Voters
|
38 | 59 | 4 | Clinton +21 | |
Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016
1,383 Likely Voters
|
33 | 51 | 16 | Clinton +18 | |
Nov 3 – Nov 4, 2016
617 Likely Voters
|
34 | 51 | 8 | 7 | Clinton +17 |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
1,734 Likely Voters
|
33 | 56 | 10 | 1 | Clinton +23 |
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016
403 Likely Voters
|
38 | 58 | 4 | Clinton +20 | |
Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016
1,169 Likely Voters
|
31 | 58 | 9 | 2 | Clinton +27 |
Oct 13 – Oct 17, 2016
611 Likely Voters
|
30 | 54 | 10 | 6 | Clinton +24 |
Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016
404 Likely Voters
|
38 | 59 | 4 | Clinton +21 | |
Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016
986 Likely Voters
|
27 | 53 | 20 | Clinton +26 | |
Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016
701 Likely Voters
|
40 | 57 | 4 | Clinton +17 | |
Sep 21 – Sep 23, 2016
676 Likely Voters
|
33 | 57 | 8 | 2 | Clinton +24 |
Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016
1,113 Likely Voters
|
34 | 53 | 13 | Clinton +19 | |
Sep 11 – Sep 15, 2016
600 Likely Voters
|
30 | 51 | 12 | 7 | Clinton +21 |
Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016
1,405 Registered Voters
|
35 | 57 | 9 | Clinton +22 | |
Aug 7 – Aug 10, 2016
717 Registered Voters
|
27 | 57 | 3 | 13 | Clinton +30 |
Aug 4 – Aug 8, 2016
1,717 Registered Voters
|
36 | 53 | 10 | Clinton +17 | |
Jul 13 – Jul 17, 2016
1,104 Registered Voters
|
35 | 47 | 3 | 14 | Clinton +12 |
Jun 22 – Jun 28, 2016
803 Registered Voters
|
31 | 54 | 16 | Clinton +23 | |
May 22 – May 26, 2016
825 Registered Voters
|
31 | 52 | 17 | Clinton +21 | |
Apr 24 – Apr 27, 2016
802 Registered Voters
|
30 | 56 | 15 | Clinton +26 | |
Apr 15 – Apr 17, 2016
1,047 Likely Voters
|
36 | 55 | 9 | Clinton +19 | |
Apr 7 – Apr 10, 2016
1,403 Likely Voters
|
35 | 55 | 10 | Clinton +20 | |
Apr 6 – Apr 10, 2016
1,987 Registered Voters
|
32 | 61 | 7 | Clinton +29 | |
Apr 5 – Apr 10, 2016
1,306 Registered Voters
|
35 | 51 | 14 | Clinton +16 | |
Apr 6 – Apr 7, 2016
864 Likely Voters
|
36 | 54 | 10 | Clinton +18 | |
Apr 4 – Apr 7, 2016
1,403 Likely Voters
|
37 | 53 | 2 | 8 | Clinton +16 |
Mar 22 – Mar 29, 2016
1,667 Registered Voters
|
33 | 53 | 2 | 11 | Clinton +20 |
Mar 14 – Mar 16, 2016
768 Likely Voters
|
36 | 55 | 10 | Clinton +19 | |
Feb 28 – Mar 3, 2016
800 Registered Voters
|
34 | 57 | 10 | Clinton +23 | |
Jan 31 – Feb 3, 2016
930 Registered Voters
|
32 | 57 | 11 | Clinton +25 |