Poll Chart

2016 North Carolina Governor: McCrory vs. Cooper

Currently tracking 81 polls from 26 pollsters

Updated over 1 year ago

Election on November 8, 2016

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Cooper was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Cooper led McCrory.)

Choices

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Cooper48.0%
McCrory44.9% incumbent
Undecided5.6%
Other1.5%

Latest Polls

Poll	McCrory	Cooper	Other	Undecided	Spread
SurveyMonkey Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016 3,126 Likely Voters	43	54		3	Cooper +11
NYT Upshot/Siena Nov 4 – Nov 6, 2016 800 Likely Voters	46	47	1	5	Cooper +1
Quinnipiac Nov 3 – Nov 6, 2016 870 Likely Voters	47	50	1	3	Cooper +3
Quinnipiac Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 602 Likely Voters	47	49	1	3	Cooper +2
SurveyUSA/WRAL Oct 28 – Oct 31, 2016 659 Likely Voters	47	48	2	4	Cooper +1
SurveyMonkey Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016 1,574 Likely Voters	46	52		2	Cooper +6
CBS/YouGov Oct 26 – Oct 28, 2016 992 Likely Voters	44	46	1	9	Cooper +2
Elon Oct 23 – Oct 27, 2016 710 Likely Voters	44	44	1	11
NBC/WSJ/Marist Oct 25 – Oct 26, 2016 780 Likely Voters	45	51	2	2	Cooper +6
Quinnipiac Oct 20 – Oct 26, 2016 702 Likely Voters	47	49	0	3	Cooper +2
NYT Upshot/Siena Oct 20 – Oct 23, 2016 792 Likely Voters	45	51	0	4	Cooper +6
Monmouth University Oct 20 – Oct 23, 2016 402 Likely Voters	48	47	2	3	McCrory +1
PPP (D) Oct 21 – Oct 22, 2016 875 Likely Voters	44	46	3	8	Cooper +2
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 6 – Oct 19, 2016 1,233 Likely Voters	45	47	1	6	Cooper +2
Lucid/The Times-Picayune Oct 17 – Oct 18, 2016 924 Likely Voters	43	50		7	Cooper +7
Civitas (R) Oct 14 – Oct 17, 2016 600 Likely Voters	46	44	1	9	McCrory +2
SurveyUSA/TWC News North Carolina Oct 14 – Oct 17, 2016 651 Likely Voters	45	47	3	5	Cooper +2
WashPost/SurveyMonkey Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016 1,191 Likely Voters	42	55		2	Cooper +13
CNN Oct 10 – Oct 15, 2016 788 Likely Voters	48	49	1	2	Cooper +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist Oct 10 – Oct 12, 2016 743 Likely Voters	48	49	1	3	Cooper +1
High Point University Oct 1 – Oct 6, 2016 479 Likely Voters	42	49	3	6	Cooper +7
SurveyUSA/WRAL News Sep 29 – Oct 3, 2016 656 Likely Voters	44	48	2	6	Cooper +4
Bloomberg/Selzer Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2016 805 Likely Voters	44	50	1	5	Cooper +6
Quinnipiac Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2016 507 Likely Voters	46	48		5	Cooper +2
Elon Sep 27 – Sep 30, 2016 660 Likely Voters	44	48	3	6	Cooper +4
PPP (D-Vote Vets Action Fund) Sep 27 – Sep 28, 2016 861 Likely Voters	42	45	4	9	Cooper +3
The Meredith College Poll Sep 18 – Sep 22, 2016 487 Registered Voters	41	39	7	14	McCrory +2
High Point University Sep 17 – Sep 22, 2016 404 Likely Voters	41	50	3	6	Cooper +9
Fox News Sep 18 – Sep 20, 2016 734 Likely Voters	46	43	4	7	McCrory +3
PPP (D) Sep 18 – Sep 20, 2016 1,024 Likely Voters	41	46	2	11	Cooper +5
NYT Upshot/Siena Sep 16 – Sep 19, 2016 782 Likely Voters	42	50		8	Cooper +8
Elon Sep 12 – Sep 16, 2016 644 Likely Voters	49	46	2	3	McCrory +3
Civitas (R) Sep 11 – Sep 12, 2016 600 Likely Voters	45	43	1	9	McCrory +2
Quinnipiac Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2016 751 Likely Voters	44	51	0	5	Cooper +7
Monmouth University Aug 20 – Aug 23, 2016 401 Likely Voters	43	52	3	3	Cooper +9
CNN Aug 18 – Aug 23, 2016 803 Likely Voters	46	52	1	1	Cooper +6
NBC/WSJ/Marist Aug 4 – Aug 10, 2016 921 Registered Voters	44	51	1	5	Cooper +7
PPP (D) Aug 5 – Aug 7, 2016 830 Likely Voters	42	43	4	11	Cooper +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist Jul 5 – Jul 11, 2016 907 Registered Voters	45	49	1	5	Cooper +4
PPP (D) Jun 20 – Jun 21, 2016 947 Likely Voters	41	41	6	13
Civitas (R) May 21 – May 23, 2016 600 Likely Voters	45	40	3	9	McCrory +5
PPP (D) May 20 – May 22, 2016 928 Likely Voters	41	41	5	13
Raba Research Apr 27 – Apr 28, 2016 688 Likely Voters	36	41	6	17	Cooper +5
Civitas (R) Apr 23 – Apr 25, 2016 600 Likely Voters	36	46	5	13	Cooper +10
PPP (D) Apr 22 – Apr 24, 2016 960 Likely Voters	42	43	4	11	Cooper +1
Elon Apr 10 – Apr 15, 2016 621 Registered Voters	42	48	6	5	Cooper +6
SurveyUSA/WRAL News Apr 8 – Apr 11, 2016 701 Likely Voters	43	47	2	8	Cooper +4
PPP (D) Mar 18 – Mar 20, 2016 843 Likely Voters	42	40	6	12	McCrory +2
SurveyUSA/High Point University Mar 9 – Mar 10, 2016 1,576 Likely Voters	47	45		8	McCrory +2
Elon Feb 15 – Feb 19, 2016 1,530 Likely Voters	40	42	3	16	Cooper +2
SurveyUSA/TWC News North Carolina Feb 14 – Feb 16, 2016 1,250 Likely Voters	45	42		12	McCrory +3
PPP (D) Jan 18 – Jan 19, 2016 948 Likely Voters	40	43		17	Cooper +3
PPP (D) Dec 5 – Dec 7, 2015 1,214 Likely Voters	44	42		14	McCrory +2
Elon Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2015 1,040 Likely Voters	40	45	3	13	Cooper +5
PPP (D) Oct 23 – Oct 25, 2015 893 Likely Voters	43	44		13	Cooper +1
Civitas (R) Sep 28 – Sep 30, 2015 600 Registered Voters	43	42		15	McCrory +1
PPP (D) Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2015 1,268 Likely Voters	44	41		15	McCrory +3
Elon Sep 17 – Sep 21, 2015 1,075 Registered Voters	43	42	3	11	McCrory +1
PPP (D) Aug 12 – Aug 16, 2015 957 Likely Voters	39	42		18	Cooper +3
PPP (D) Jul 2 – Jul 6, 2015 529 Likely Voters	41	43		16	Cooper +2
PPP (D) May 28 – May 31, 2015 561 Likely Voters	41	44		15	Cooper +3
Gravis Marketing May 11 – May 11, 2015 1,479 Likely Voters	42	44		14	Cooper +2
Gravis Marketing Apr 30 – Apr 30, 2015 1,479 Likely Voters	42	44		14	Cooper +2
Elon Apr 20 – Apr 24, 2015 677 Registered Voters	45	43	4	8	McCrory +2
PPP (D) Apr 2 – Apr 5, 2015 751 Likely Voters	44	41		15	McCrory +3
PPP (D) Feb 24 – Feb 26, 2015 849 Likely Voters	43	41		16	McCrory +2
PPP (D) Jan 29 – Jan 31, 2015 845 Likely Voters	44	39		17	McCrory +5
PPP (D) Dec 4 – Dec 7, 2014 823 Likely Voters	46	39		15	McCrory +7
Gravis Marketing Oct 16 – Oct 18, 2014 1,022 Likely Voters	49	41		9	McCrory +8
Gravis/Human Events (R) Sep 22 – Sep 23, 2014 860 Likely Voters	45	42		12	McCrory +3
PPP (D) Sep 11 – Sep 14, 2014 1,266 Likely Voters	44	41		15	McCrory +3
American Insights (R) Sep 5 – Sep 10, 2014 459 Likely Voters	43	40		16	McCrory +3
PPP (D) Aug 14 – Aug 17, 2014 856 Likely Voters	44	43		14	McCrory +1
Gravis/Human Events (R) Jul 22 – Jul 27, 2014 1,380 Registered Voters	44	46		10	Cooper +2
Civitas (R) Jun 18 – Jun 22, 2014 600 Likely Voters	47	46		8	McCrory +1
PPP (D) Jun 12 – Jun 15, 2014 1,076 Likely Voters	44	42		14	McCrory +2
PPP (D) May 9 – May 11, 2014 877 Likely Voters	43	42		15	McCrory +1
PPP (D) Apr 3 – Apr 6, 2014 740 Likely Voters	43	43		15
American Insights (R) Feb 11 – Feb 15, 2014 611 Registered Voters	44	38		18	McCrory +6
PPP (D) Feb 6 – Feb 9, 2014 708 Likely Voters	43	41		15	McCrory +2
PPP (D) Sep 6 – Sep 9, 2013 600 Likely Voters	42	48		11	Cooper +6