View HuffPost's presidential forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 Pennsylvania President: Trump vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Trump |
Clinton |
Johnson |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
2,845 Likely Voters
|
43 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 3 | Clinton +3 |
Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016
390 Likely Voters
|
47 | 48 | 5 | Clinton +1 | ||
Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016
955 Likely Voters
|
45 | 48 | 7 | Clinton +3 | ||
Nov 3 – Nov 5, 2016
931 Likely Voters
|
43 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Clinton +2 |
Oct 30 – Nov 4, 2016
405 Likely Voters
|
42 | 48 | 7 | 3 | Clinton +6 | |
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016
2,683 Likely Voters
|
45 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Clinton +1 |
Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016
1,016 Registered Voters
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 3 | Clinton +2 |
Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2016
1,050 Likely Voters
|
44 | 48 | 8 | Clinton +4 | ||
Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2016
681 Likely Voters
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 6 | Clinton +2 |
Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2016
403 Likely Voters
|
44 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Clinton +4 |
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016
612 Likely Voters
|
43 | 48 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Clinton +5 |
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016
799 Likely Voters
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Clinton +4 |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
2,255 Likely Voters
|
41 | 49 | 6 | 2 | 2 | Clinton +8 |
Oct 30 – Oct 30, 2016
1,249 Likely Voters
|
43 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Clinton +2 |
Oct 26 – Oct 30, 2016
652 Likely Voters
|
38 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Clinton +11 |
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016
366 Likely Voters
|
46 | 50 | 4 | Clinton +4 | ||
Oct 26 – Oct 28, 2016
1,091 Likely Voters
|
40 | 48 | 5 | 5 | 2 | Clinton +8 |
Oct 20 – Oct 26, 2016
420 Likely Voters
|
41 | 46 | 9 | 3 | Clinton +5 | |
Oct 23 – Oct 25, 2016
824 Likely Voters
|
39 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 6 | Clinton +7 |
Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016
2,131 Likely Voters
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 2 | Clinton +6 |
Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2016
1,997 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Clinton +3 |
Oct 10 – Oct 16, 2016
660 Likely Voters
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 4 | Clinton +6 |
Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016
380 Likely Voters
|
46 | 50 | 4 | Clinton +4 | ||
Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016
1,449 Likely Voters
|
42 | 51 | 7 | Clinton +9 | ||
Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016
2,271 Likely Voters
|
42 | 46 | 12 | Clinton +4 | ||
Oct 7 – Oct 11, 2016
806 Likely Voters
|
42 | 51 | 3 | 4 | Clinton +9 | |
Oct 7 – Oct 10, 2016
1,457 Likely Voters
|
38 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 7 | Clinton +9 |
Oct 4 – Oct 9, 2016
764 Likely Voters
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 8 | Clinton +4 |
Oct 5 – Oct 7, 2016
997 Likely Voters
|
40 | 48 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Clinton +8 |
Oct 3 – Oct 6, 2016
709 Likely Voters
|
39 | 51 | 7 | 3 | Clinton +12 | |
Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2016
402 Likely Voters
|
40 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 2 | Clinton +10 |
Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2016
813 Registered Voters
|
36 | 48 | 9 | 7 | Clinton +12 | |
Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2016
535 Likely Voters
|
41 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Clinton +4 |
Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016
649 Likely Voters
|
50 | 46 | 4 | Trump +4 | ||
Sep 27 – Sep 28, 2016
886 Likely Voters
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Clinton +6 |
Sep 20 – Sep 25, 2016
771 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 1 | Clinton +1 |
Sep 19 – Sep 23, 2016
486 Likely Voters
|
41 | 44 | 11 | 4 | Clinton +3 | |
Sep 12 – Sep 23, 2016
420 Registered Voters
|
41 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 11 | Clinton +1 |
Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016
709 Likely Voters
|
46 | 46 | 8 | |||
Sep 10 – Sep 19, 2016
400 Likely Voters
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 4 | Clinton +8 |
Sep 12 – Sep 16, 2016
405 Likely Voters
|
38 | 47 | 11 | 4 | Clinton +9 | |
Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2016
778 Likely Voters
|
43 | 48 | 3 | 5 | Clinton +5 | |
Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2016
1,091 Likely Voters
|
37 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 6 | Clinton +8 |
Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016
2,861 Registered Voters
|
43 | 47 | 10 | Clinton +4 | ||
Aug 30 – Aug 31, 2016
814 Likely Voters
|
42 | 47 | 11 | Clinton +5 | ||
Aug 26 – Aug 29, 2016
402 Likely Voters
|
40 | 48 | 6 | 2 | 4 | Clinton +8 |
Aug 25 – Aug 29, 2016
496 Likely Voters
|
40 | 47 | 6 | 7 | Clinton +7 | |
Aug 26 – Aug 27, 2016
1,194 Likely Voters
|
43 | 48 | 9 | Clinton +5 | ||
Aug 3 – Aug 7, 2016
834 Registered Voters
|
37 | 48 | 9 | 6 | Clinton +11 | |
Jul 30 – Aug 7, 2016
815 Likely Voters
|
42 | 52 | 1 | 5 | Clinton +10 | |
Jul 31 – Aug 4, 2016
772 Likely Voters
|
37 | 47 | 8 | 8 | Clinton +10 | |
Jul 29 – Aug 1, 2016
389 Likely Voters
|
38 | 49 | 6 | 8 | Clinton +11 | |
Jul 29 – Jul 31, 2016
1,505 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Clinton +3 |
Jul 25 – Jul 27, 2016
500 Likely Voters
|
41 | 50 | 9 | Clinton +9 | ||
Jun 30 – Jul 11, 2016
982 Registered Voters
|
43 | 41 | 4 | 13 | Trump +2 | |
Jul 5 – Jul 10, 2016
829 Registered Voters
|
36 | 45 | 13 | 6 | Clinton +9 | |
Jun 27 – Jun 28, 2016
1,958 Registered Voters
|
47 | 48 | 5 | Clinton +1 | ||
Jun 22 – Jun 23, 2016
980 Likely Voters
|
42 | 46 | 11 | Clinton +4 | ||
Jun 11 – Jun 20, 2016
300 Likely Voters
|
39 | 49 | 8 | 5 | Clinton +10 | |
Jun 8 – Jun 19, 2016
950 Registered Voters
|
41 | 42 | 3 | 14 | Clinton +1 | |
Jun 3 – Jun 5, 2016
1,106 Likely Voters
|
40 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 11 | Clinton +1 |
Apr 27 – May 8, 2016
1,077 Registered Voters
|
42 | 43 | 2 | 12 | Clinton +1 | |
Apr 18 – Apr 20, 2016
2,606 Registered Voters
|
39 | 54 | 7 | Clinton +15 | ||
Apr 4 – Apr 7, 2016
1,607 Likely Voters
|
44 | 44 | 2 | 9 | ||
Mar 30 – Apr 4, 2016
1,737 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 10 | Clinton +3 | |
Mar 14 – Mar 20, 2016
828 Registered Voters
|
33 | 46 | 11 | 10 | Clinton +13 | |
Mar 1 – Mar 11, 2016
421 Registered Voters
|
35 | 43 | 4 | 19 | Clinton +8 | |
Mar 1 – Mar 2, 2016
662 Likely Voters
|
40 | 45 | 15 | Clinton +5 | ||
Oct 8 – Oct 11, 2015
1,012 Likely Voters
|
45 | 43 | 13 | Trump +2 | ||
Sep 25 – Oct 5, 2015
1,049 Registered Voters
|
42 | 44 | 3 | 10 | Clinton +2 | |
Aug 7 – Aug 18, 2015
1,085 Registered Voters
|
40 | 45 | 4 | 12 | Clinton +5 |