Poll Chart

2016 Pennsylvania President: Trump vs. Clinton

Currently tracking 71 polls from 30 pollsters

Updated over 2 years ago

Election on November 8, 2016

This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.

HuffPost Model

Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)

Choices

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Clinton45.5%
Trump41.4%
Johnson4.0%
Undecided5.3%
Other3.9%

View HuffPost's presidential forecast.

Latest Polls

Poll	Trump	Clinton	Johnson	Other	Undecided	Spread
SurveyMonkey Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016 2,845 Likely Voters	43	46	6	3	3	Clinton +3
UPI/CVOTER Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016 390 Likely Voters	47	48		5		Clinton +1
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016 955 Likely Voters	45	48			7	Clinton +3
CBS/YouGov Nov 3 – Nov 5, 2016 931 Likely Voters	43	45	4	4	4	Clinton +2
Muhlenberg/Morning Call Oct 30 – Nov 4, 2016 405 Likely Voters	42	48		7	3	Clinton +6
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016 2,683 Likely Voters	45	46	4	2	3	Clinton +1
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart Nov 1 – Nov 2, 2016 1,016 Registered Voters	45	47	2	4	3	Clinton +2
PPP (D-Center for American Progress Action Fund) Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2016 1,050 Likely Voters	44	48			8	Clinton +4
Susquehanna (R)/ABC27 News Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2016 681 Likely Voters	43	45	2	3	6	Clinton +2
Monmouth University Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2016 403 Likely Voters	44	48	3	2	3	Clinton +4
Quinnipiac Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 612 Likely Voters	43	48	3	3	2	Clinton +5
CNN Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 799 Likely Voters	44	48	4	2	1	Clinton +4
SurveyMonkey Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016 2,255 Likely Voters	41	49	6	2	2	Clinton +8
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies Oct 30 – Oct 30, 2016 1,249 Likely Voters	43	45	3	1	6	Clinton +2
Franklin and Marshall College Oct 26 – Oct 30, 2016 652 Likely Voters	38	49	4	2	7	Clinton +11
UPI/CVOTER Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016 366 Likely Voters	46	50		4		Clinton +4
CBS/YouGov Oct 26 – Oct 28, 2016 1,091 Likely Voters	40	48	5	5	2	Clinton +8
Muhlenberg/Morning Call Oct 20 – Oct 26, 2016 420 Likely Voters	41	46		9	3	Clinton +5
NYT Upshot/Siena Oct 23 – Oct 25, 2016 824 Likely Voters	39	46	6	4	6	Clinton +7
SurveyMonkey Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016 2,131 Likely Voters	42	48	6	3	2	Clinton +6
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies Oct 20 – Oct 22, 2016 1,997 Likely Voters	42	45	5	1	7	Clinton +3
Quinnipiac Oct 10 – Oct 16, 2016 660 Likely Voters	41	47	6	2	4	Clinton +6
UPI/CVOTER Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016 380 Likely Voters	46	50		4		Clinton +4
WashPost/SurveyMonkey Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016 1,449 Likely Voters	42	51			7	Clinton +9
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016 2,271 Likely Voters	42	46			12	Clinton +4
Bloomberg/Selzer Oct 7 – Oct 11, 2016 806 Likely Voters	42	51		3	4	Clinton +9
Lucid/The Times-Picayune Oct 7 – Oct 10, 2016 1,457 Likely Voters	38	47	7	2	7	Clinton +9
Susquehanna (R)/ABC27 News Oct 4 – Oct 9, 2016 764 Likely Voters	40	44	4	3	8	Clinton +4
CBS/YouGov Oct 5 – Oct 7, 2016 997 Likely Voters	40	48	4	3	4	Clinton +8
NBC/WSJ/Marist Oct 3 – Oct 6, 2016 709 Likely Voters	39	51		7	3	Clinton +12
Monmouth University Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2016 402 Likely Voters	40	50	5	3	2	Clinton +10
Franklin and Marshall College Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2016 813 Registered Voters	36	48		9	7	Clinton +12
Quinnipiac Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2016 535 Likely Voters	41	45	5	3	6	Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016 649 Likely Voters	50	46		4		Trump +4
PPP (D-Vote Vets Action Fund) Sep 27 – Sep 28, 2016 886 Likely Voters	39	45	6	2	8	Clinton +6
CNN Sep 20 – Sep 25, 2016 771 Likely Voters	44	45	6	3	1	Clinton +1
Muhlenberg/Morning Call Sep 19 – Sep 23, 2016 486 Likely Voters	41	44		11	4	Clinton +3
Mercyhurst University Sep 12 – Sep 23, 2016 420 Registered Voters	41	42	4	3	11	Clinton +1
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016 709 Likely Voters	46	46			8
GQR (D-Democracy Corps/WVWV) Sep 10 – Sep 19, 2016 400 Likely Voters	38	46	8	3	4	Clinton +8
Muhlenberg/Morning Call Sep 12 – Sep 16, 2016 405 Likely Voters	38	47		11	4	Clinton +9
Quinnipiac Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2016 778 Likely Voters	43	48		3	5	Clinton +5
CBS/YouGov Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2016 1,091 Likely Voters	37	45	6	5	6	Clinton +8
WashPost/SurveyMonkey Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016 2,861 Registered Voters	43	47			10	Clinton +4
PPP (D- Constitutional Responsibility Project) Aug 30 – Aug 31, 2016 814 Likely Voters	42	47			11	Clinton +5
Monmouth University Aug 26 – Aug 29, 2016 402 Likely Voters	40	48	6	2	4	Clinton +8
Franklin and Marshall College Aug 25 – Aug 29, 2016 496 Likely Voters	40	47		6	7	Clinton +7
PPP (D-NELP) Aug 26 – Aug 27, 2016 1,194 Likely Voters	43	48			9	Clinton +5
NBC/WSJ/Marist Aug 3 – Aug 7, 2016 834 Registered Voters	37	48		9	6	Clinton +11
Quinnipiac Jul 30 – Aug 7, 2016 815 Likely Voters	42	52		1	5	Clinton +10
Susquehanna (R)/ABC27 News Jul 31 – Aug 4, 2016 772 Likely Voters	37	47		8	8	Clinton +10
Franklin and Marshall College Jul 29 – Aug 1, 2016 389 Likely Voters	38	49		6	8	Clinton +11
PPP (D) Jul 29 – Jul 31, 2016 1,505 Likely Voters	42	45	4	2	8	Clinton +3
Suffolk Jul 25 – Jul 27, 2016 500 Likely Voters	41	50			9	Clinton +9
Quinnipiac Jun 30 – Jul 11, 2016 982 Registered Voters	43	41		4	13	Trump +2
NBC/WSJ/Marist Jul 5 – Jul 10, 2016 829 Registered Voters	36	45		13	6	Clinton +9
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jun 27 – Jun 28, 2016 1,958 Registered Voters	47	48		5		Clinton +1
PPP (D-Americans United for Change/Constitutional Responsibility Project) Jun 22 – Jun 23, 2016 980 Likely Voters	42	46			11	Clinton +4
GQR (D-Democracy Corps/Women's Voices Women Vote) Jun 11 – Jun 20, 2016 300 Likely Voters	39	49		8	5	Clinton +10
Quinnipiac Jun 8 – Jun 19, 2016 950 Registered Voters	41	42		3	14	Clinton +1
PPP (D) Jun 3 – Jun 5, 2016 1,106 Likely Voters	40	41	6	3	11	Clinton +1
Quinnipiac Apr 27 – May 8, 2016 1,077 Registered Voters	42	43		2	12	Clinton +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist Apr 18 – Apr 20, 2016 2,606 Registered Voters	39	54			7	Clinton +15
Fox News Apr 4 – Apr 7, 2016 1,607 Likely Voters	44	44		2	9
Quinnipiac Mar 30 – Apr 4, 2016 1,737 Likely Voters	42	45		3	10	Clinton +3
Franklin and Marshall College Mar 14 – Mar 20, 2016 828 Registered Voters	33	46		11	10	Clinton +13
Mercyhurst University Mar 1 – Mar 11, 2016 421 Registered Voters	35	43		4	19	Clinton +8
Harper (R) Mar 1 – Mar 2, 2016 662 Likely Voters	40	45			15	Clinton +5
PPP (D) Oct 8 – Oct 11, 2015 1,012 Likely Voters	45	43			13	Trump +2
Quinnipiac Sep 25 – Oct 5, 2015 1,049 Registered Voters	42	44		3	10	Clinton +2
Quinnipiac Aug 7 – Aug 18, 2015 1,085 Registered Voters	40	45		4	12	Clinton +5