View HuffPost's presidential forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 Texas President: Trump vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Trump was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Trump led Clinton.)
Choices
Click a choice to show or hide it on the chart.
Latest Polls
Poll | Trump |
Clinton |
Johnson |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
3,009 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 3 | Trump +3 |
Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016
472 Likely Voters
|
54 | 40 | 6 | Trump +14 | ||
Oct 17 – Nov 6, 2016
1,213 Likely Voters
|
49 | 39 | 12 | Trump +10 | ||
Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2016
679 Likely Voters
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 2 | Trump +8 | |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
2,051 Likely Voters
|
47 | 41 | 8 | 5 | Trump +6 | |
Oct 27 – Oct 29, 2016
980 Likely Voters
|
52 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Trump +13 |
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016
429 Likely Voters
|
55 | 41 | 5 | Trump +14 | ||
Oct 22 – Oct 24, 2016
800 Likely Voters
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 10 | Trump +7 | |
Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016
2,148 Likely Voters
|
47 | 40 | 8 | 6 | Trump +7 | |
Oct 14 – Oct 23, 2016
959 Likely Voters
|
45 | 42 | 7 | 7 | Trump +3 | |
Oct 20 – Oct 21, 2016
1,031 Likely Voters
|
46 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Trump +3 |
Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016
460 Likely Voters
|
53 | 41 | 5 | Trump +12 | ||
Oct 8 – Oct 16, 2016
1,332 Likely Voters
|
48 | 46 | 5 | Trump +2 | ||
Oct 7 – Oct 15, 2016
1,000 Likely Voters
|
41 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 13 | Trump +3 |
Sep 23 – Oct 13, 2016
831 Likely Voters
|
57 | 32 | 11 | Trump +25 | ||
Oct 10 – Oct 12, 2016
638 Likely Voters
|
47 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Trump +4 |
Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016
817 Likely Voters
|
56 | 39 | 5 | Trump +17 | ||
Sep 29 – Oct 1, 2016
780 Likely Voters
|
45 | 38 | 4 | 3 | 10 | Trump +7 |
Sep 2 – Sep 22, 2016
875 Likely Voters
|
48 | 33 | 19 | Trump +15 | ||
Sep 1 – Sep 11, 2016
502 Likely Voters
|
42 | 36 | 21 | Trump +6 | ||
Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016
5,147 Registered Voters
|
45 | 46 | 9 | Clinton +1 | ||
Aug 12 – Aug 14, 2016
944 Likely Voters
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 10 | Trump +6 |
Aug 8 – Aug 9, 2016
1,018 Likely Voters
|
46 | 36 | 9 | 9 | Trump +10 | |
Jun 10 – Jun 19, 2016
1,200 Registered Voters
|
41 | 33 | 19 | 8 | Trump +8 | |
Sep 8 – Sep 21, 2015
633 Likely Voters
|
39 | 37 | 25 | Trump +2 |