View HuffPost's presidential forecast.
Poll Chart
2016 Vermont President: Trump vs. Clinton
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Clinton was very likely leading. (In >99% of simulations, Clinton led Trump.)
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Latest Polls
Poll | Trump |
Clinton |
Other |
Undecided |
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1 – Nov 7, 2016
454 Likely Voters
|
25 | 61 | 12 | 2 | Clinton +36 |
Oct 30 – Nov 6, 2016
305 Likely Voters
|
33 | 62 | 5 | Clinton +29 | |
Oct 25 – Oct 31, 2016
436 Likely Voters
|
25 | 53 | 18 | 4 | Clinton +28 |
Oct 23 – Oct 29, 2016
304 Likely Voters
|
34 | 63 | 4 | Clinton +29 | |
Oct 18 – Oct 24, 2016
446 Likely Voters
|
23 | 54 | 20 | 3 | Clinton +31 |
Oct 9 – Oct 16, 2016
304 Likely Voters
|
33 | 63 | 4 | Clinton +30 | |
Sep 29 – Oct 14, 2016
579 Likely Voters
|
17 | 45 | 24 | 14 | Clinton +21 |
Sep 19 – Oct 2, 2016
464 Likely Voters
|
35 | 61 | 4 | Clinton +26 | |
Aug 9 – Sep 1, 2016
550 Registered Voters
|
28 | 56 | 16 | Clinton +28 | |
Jul 11 – Jul 23, 2016
637 Likely Voters
|
17 | 39 | 31 | 13 | Clinton +8 |