Poll Chart
UK European Union Referendum
This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
HuffPost Model
Our model of the polls suggests Remain in the EU was probably leading. (In 73.1% of simulations, Remain in the EU led Leave the EU.)
Choices
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Latest Polls
| Poll | Remain in the EU |
Leave the EU |
Undecided |
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jun 21 – Jun 22
4,700 Adults
|
55 | 45 | Remain in the EU +10 | |
|
Jun 21 – Jun 22
Likely Voters
|
52 | 48 | Remain in the EU +4 | |
|
Jun 20 – Jun 22
6,571 Likely Voters
|
51 | 46 | 3 | Remain in the EU +5 |
|
Jun 20 – Jun 22
3,641 Registered Voters
|
45 | 45 | 8 | |
|
Jun 20 – Jun 22
3,011 Adults
|
44 | 45 | 9 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Jun 17 – Jun 22
713 Likely Voters
|
48 | 42 | 11 | Remain in the EU +6 |
|
Jun 16 – Jun 22
1,658 Likely Voters
|
42 | 49 | 8 | Leave the EU +7 |
|
Jun 20 – Jun 21
3,969 Likely Voters
|
50 | 47 | 3 | Remain in the EU +3 |
|
Jun 20 – Jun 20
959 Likely Voters
|
41 | 40 | 10 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Jun 17 – Jun 20
4,202 Likely Voters
|
48 | 49 | 3 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Jun 17 – Jun 19
1,652 Adults
|
42 | 44 | 9 | Leave the EU +2 |
|
Jun 14 – Jun 19
567 Likely Voters
|
53 | 46 | 2 | Remain in the EU +7 |
|
Jun 17 – Jun 18
971 Likely Voters
|
46 | 42 | Remain in the EU +4 | |
|
Jun 16 – Jun 17
1,694 Adults
|
44 | 43 | 9 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Jun 14 – Jun 17
2,006 Adults
|
44 | 44 | 10 | |
|
Jun 15 – Jun 16
1,734 Adults
|
42 | 43 | 9 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Jun 15 – Jun 15
1,040 Likely Voters
|
39 | 41 | 12 | Leave the EU +2 |
|
Jun 10 – Jun 15
981 Likely Voters
|
40 | 38 | 16 | Remain in the EU +2 |
|
Jun 10 – Jun 15
1,339 Likely Voters
|
37 | 47 | 13 | Leave the EU +10 |
|
Jun 8 – Jun 15
3,553 Likely Voters
|
48 | 48 | 4 | |
|
Jun 11 – Jun 14
979 Likely Voters
|
47 | 53 | Leave the EU +6 | |
|
Jun 12 – Jun 13
1,905 Adults
|
39 | 46 | 11 | Leave the EU +7 |
|
Jun 10 – Jun 13
1,729 Likely Voters
|
44 | 49 | 7 | Leave the EU +5 |
|
Jun 10 – Jun 13
887 Likely Voters
|
45 | 50 | 6 | Leave the EU +5 |
|
Jun 9 – Jun 13
634 Likely Voters
|
51 | 49 | Remain in the EU +2 | |
|
Jun 7 – Jun 13
1,664 Likely Voters
|
40 | 47 | 12 | Leave the EU +7 |
|
Jun 9 – Jun 12
493 Likely Voters
|
48 | 49 | 3 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Jun 9 – Jun 10
1,671 Adults
|
42 | 43 | 11 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Jun 7 – Jun 10
2,009 Adults
|
44 | 42 | 13 | Remain in the EU +2 |
|
Jun 8 – Jun 9
1,817 Likely Voters
|
45 | 55 | Leave the EU +10 | |
|
Jun 5 – Jun 6
2,001 Adults
|
43 | 42 | 11 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Jun 3 – Jun 5
1,741 Likely Voters
|
43 | 48 | 9 | Leave the EU +5 |
|
Jun 2 – Jun 5
488 Likely Voters
|
48 | 47 | 5 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Jun 1 – Jun 3
3,495 Adults
|
41 | 45 | 11 | Leave the EU +4 |
|
May 31 – Jun 3
2,007 Adults
|
43 | 41 | 14 | Remain in the EU +2 |
|
May 30 – May 31
1,735 Adults
|
41 | 41 | 13 | |
|
May 27 – May 30
1,772 Likely Voters
|
44 | 47 | 9 | Leave the EU +3 |
|
May 27 – May 29
849 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 13 | Leave the EU +3 |
|
May 25 – May 29
448 Likely Voters
|
51 | 46 | 3 | Remain in the EU +5 |
|
May 20 – May 25
1,638 Adults
|
44 | 45 | 12 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
May 24 – May 24
963 Likely Voters
|
42 | 35 | 19 | Remain in the EU +7 |
|
May 23 – May 24
1,013 Adults
|
41 | 41 | 13 | |
|
May 20 – May 22
1,639 Likely Voters
|
45 | 45 | 10 | |
|
May 18 – May 22
464 Likely Voters
|
55 | 42 | 3 | Remain in the EU +13 |
|
May 17 – May 19
2,008 Adults
|
44 | 40 | 14 | Remain in the EU +4 |
|
May 16 – May 17
1,648 Adults
|
44 | 40 | 12 | Remain in the EU +4 |
|
May 14 – May 17
838 Likely Voters
|
57 | 43 | Remain in the EU +14 | |
|
May 14 – May 16
Likely Voters
|
55 | 37 | 5 | Remain in the EU +18 |
|
May 13 – May 15
822 Likely Voters
|
47 | 39 | 14 | Remain in the EU +8 |
|
May 13 – May 15
1,699 Likely Voters
|
43 | 47 | 10 | Leave the EU +4 |
|
May 11 – May 15
451 Likely Voters
|
51 | 45 | 4 | Remain in the EU +6 |
|
May 10 – May 12
1,103 Likely Voters
|
38 | 41 | 21 | Leave the EU +3 |
|
May 6 – May 8
1,646 Likely Voters
|
44 | 46 | 11 | Leave the EU +2 |
|
May 4 – May 6
3,378 Adults
|
42 | 40 | 13 | Remain in the EU +2 |
|
Apr 29 – May 3
1,680 Likely Voters
|
44 | 45 | 11 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Apr 27 – Apr 29
1,823 Likely Voters
|
49 | 51 | Leave the EU +2 | |
|
Apr 26 – Apr 29
2,005 Adults
|
42 | 41 | 14 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Apr 25 – Apr 26
1,650 Adults
|
41 | 42 | 13 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Apr 25 – Apr 26
912 Likely Voters
|
45 | 38 | 17 | Remain in the EU +7 |
|
Apr 22 – Apr 24
1,650 Likely Voters
|
44 | 46 | 10 | Leave the EU +2 |
|
Apr 20 – Apr 24
530 Likely Voters
|
51 | 46 | 3 | Remain in the EU +5 |
|
Apr 16 – Apr 19
838 Likely Voters
|
58 | 42 | Remain in the EU +16 | |
|
Apr 16 – Apr 18
784 Likely Voters
|
49 | 38 | 9 | Remain in the EU +11 |
|
Apr 15 – Apr 17
850 Likely Voters
|
48 | 41 | 11 | Remain in the EU +7 |
|
Apr 15 – Apr 17
1,654 Likely Voters
|
43 | 44 | 13 | Leave the EU +1 |
|
Apr 13 – Apr 17
531 Likely Voters
|
52 | 43 | 5 | Remain in the EU +9 |
|
Apr 12 – Apr 14
1,087 Likely Voters
|
38 | 34 | 28 | Remain in the EU +4 |
|
Apr 12 – Apr 14
3,371 Adults
|
40 | 39 | 16 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Apr 11 – Apr 12
1,693 Adults
|
39 | 39 | 17 | |
|
Apr 7 – Apr 11
1,198 Adults
|
35 | 35 | 30 | |
|
Apr 8 – Apr 10
1,645 Likely Voters
|
42 | 45 | 12 | Leave the EU +3 |
|
Apr 8 – Apr 10
1,002 Adults
|
45 | 38 | 17 | Remain in the EU +7 |
|
Apr 6 – Apr 7
1,612 Adults
|
40 | 38 | 16 | Remain in the EU +2 |
|
Mar 29 – Apr 4
2,233 Adults
|
39 | 38 | 18 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Apr 1 – Apr 3
1,629 Likely Voters
|
44 | 43 | 13 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Mar 29 – Apr 3
513 Likely Voters
|
49 | 48 | 3 | Remain in the EU +1 |
|
Mar 29 – Apr 1
1,966 Adults
|
39 | 43 | 18 | Leave the EU +4 |
