Election2016

Presidential Forecast

Percent of simulations where each candidate becomes president

Clinton

98.0%

Trump

1.7%
How we calculate this »

Battleground States

Electoral
Votes		Percentage
Point Lead
Nevada6+2.0 Clinton
Florida29+1.6 Clinton
North Carolina15+1.5 Clinton
Ohio18+1.1 Trump
Iowa6+3.2 Trump
See all states »

Senate Forecast

Percent of simulations where each party gains control of Senate

Dem
71%
50/50
Split
22%
(VP determines
balance of power)
GOP
7%
How we calculate this »