The current view of the 2012 presidential election, based on HuffPost Pollster charts and analysis.
Updated: Wednesday, May 16 2:09 pm ET
Obama
284
Electoral Votes
Romney
170
Electoral Votes
270 electoral votes needed to win
237 Strong Obama
47 Leans Obama
84 Tossup
0 Leans Romney
170 Strong Romney
Cartogram
Traditional map
Each state is sized in proportion to its number of electoral votes.
Democrat
Republican
| Pollster outlook | Past results | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Electoral votes | Obama | Romney | Margin | '08 | '04 | '00 |
| Alabama | 9 | R | R | R | |||
| Alaska | 3 | R | R | R | |||
| Arizona | 11 | 41% | 41% | Tossup | R | R | R |
| Arkansas | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| California | 55 | 60% | 33% | Obama +27 | D | D | D |
| Colorado | 9 | D | R | R | |||
| Connecticut | 7 | D | D | D | |||
| Delaware | 3 | D | D | D | |||
| District of Columbia | 3 | D | D | D | |||
| Florida | 29 | 46% | 45% | Tossup | D | R | R |
| Georgia | 16 | 40% | 51% | Romney +11 | R | R | R |
| Hawaii | 4 | D | D | D | |||
| Idaho | 4 | R | R | R | |||
| Illinois | 20 | D | D | D | |||
| Indiana | 11 | D | R | R | |||
| Iowa | 6 | 51% | 41% | Obama +10 | D | R | D |
| Kansas | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| Kentucky | 8 | R | R | R | |||
| Louisiana | 8 | R | R | R | |||
| Maine | 4 | 50% | 42% | Obama +8 | D | D | D |
| Maryland | 10 | D | D | D | |||
| Massachusetts | 11 | 54% | 35% | Obama +20 | D | D | D |
| Michigan | 16 | 45% | 41% | Obama +4 | D | D | D |
| Minnesota | 10 | 52% | 38% | Obama +14 | D | D | D |
| Mississippi | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| Missouri | 10 | 45% | 48% | Tossup | R | R | R |
| Montana | 3 | 40% | 49% | Romney +9 | R | R | R |
| Nebraska | 5 | R* | R | R | |||
| Nevada | 6 | 52% | 44% | Obama +8 | D | R | R |
| New Hampshire | 4 | 51% | 42% | Obama +9 | D | D | R |
| New Jersey | 14 | 49% | 38% | Obama +11 | D | D | D |
| New Mexico | 5 | 53% | 39% | Obama +14 | D | R | D |
| New York | 29 | 57% | 37% | Obama +20 | D | D | D |
| North Carolina | 15 | 47% | 46% | Tossup | D | R | R |
| North Dakota | 3 | R | R | R | |||
| Ohio | 18 | 46% | 43% | Obama +4 | D | R | R |
| Oklahoma | 7 | R | R | R | |||
| Oregon | 7 | D | D | D | |||
| Pennsylvania | 20 | 47% | 39% | Obama +8 | D | D | D |
| Rhode Island | 4 | D | D | D | |||
| South Carolina | 9 | R | R | R | |||
| South Dakota | 3 | R | R | R | |||
| Tennessee | 11 | R | R | R | |||
| Texas | 38 | R | R | R | |||
| Utah | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| Vermont | 3 | D | D | D | |||
| Virginia | 13 | 49% | 44% | Obama +5 | D | R | R |
| Washington | 12 | 50% | 36% | Obama +14 | D | D | D |
| West Virginia | 5 | R | R | R | |||
| Wisconsin | 10 | 48% | 45% | Tossup | D | D | D |
| Wyoming | 3 | R | R | R | |||
*In 2008, Nebraska's electoral votes were split. McCain took four of the state's five electoral votes and Obama took one.
Around the Web:
2012 Election: Electoral Vote Tracker - USATODAY.com
Electoral Map - Election Center 2012 - Elections & Politics from CNN.com
The Road To 270: Predict The 2012 Presidential Race : NPR
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House
